Today, we present our top tennis picks, reliable predictions, and the best bets for the ongoing Madrid Open. The women’s bracket has already advanced to the round of 16, while some ATP players are still to play their third-round matches. Four-time Grand Slam champion Naomi Osaka will face World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka in the round of 16 today.
Coco Gauff will face Linda Noskova as she aims to reach the quarterfinals in Madrid. In addition to these two matches, we will cover two more women’s singles matches and one men’s singles match, providing you with the best insights to make profitable wagers.
Top Tennis Picks and Best Bets Today
Ann Li vs. Leylah Fernandez: Set Spread, Fernandez -1.5 (+125)
This will be the third tour match between Ann Li and Leylah Fernandez. The American leads their head-to-head 2-0, with their most recent encounter at the Qatar Open, where Li won in straight sets. This will be their second claycourt matchup at the Madrid Open; last year, they met in the second round, with Li winning in three sets.
Li has a 4-2 record on clay this season, with her best result at the Open de Rouen (quarterfinals). Similarly, Fernandez holds a 5-2 clay record, with her top result at the Stuttgart Open (quarterfinals). We favor the Canadian to play her style today and aim for her first tour win against Li. Although the moneyline also favors Fernandez, we expect her to cover the spread, offering our readers better earning opportunities.
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Games Under 19.5 (-120)
This will be the third time the two big names in women’s tennis will collide. The head-to-head is split 1-1, with Sabalenka beating the Japanese star in their latest meeting at Indian Wells. The Belarusian is a dominant 25-1 for the season, while Osaka is 7-3, largely due to limited playing time on tour because of her recurring abdominal injury.
This will be the first time the duo will face each other on clay, and we don’t expect Osaka to pull off any miracles against an in-form Sabalenka today. We expect the Belarusian to cover the spread, win in straight sets, and keep the totals under 19, thereby advancing to the quarterfinals.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Casper Ruud: Set Spread, Ruud -1.5 (+110)
This will be the seventh professional match between a rising Casper Ruud and home favorite Davidovich Fokina. Their head-to-head record from the Lexus ATP is evenly split at 3-3, with their latest encounter happening last year in the Basel Open quarterfinals. They have faced each other twice on clay at the French Open, with both matches going to a deciding set; Fokina won in 2021, and Ruud avenged that defeat in 2024.
Both players have had underwhelming seasons with inconsistent performances. Still, we favor the Norwegian star because he’s moving better on clay and appears to have regained his rhythm, evidenced by his strong groundstrokes, especially in his first-round win against Jaume Munar in Madrid. Instead of betting on the moneyline, we suggest predicting Ruud to cover the spread to increase your winning margins.
Linda Noskova vs. Coco Gauff: Total Games Under 21.5 (-110)
This will be the third match between Gauff and Noskova, with both their previous meetings coming in 2023 on a hard court. The American leads their head-to-head 2-0, and we do not anticipate any change in this trend today. Both players exited in the quarterfinals at the Stuttgart Open and are eager to make a deep run in Madrid.
However, a mysterious flu is making rounds in the Spanish capital, leading to Iga Swiatek’s withdrawal. It will be interesting to see how Gauff manages herself today, especially since she appeared unwell, vomiting during her third-round match against Sorana Cirstea, yet won after losing the first set.
Keep a close watch on Gauff’s health; if she is healthy, she should win in straight sets, with the total games staying under 21.
Anastasia Potapova vs. Elena Rybakina: Rybakina in Three Sets
This will be the third meeting between Anastasia Potapova and Elena Rybakina. The head-to-head is split 1-1, with their most recent meeting at the 2024 Brisbane International.
Both players look in good touch on clay so far this season, with Rybakina holding a 6-0 record and winning the Stuttgart Open, while Potapova has a 7-2 record and reached the final in Linz.
We expect a cracking contest between the two in-form players on clay. Despite the Kazakh’s slight struggles in the opening two rounds of the Madrid Open, we are leaning towards Rybakina to beat Potapova in three sets and advance to the quarterfinals.
*All bets and wagers sourced from BetMGM
Also read:
College Sports Network has you covered with the latest news, analysis, insights, and trending stories in tennis, college football, men’s college basketball, women’s college basketball, and college baseball!
