The Bill Walsh Legacy Game hasn’t been played since 2013 — it returns in all its glory in 2024. The Stanford Cardinal hold a massive 52-14-1 advantage over the San Jose State Spartans, but will the Week 14 matchup follow the same script?
Our Stanford vs. San Jose State preview dives into this intriguing matchup, offering key betting insights to help you make informed picks.
Stanford vs. San Jose State Betting Preview
All Stanford vs. San Jose State odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Monday, Nov. 25, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
San Jose State -0.5 - Spread
San Jose State -3 - Moneyline
San Jose State -142, Stanford +120 - Over/Under
55.5 points - Game Time
4:00 p.m. ET, Friday, Nov. 29 - Location
CEFCU Stadium | San Jose, Calif. - Predicted Weather at Kick
57 degrees, 1 mph winds, mostly cloudy - How To Watch
CBS
A quick glance at the betting trends makes one thing apparent: the under is the lean. It has cashed in seven of Stanford’s last 10 games and five of SJSU’s last six.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
The against-the-spread numbers are similarly one-sided:
- Stanford is 8-3 ATS in the previous 11 matchups with San Jose State.
- San Jose State is 1-6 ATS in its past seven contests.
Stanford’s Winning Probability
The Cardinal have gone 3-9 in each of the last three seasons — they are currently 3-8. Will they finally snap the streak and win a fourth? The FPM gives them a less than 50% chance to do so.
- at San Jose State: 49.6%
San Jose State’s Winning Probability
The Spartans secured bowl eligibility with a win against the Oregon State Beavers early this month, but they are coming off back-to-back losses to the Mountain West leaders, the Boise State Broncos and the UNLV Rebels. They’ll want to finish the season on a high note, especially since they haven’t defeated Stanford since 2006.
- vs. Stanford: 50.4%
Prediction for Stanford vs. San Jose State
San Jose State made the Broncos and Rebels sweat for their victories, playing well early before wearing out. Stanford doesn’t have the talent to generate a similar performance.
But before diving into the analytics, current form is certainly a factor. The Cardinals are coming off two emotionally taxing games (a 38-35 upset of the Louisville Cardinals and a 24-21 loss to the California Bears). Will they be able to get up for the season finale?
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
Despite being the second-most pass-happy offense in the nation (64.06%), the Spartans have only allowed 10 sacks on the year. Starting QB Walker Eget should have no issue ripping Stanford’s defense (129th in defensive dropback success rate) apart, particularly with prolific WRs Nick Nash and Justin Lockhart on the outside.
The other side of the ball is more of a “moveable object vs. a stoppable force,” with the Cardinal offense ranking 99th in EPA per play and the SJSU defense ranking 101st in EPA per play allowed. Stanford leans on its rushing game, which just so happens to be the Spartans’ lone strength.
Take San Jose State to beat Stanford for the first time in nearly 20 years, though the Cardinal have the talent to cover the tight spread.
Prediction: San Jose State 28, Stanford 27
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