Texas Tech vs. Arizona Prediction: Are the Red Raiders a Trap?

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Texas Tech vs. Arizona Prediction: Are the Red Raiders a Trap?
The Texas Tech vs. Arizona prediction is here for the headlining matchup on Saturday night. Our prediction indicates this matchup should be closer to a pick'em.

The No. 20 Arizona Wildcats and No. 13 Texas Tech Red Raiders will square off tonight to cap off a loaded Saturday of college basketball. With NCAA Tournament seeding on the line, this game carries significant implications for both teams.

According to Team Rankings, Texas Tech is projected as a No. 2 seed, while Arizona is projected as a No. 5 seed. Both teams enter the matchup among the hottest in the country, with Texas Tech riding a seven-game winning streak and Arizona having won five straight.

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Texas Tech vs. Arizona Betting Preview

All Arkansas vs. Kentucky odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, Feb. 8, 2025.

  • Spread
    Arizona -3.5
  • CSN Spread
    Arizona -.5
  • Moneyline
    Arizona -162, Texas Tech +136
  • Over/Under
    149 points
  • Game Time
    Saturday, Feb. 8, 10:30 PM ET
  • Location
    McKale Memorial Center | Tucson, AZ
  • How To Watch
    ESPN

Texas Tech started slow but has quickly turned things around, emerging as one of the top teams in college basketball. Arizona, meanwhile, has struggled against non-conference opponents but has been dominant in Big 12 play, boasting a 10-1 conference record.

Against the spread (ATS), both teams are 13-9 this season:

  • Texas Tech as a road underdog: 2-0 ATS
  • Texas Tech on the road overall: 4-1 ATS
  • Arizona as a home favorite: 7-4 ATS
  • Conference games ATS: Arizona 8-4, Texas Tech 7-4

When it comes to totals, both teams lean toward the over:

  • Texas Tech’s 21 games: 12 overs, 9 unders, 1 push
  • Arizona’s 22 games: 13 overs, 9 unders

The opening line for this game was Arizona -2.5, but it has since moved to Arizona -3.5.

Texas Tech vs. Arizona CSN Power Rankings Line

According to CSN’s power rankings, this game should be a pick’em.

  • Texas Tech ranks No. 5 in our power rankings metric
  • Arizona ranks No. 9 in the same metric

With both teams performing well against the spread (ATS) and ranking so closely, our model believes this game could go either way.

Texas Tech vs Arizona Prediction

Tonight’s Big 12 battle should be a tight contest that comes down to the wire. Texas Tech thrives on defense, ranking 31st in scoring defense, and has a knack for shutting down opponents late in games. That will be key against an Arizona team that features one of the most explosive offenses in college basketball, ranking 20th in scoring.

The key factor? Can Texas Tech’s defense slow down Arizona’s high-powered offense and prevent the Wildcats from going on big runs?

MORE: Full CSN Power Rankings

While Arizona is favored, despite Texas Tech being the higher-ranked team, this game feels like a trap for Arizona bettors. Texas Tech’s fundamentally sound defense and ability to close out games give them the edge.

Picks: Over, Texas Tech +3.5
Prediction: Texas Tech 77, Arizona 76

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