Today, we bring you our top tennis picks, reliable predictions, and best bets from the Madrid Open as the tournament reaches its final stretch. Giant-killer Hailey Baptiste will be in action today, taking on reigning Linz Open champion Mirra Andreeva in the semifinals at the Manolo Santana arena.
World No. 3 Alexander Zverev will face Flavio Cobolli in the quarterfinals during the night session. In addition to these two matches, we will cover one more men’s singles match from the Spanish capital and one women’s singles match from the Saint-Malo Challenger in France.
Top Tennis Picks and Best Bets Today
Casper Ruud vs. Alexander Blockx: Set Spread, Blockx +1.5 (-110)
This will be the first meeting between Casper Ruud and Alexander Blockx. The 21-year-old Belgian has been playing strong claycourt tennis this season. He reached the round of 16 in both Monte Carlo and Munich and has already recorded back-to-back wins over high-ranked players (Auger-Aliassime and Cerundolo) in Madrid.
Ruud played a titanic battle against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the previous round, winning in three grueling sets (all tiebreakers), and is looking sharper on clay this season. While we expect the Norwegian to reach the last four today, the win shouldn’t come easily against the in-form Belgian, so we’re looking for Blockx to win at least one set and cover the spread.
Bianca Andreescu vs. Yue Yuan: Set Spread, Andreescu -1.5 (+105)
This will be the second meeting between former US Open champion Bianca Andreescu and 27-year-old Chinese pro Yue Yuan. Their only previous meeting came at the 2024 Libema Open, which the Canadian won in straight sets. Andreescu is 11-4 on clay and 21-8 for the season, while Yuan is 6-4 on clay and 17-13 for the year.
Andreescu is moving better on clay and can up the ante in crucial rallies, a trend that has driven her to victory many times this year. We predict the Canadian will win today, cover the spread, and advance to the quarterfinals of the Saint-Malo challenger.
Hailey Baptiste vs. Mirra Andreeva: Set Spread, Andreeva -1.5 (-110)
This will be the second professional encounter between Baptiste and Andreeva. Their first match took place at Wimbledon 2025, where the Russian teen won in straight sets. Although the American recently scored her career’s biggest victory by defeating World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka, we don’t expect her to carry that success into today’s match.
We favor the Linz Open champion, who has an impressive 11-1 record on clay this season, to win the match and cover the spread. The winner will go on to face the winner of the other semifinal between Anastasia Potapova and Marta Kostyuk in the final of the Madrid Open.
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Games Over 23.5 (-110)
This will be the fourth meeting between Zverev and Cobolli and the third on clay. Their most recent meeting came in the semifinals of the BMW Open, which the Italian won in straight sets. We expect a feisty contest between the duo, as the German will seek to avenge his loss to Cobolli in Munich last week.
While we are leaning toward the two-time Madrid Open champion, Cobolli should make life difficult for the German today. Expect a highly engaging three-setter today, which will easily push the total over 23 and make our pick a lucrative wager.
*All bets and wagers sourced from BetMGM
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