The San Francisco Dons will host the Gonzaga Bulldogs at Chase Center in the final game of the WCC regular season. It’s a fitting matchup to end the season, as both of these teams have a 13-4 record in conference and are tied for second place.
Whoever comes out on top will claim sole possession of second place as the regular season comes to a close. Can the Bulldogs pull it out on the road, or will the Dons pull out the upset home win?
Find out below as we make a prediction and break down the spread, total, and money line bets.
Gonzaga vs. San Francisco Betting Preview
All Gonzaga vs. San Francisco odds are from Fanduel Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, March 1, 2025.
- Spread
Gonzaga -9.5 - Moneyline
Gonzaga -410, San Francisco +315 - Over/Under
157.5 Points - Game Time
Saturday, March 1, 11:00 p.m. ET - Location
Chase Center | San Francisco - How To Watch
ESPN
Although Gonzaga has had a solid season, they haven’t been good in terms of covering, with a 12-18 record ATS. In conference, they’ve only covered six of 17 contests. However, the Bulldogs have covered three of their last four outings.
San Francisco has been middle of the pack ATS, with a 15-13-1 record. They’ve covered nine of 17 WCC matchups but have been on a roll recently with six covers in their last seven games.
Gonzaga scores 87.4 ppg, the second-best mark in the country. Because of that, 17 of their 30 games have gone over the listed total. But of their last eight games, only twice have they gone over.
The Dons are middle of the pack offensively, and have only gone over 13 times this season. Only two of their last seven matchups have gone over the point total.
Despite being unranked in the AP Poll, Gonzaga comes in at No. 2 in our power rankings. The Dons are far down the list at No. 86.
Considering that, the line of Gonzaga -10.5 is still slightly shallow. A bump to -15.5 would likely be what our power rankings suggest.
Preview for Gonzaga vs. San Francisco
Gonzaga enters with a 22-8 overall record, a relative disappointment after beginning the season ranked No. 6 in the country. They began the season with five straight wins, reaching as high as No. 3 in the AP Poll, before losing three of their next five games. They’ve been in unfamiliar territory for months now as an unranked team.
Meanwhile, the Dons have to be overjoyed with the position they’re in: a 23-7 overall record and a chance to finish second in the WCC with a win in their final regular-season game.
Much of their success has been off the backs of their star duo in the backcourt, seniors Malik Thomas and Marcus Williams.
Thomas, a 6’5″ combo guard, leads the conference in scoring with 19.3 ppg. He shoots 40.1% from beyond the arc on 5.1 attempts per game while showing elite slashing ability.
A 6’2″ fifth-year senior, Williams leads the team in assists with 4.2 apg while adding 14.7 ppg and grabbing 3.7 rpg. He’s also lethal from deep, shooting 40.6% on 5.3 attempts a night. He’s been a steady contributor for the Dons going on three seasons.
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The Bulldogs have a much more balanced attack led by their physically imposing forward, Graham Ike. At 6’9″, 250 pounds, Ike is noticeably stronger than a majority of the big men in the conference, scoring 17.1 ppg and snagging 7.5 rpg, both team-highs.
Senior point guard Ryan Nembhard is an excellent table-setter for Gonzaga; he leads the nation with 9.8 apg. In their last outing against Santa Clara, he had 15 dimes along with scoring 12 points.
Three other players — guards Khalif Battle, Nolan Hickman, and forward Braden Huff — average double-digit scoring and have all registered multiple 20-point games this season.
This will be the second matchup of the season, with Gonzaga pulling out an 88-77 win in Spokane.
The second meeting will be played at Chase Center, home of the NBA’s Golden State Warriors. While the game is in San Francisco, the bigger arena might favor the visiting team — it’s highly unlikely the Dons will pack the house like they would if it were in their home arena.
Regardless, by the early hours of Sunday morning, we’ll know exactly who the second-place team in the WCC will be.
Best Bets and Final Score Prediction
Despite having one less win over the course of the season and having an identical conference record, Gonzaga is the better team in this matchup. But that doesn’t mean the Dons can’t compete and ultimately beat them.
Although the Bulldogs have proven to be the better team, this line is still too high. They aren’t ranked in the top-25. Yes, they still have the great Mark Few roaming the sidelines as their head coach. Yes, they have experience.
But when this game was played at the Kennel in Spokane, San Francisco only lost by 11 points, led by a 25-point effort by star guard Thomas.
Now, the line is set at Gonzaga -9.5. That’s simply too high, especially since the game is going to be played in San Francisco. It’ll be at Chase Center, which may give it a neutral feel in terms of the court, but the fans will still be on the Dons’ side.
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Now, the numbers: the Bulldogs have only covered 12 of their 30 contests this season, a percentage of exactly 40%. The Dons have covered six of their past seven games.
For all of those reasons, take San Francisco +9.5.
The intensity of this game also makes this unlikely to hit the over on 157.5 points. Both these teams have been trending under; it’s a safe play considering the fact that this likely won’t be a track meet, especially down the stretch.
This will be a dog fight (no pun intended) between the Dons and Bulldogs. Ultimately, it’s tough to pick against Few in WCC games that matter, so while I think they’ll still pull out the win, San Francisco will make it extremely close, potentially even having a chance in the final possession.
Picks: Under 157.5 Points, San Francisco +9.5
Prediction: Gonzaga 73, San Francisco 72
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