Oklahoma vs. Navy Prediction: Blake Horvath Runs Away With Upset Win Over Sooners

    Do the Sooners have enough firepower left to take down the Midshipmen? Dive into our Oklahoma vs. Navy prediction to find out.

    The 2024 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl marks a rare rematch between the Oklahoma Sooners and the Navy Midshipmen. The two teams clashed once before, back in 1956, with Navy emerging victorious in a 10-0 shutout.

    Who will claim bragging rights this time? Our Oklahoma vs. Navy prediction dives into all the details — from the latest betting odds to what’s on the line for both teams in this highly anticipated bowl matchup.

    CFN CFB Playoff Predictor
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    Oklahoma vs. Navy Armed Forces Bowl Betting Preview

    All Oklahoma vs. Navy odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, Dec. 27, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.

    • CFN FPM Spread
      Oklahoma -4.5
    • Spread
      Oklahoma -2.5
    • Moneyline
      Oklahoma -135, Navy +114
    • Over/Under
      43.5 points
    • Game Time
      Noon ET, Friday, Dec. 27
    • Location
      Amon G. Carter Stadium | Fort Worth, Texas
    • Predicted Weather at Kick
      TBD
    • How To Watch
      ESPN

    The Midshipmen have been hot this season, going 8-3 against the spread in their 11 games and pushing the total over in all three of its non-conference contests. That said, the under has hit in four of their last five matchups overall.

    MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator

    Meanwhile, Oklahoma games have gone over in four of the past six. Spread-wise, the program has performed better than its 6-6 overall record might indicate, as it went 4-2 ATS as the favorite.

    Oklahoma’s Winning Probability

    After the Brent Venables kicked off with a measly 6-7 record, the Sooners seemingly found their stride, going 10-3 last year. However, they fell back to Earth with QB issues in 2024, winning six games once again.

    • at Navy: 59.6%

    Navy’s Winning Probability

    The Midshipmen have enjoyed their best campaign since 2019, in head coach Brian Newberry’s second season, no less. Their win over the Army Black Knights was arguably their best of the year, but upsetting Oklahoma in the Armed Forced Bowl would be the cherry on top.

    • vs. Oklahoma: 40.4%

    Prediction for Oklahoma vs. Navy

    Navy burst out of the gates this season, covering the spread in all five FBS matchups and staying undefeated through six games. But their momentum came to a screeching halt with a crushing 51-14 loss to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

    The Midshipmen then stumbled, suffering a shocking 24-10 upset against the underdog Rice Owls before being shut out 35-0 by the Tulane Green Wave.

    On the other hand, Oklahoma’s season has been a rollercoaster of inconsistency, riddled with shaky performances and high-profile portal departures, including QB Jackson Arnold, TE Bauer Sharp, and multiple wide receivers.

    MORE: 2024 College Football Bowl Game Opt-Out Tracker

    Backup QB Michael Hawkins Jr., who was benched earlier in the season, now steps back in to ignite an offense that ranks a disappointing 94th in scoring and 121st in total yards. Meanwhile, Navy thrives in adversity, entering bowl season with a strong 5-1 record in their last six appearances.

    With no major portal losses, a healthy star QB in Blake Horvath, and their signature triple-option attack intact, the Midshipmen are primed to take advantage of Oklahoma’s morale and roster issues, potentially capping their season with a 10th victory.

    Prediction: Navy 27, Oklahoma 20

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