Just a week ago, the Oklahoma Sooners seemed down for the count, but they’ve reignited hope for a winning season with a shocking and commanding 24-3 victory over the Alabama Crimson Tide. Now, they’re gearing up for a massive showdown in Death Valley against the LSU Tigers, with both teams hungry for positive momentum heading into transfer portal season.
As always, the Baton Rouge crowd will be a force to reckon with—but will Tigers fans direct their frustration more at the Sooners or their own head coach? Dive into our Oklahoma vs. LSU prediction to find out where we stand.
Oklahoma vs. LSU Betting Preview
All Oklahoma vs. LSU odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
LSU -6.5 - Spread
LSU -5.5 - Moneyline
LSU -225, Oklahoma +185 - Over/Under
48 points - Game Time
Saturday, Nov. 30, 7 p.m. ET - Location
Tiger Stadium | Baton Rouge, La. - Predicted Weather at Kick
54 degrees, partly cloudy, 3 mph winds - How To Watch
ESPN
Neither of these teams has met expectations this season, as Oklahoma looked lost from the start and LSU collapsed down the stretch. Accordingly, while they’ll each be disappointed with the season as a whole, these teams desperately want some positive momentum to end the regular season.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season with CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
The line is only six points here, and the total is indicative of two teams with serious issues on one side of the ball. A total of 47 points and a spread of six points in favor of the Tigers implies Vegas thinks LSU should win by a score close to 27-21.
Oklahoma’s Winning Probability
CFN’s FPM is in line with the Vegas spread, as it has the Sooners as 6.5-point underdogs. That translates to a winning probability of about 32.3%. The Sooners would love to get to the end of the regular season on a two-game winning streak, but it will be difficult on the road.
- at LSU: 32.3%
LSU’s Winning Probability
LSU has a 67.7% chance to win at home, per FPM. The Tigers would move to 8-4, which still feels disappointing given their high preseason hopes but would be substantially better than the alternative. The Tigers need to keep positive momentum to hold together a strong recruiting class before the early signing period.
- vs. Oklahoma: 67.7%
Prediction for Oklahoma vs. LSU
The Oklahoma offense and LSU defense have been serviceable this season, but the other units for both teams? A complete mess.
Early on, LSU seemed to have resolved last year’s defensive struggles, but those issues have crept back up. The Tigers have given up more than 25 points in four of their last six games. Compounding the problem, the offense has gone cold in second halves. Starting with the Texas A&M Aggies, LSU has put up 10 or fewer points after halftime in four consecutive games.
That lack of production has left their shaky defense, particularly against the run, exposed.
Oklahoma has its own set of problems, though. The passing game is virtually non-existent right now. Even in their blowout win over Alabama, the Sooners managed just 68 yards through the air. On the flip side, their rushing attack has found a rhythm lately, thanks to Jackson Arnold’s willingness to run from the quarterback spot.
Here’s the bottom line: Oklahoma’s offense is still a weak link. Even with LSU’s leaky rushing defense, can the Sooners muster enough firepower to outscore the Tigers? Against Alabama, Oklahoma managed just 17 offensive points. Their defense, while disruptive off the edge, couldn’t seal the deal.
This week, they’ll face one of the top offensive tackle pairings in the country.
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That’s the key matchup to watch. If Oklahoma’s defensive line can break through LSU’s Will Campbell and Emery Jones Jr. and pressure Garrett Nussmeier, they have a real shot to pull off the upset. In a low-scoring, grind-it-out game, Oklahoma’s run-first approach could keep them competitive.
Still, I think LSU’s passing game has just enough juice to make the difference. If the Tigers strike early, forcing Arnold to air it out, the Sooners will be in trouble.
Ultimately, I see LSU pulling this one out at home—close, but in their favor.
Prediction: LSU 27, Oklahoma 17
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