In the heat of the desert, a storied rivalry resumes. The Arizona State Sun Devils (9-2, 6-2 Big 12) travel to Tucson to face the Arizona Wildcats (4-7, 2-6 Big 12) at Arizona Stadium on Saturday, Nov. 30. Fresh off a hard-fought 28-23 victory over BYU, the Sun Devils carry momentum into this clash of in-state foes.
For Arizona, it’s a week of redemption after falling 49-28 to TCU. The Wildcats will look to rally in front of their home crowd, eager to reclaim pride in a rivalry etched in tradition. In the Territorial Cup, records fade, and passion rises.
Arizona State vs. Arizona Betting Preview
All Arizona State vs. Arizona odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Arizona State -9 - Spread
Arizona State -7.5 - Moneyline
Arizona State -265, Arizona +215 - Over/Under
54 points - Game Time
Saturday, Nov. 30, 3:30 p.m. ET - Location
Arizona Stadium | Tucson, AZ - Predicted Weather at Kick
70 degrees, mostly cloudy, 4 mph winds - How To Watch
FOX
This line opened at -8.5 and has floated between -8 and -9 since then. It has settled back down on the original opening line but will most likely see some more movement as action comes in prior to kickoff.
The total opened at 50.5 and has steadily climbed since the opening. It now sits at 53.5 and will likely see more movement before kickoff.
Arizona State’s Winning Probability
According to CFN’s Football Playoff Meter, the Sun Devils have a 75.1% chance of defeating the Wildcats on Saturday.
If the win probability holds, Arizona State would finish the 2024 regular season at 10-2, which equals the most wins for Sun Devils football since they finished 10-3 in 2014. If the Devils can defeat the Wildcats on Sunday and win their bowl game, they’d win 11 games for the first time since 1999.
- at Arizona: 75.1%
Arizona’s Winning Probability
According to the CFN FPM, Arizona has a 24.9% chance of defeating Arizona State in the Territorial Cup on Saturday.
If the win probabilities hold, the Wildcats would finish 2024 at 4-8, which would cap a wildly disappointing first season under head coach Brent Brennan. At one point, the Wildcats were ranked as high as No. 20 in the AP poll, and they entered 2024 with high expectations after finishing 2023 at 10-3 with a victory in the Alamo Bowl.
- vs. Arizona State: 24.9%
Prediction for Arizona State vs. Arizona
The Territorial Cup brings a fresh chapter this year as Arizona State and Arizona square off for the first time as Big 12 rivals. For the Sun Devils, a win in Tucson punches their ticket to the Big 12 Championship Game, though other scenarios could still keep their title hopes alive.
Arizona State has been a model of consistency, boasting one of the nation’s top records against the spread (9-2). Their offense has been balanced and explosive, averaging 31 points per game with 209 passing yards and 191 rushing yards.
Defensively, the Sun Devils have held steady, allowing just 23 points per game while containing both the pass and the run effectively.
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For the Wildcats, the story has been more turbulent. Arizona has dropped four of its last five games, including a tough 49-28 loss to TCU last week. While they’ve flashed offensive potential with 256 passing yards per game, consistency has been elusive.
On defense, they’ve struggled, surrendering 28 points per game and giving up 167 rushing yards per contest.
Arizona is chasing history, aiming for its third straight Territorial Cup win for the first time in 30 years. However, they’ll have to overcome a surging Sun Devils squad with championship ambitions and momentum firmly on their side.
All signs point to Arizona State seizing the moment in Tucson.
Prediction: Arizona State 33, Arizona 20
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