Here are our top tennis picks, best bets, and reliable predictions for today’s matches at the Madrid Open. World No. 1 Jannik Sinner aims for his fifth consecutive Masters title as he faces Cameron Norrie in the round of 16 on Tuesday.
Mirra Andreeva will take on Leylah Fernandez in a bid to reach the semifinals in Madrid. In addition to these two matches, we will include the best bets from three more contests, so you can maximize your chances of winning with our trusted analysis.
Top Tennis Picks and Best Bets Today
Jannik Sinner vs. Cameron Norrie: Total Games Over 18.5 (+100)
This will be the first tour meeting between Sinner and Norrie. The Brit is competing in his third claycourt event of the season, while the Italian is in his second, having won in Monte Carlo by defeating defending champion Carlos Alcaraz and reclaiming the top rank.
Norrie has a 5-2 record on clay this season, whereas Sinner is undefeated at 7-0, displaying a formidable brand of tennis. We see no reason why the Italian shouldn’t win today, but we also expect the Brit to win at least 6-7 games, albeit in a losing cause. This makes our prediction a strong betting option.
Leylah Fernandez vs. Mirra Andreeva: Set Spread, Andreeva -1.5 (-102)
This will be the third match between Andreeva and Fernandez, and their second encounter at the Madrid Open. Their first meeting on clay came at the 2023 edition of the tournament, where the Russian teenage sensation won in straight sets. Later that year, Fernandez avenged this loss by defeating Andreeva at the Hong Kong Open.
This season, both players have performed well on clay: Fernandez has a 6-2 record, while Andreeva boasts a 10-1 record, winning the Linz Open and reaching the semifinals at Stuttgart.
We strongly favor the teenager continuing her run in the Spanish capital and, despite a stern test from Fernandez, expect her to win today, cover the spread, and advance to the semifinals.
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Casper Ruud: Set Spread, Ruud -1.5 (-110)
This will be the sixth meeting between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Casper Ruud. The Norwegian leads the Lexus ATP head-to-head 3-2, with three of those five meetings on clay.
On clay, the results have swung like a pendulum between the duo: Ruud defeated Tsitsipas in the 2021 Madrid Open R16; the Greek won the Monte Carlo Masters final against the Norwegian in 2024; and Ruud defeated the Greek again just days later in the Barcelona Open final.
We expect this to be a thrilling contest between two resurgent stars on the ATP tour. While clay suits either player, we will lean toward Ruud to win the match today, cover the spread, and advance to the quarterfinals.
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Hailey Baptiste: Total Games Under 18.5 (+118)
This will be the second meeting between World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka and 24-year-old American Hailey Baptiste this season. Their only previous meeting was at the Miami Open last month, which the Belarusian won in straight sets.
This should be a one-sided match, as we don’t expect Baptiste to make life troublesome for Sabalenka today. We also predict that Baptiste will win at most 6 games in the match. Expect Sabalenka to register a straight-set victory, keeping the total games under 18 in a ruthless display.
Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Zverev: Set Spread, Zverev -1.5 (+105)
This will be the first professional tournament meeting between Alexander Zverev and Jakub Mensik. The German entered the Madrid Open following consecutive semifinal runs in Monte Carlo and Munich, whereas Mensik is competing in his first claycourt event of the season.
The 20-year-old Czech talent has the potential to cause an upset, but we believe he is unlikely to defeat Zverev today. Zverev moves better on clay, and his groundstrokes have been a powerful weapon during key rallies. As a result, we predict Zverev will win the match and cover the spread.
*All bets and wagers sourced from BetMGM
Also read
College Sports Network has you covered with the latest news, analysis, insights, and trending stories in tennis, college football, men’s college basketball, women’s college basketball, and college baseball!
