In a polarizing turn, Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart, drafted No. 25 by the Giants in 2025, faces scrutiny despite his perfect 100 SPS score.
Celebrated by fans for outranking other NFL stars, Dart’s potential is still being questioned by a former NFL scout, who has branded him as a “career backup.”
“Don’t Bet on Ole Miss Star with No Starting Upside” — Scout Warns Giants About Jaxson Dart
On Tuesday, an X post by Everything Ole Miss celebrated Jaxson Dart’s unprecedented 100 Star-Predictor Score (SPS), a metric by Brainy Ballers that forecasts NFL success for fantasy football. He was the only quarterback to achieve a perfect score, surpassing stars like Patrick Mahomes (96) and Lamar Jackson (99, revised from 100).
DID YOU KNOW❓
Jaxson Dart is the only QB in history with a 100 SPS score. This is more than Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, etc.
The SPS is a test that predicts player success when entering the NFL. pic.twitter.com/rFY5VDw00z
— Everything Ole Miss (@EverythingRebs) May 13, 2025
However, a contrasting evaluation emerged on the same day from a former NFL scout on X, who labeled Dart a “career backup ceiling prospect.”
Analyzing every snap from Dart’s 2024 season at Ole Miss, the scout highlighted flaws: a 45.5% completion rate on deep passes (+20 air yards), poor pocket awareness, and inconsistent mechanics, often locking onto receivers at the intermediate level (11-19 yards).
As a former NFL Scout, this is my response about Jaxson Dart.
These are the negatives I wrote after studying every snap Dart took in 2024 —this is what the Giants are really getting. They’re getting a career backup ceiling prospect that they’re going to try to make into a… https://t.co/x4TCUzjjlm
— FIRST ROUND MOCK (@firstroundmock) May 13, 2025
The scout’s critique dug deeper into Dart’s 2024 performance, noting his slow processing and 32 passes broken up (PBUs) over 13 games—averaging 2.46 per game—along with ill-advised throws under pressure and a lack of anticipation, with only 10 instances of throwing before receivers’ breaks at the intermediate level.
Despite Dart’s college success, including leading Ole Miss to a 10-3 record and earning first-team All-SEC honors, the scout assigned him a Round 3 grade, warning the Giants against viewing him as a franchise quarterback.
This assessment starkly opposes the SPS hype, which ranks Dart above Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts (99) in the Brainy Ballers’ all-time quarterback SPS list.
Adding to the controversy, the scout pointed out Dart’s below-average escapability, frequent sacks, and discomfort when progressing beyond his first read, often resorting to upper-body throws that sailed high.
This evaluation echoes the scout’s past grades—5th Round for Kenny Pickett and 3rd Round for Zach Wilson, both of whom struggled as NFL starters.
Meanwhile, Everything Ole Miss’s post sparked mixed reactions. While some fans celebrated Dart’s SPS milestone, others on X accused him of using AI to inflate his score, reflecting broader skepticism about modern scouting metrics and Dart’s true potential.
The celebration of Dart’s perfect SPS score by Everything Ole Miss has fueled optimism among Ole Miss fans, with one supporter noting, “He’s been a winner his whole career.” However, the metric’s reliability has come under fire.
A reply to the post clarified that Lamar Jackson’s initial 100 SPS in 2018 was revised to 99 after a formula update, positioning Dart as the sole 100 scorer—a change that some fans argue undermines the SPS’s consistency. This revision has only deepened doubts about whether Dart’s score truly reflects his NFL potential.
KEEP READING: Former Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart Begins NFL Journey With Big Expectations After $17M Deal
Dart’s college resume offers a more tangible case for his supporters. The 21-year-old, 6’2″, 225-pound quarterback transferred from USC to Ole Miss in 2022, amassing 10,617 passing yards—a program record surpassing Eli Manning’s 10,119.
A PFF scouting report from March praised Dart’s 94.3 clean-pocket grade (second in the FBS) and his ability to adjust velocity on throws, though it noted his struggles when forced off initial reads. Critics, however, align with the scout’s view, pointing to Dart’s lack of elite arm talent and mechanical inconsistencies as red flags for the NFL level.
Jaxson Dart’s perfect 100 SPS score, celebrated by Everything Ole Miss, has set lofty expectations, but the former NFL scout’s brutal critique reveals a starkly different reality. While Dart’s college achievements at Ole Miss highlight his potential, his mechanical flaws, slow processing, and questionable metrics raise serious concerns for the Giants.
As the debate over his NFL readiness rages on, Dart’s rookie season will be a proving ground to determine if he can defy the “career backup” label and validate his historic SPS score.
College Sports Network has you covered with the latest news, analysis, insights, and trending stories in college football, men’s college basketball, women’s college basketball, and college baseball!
