The Arizona State Sun Devils and Iowa State Cyclones are set to collide for the Big 12 Championship on Saturday, December 7, from AT&T Stadium in Dallas — a showdown packed with stakes and compelling storylines.
Arizona State rides a wave of momentum into this matchup, fresh off a commanding 49-7 rivalry victory over Arizona. Meanwhile, a determined Iowa State squad punched its ticket with a hard-fought 29-21 win against Kansas State, showcasing the grit and resilience that championship teams are made of.
With a College Football Playoff berth hanging in the balance, who will rise to the occasion in the Big 12 Championship Game?
Big 12 Championship Game Betting Preview
All Big 12 Championship Game odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and correct as of Saturday, Dec. 7, 2024. The CFN FPM Spread is from the College Football Network Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Arizona State -1 - Spread
Arizona State -1 - Moneyline
Arizona State -118, Iowa State -102 - Over/Under
50.5 points - Game time
Noon ET - Location
AT&T Stadium | Arlington, TX - Predicted Weather at Kick
56 degrees, partly cloudy, 2 mph winds - How to Watch
ABC
This one has seen a lot of movement, as the favorite has flipped since the opening line.
The Cyclones were the initial favorites, with the line opening at Iowa State -1. With plenty of action pouring in, though, the Sun Devils have now flipped as the favorite, currently sitting back at -1.
The total hasn’t been as active as the spread since the opening. It opened at 50.5 and briefly ticked up to 51 before settling back at its opening mark.
Iowa State’s Winning Probability
History beckons for Iowa State. The Cyclones, 10-2 on the season, have achieved something never done before in their storied program — double-digit regular-season wins. Now, they march into their first Big 12 Championship Game since 2020, carrying the weight of a century-long drought. S
light underdogs have a 49.2% chance of victory, per CFN FPM, and this team knows what’s at stake. A win on Saturday wouldn’t just be a title; it would be Iowa State’s first championship since 1912.
- at Arizona State: 49.2%
Arizona State’s Winning Probability
In their inaugural season in the Big 12, Arizona State has arrived at the doorstep of history. Fresh off reclaiming the Territorial Cup, the Sun Devils have secured their first 10-win regular season in a decade, as Kenny Dillingham and Arizona State has flipped the script from a 3-9 season just a year ago.
Now, the Sun Devils are narrow favorites to capture their first championship since 2007. With a 50.8% chance of victory, according to the CFN FPM, Saturday at AT&T Stadium is more than a game — it’s a chance to cement a new era for Arizona State football.
- vs. Iowa State: 50.8%
Prediction for Big 12 Championship Game
Two teams with identical records but vastly different journeys meet on the grand stage of the Big 12 Championship.
Arizona State, picked to finish last in the conference, defied expectations and earned its spot with a dominant win over Arizona. Iowa State, fresh off a gritty victory over Kansas State, needed a little help from BYU’s win over Houston to secure its berth. These programs have never crossed paths before, but the stakes couldn’t be higher.
In just his second year, Kenny Dillingham has orchestrated a remarkable turnaround for Arizona State. After last year’s 3-9 campaign, the Sun Devils now stand as legitimate conference contenders.
At the heart of ASU’s success is running back Cameron Skattebo, who has racked up 1,221 rushing yards, 14 touchdowns, and 460 receiving yards. Quarterback Sam Leavitt has also been a steady presence, throwing for 2,441 yards and 21 touchdowns. However, the potential absence of star receiver Jordyn Tyson—who left last week’s game with an injury—casts a shadow over the Sun Devils’ offense.
For Iowa State, this marks their second trip to the Big 12 title game. Quarterback Rocco Becht has been the driving force behind their success, amassing 2,884 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, and six rushing scores.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
The Cyclones’ biggest concern lies in their run defense, ranked 99th in the FBS. Facing ASU’s 32nd-ranked rushing attack, led by Skattebo, will be a true test of their ability to hold the line.
Ultimately, this game could come down to turnovers. If Becht and Iowa State can protect the football, they’ll have a shot. But with Arizona State’s punishing ground game primed to exploit the Cyclones’ defensive vulnerabilities, the Sun Devils appear poised to cap off their improbable championship run.
Prediction: Arizona State 30, Iowa State 23
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