College Football Playoff Meter 2024

College Football Playoff Meter 2024

View CFN's Football Playoff Meter, analyzing all 134 teams across the nation and their up-to-the-minute postseason chances. Run 10,000 simulations to view projected win totals, chances to win out, and chances to play and win the National Championship.

Introducing CFN’s Football Playoff Meter, FPM, whose sole goal is to analyze the strength of every team from 1 to 134 in college football. CFN’s FPM gives fans a one-of-a-kind look at the strength of each team in college football and their respective, up-to-the-minute chances to win a varying level of scenarios, from bowl eligibility to winning the National Championship.

2024 College Football Playoff Power Rankings

Use the table below to find where your favorite team ranks among its peers for a variety of scenarios. Scroll to the bottom of the page for a full glossary of what each term means and how we generated these numbers.

The Strength of Schedule numbers below are for each team’s preseason ranking (first = hardest) and their remaining strength of schedule.

TeamConferenceW-LFPMPreseason S.O.S.Remaining S.O.S.Projected W-LWin Out %Win Conf.%Make Playoff%Make CFP NC%Win CFP NC%
TexasSEC5-033.321810.8-1.222.49%25.12%80.46%28.14%14.82%
Ohio StateB1G5-033.0231410.6-1.415.90%19.06%71.19%29.44%15.31%
OregonB1G5-032.0252910.9-1.126.05%29.35%86.23%27.52%14.69%
GeorgiaSEC4-132.04349.5-2.512.88%11.59%30.13%28.93%14.53%
AlabamaSEC4-130.36469.5-2.513.90%12.17%28.40%11.97%6.00%
Penn StateB1G5-030.0213010.7-1.319.81%22.51%76.88%12.22%6.18%
LSUSEC4-127.51558.8-3.25.90%6.02%15.48%11.39%5.43%
Ole MissSEC5-127.327129.2-2.88.83%7.87%19.41%10.92%5.01%
TennesseeSEC4-126.832479.2-2.87.65%7.50%19.95%9.90%4.71%
Miami-FLACC6-026.0496110.9-1.127.63%36.51%86.53%10.29%4.80%
Texas A&MSEC5-125.014579.3-2.79.70%22.70%22.45%10.28%4.60%
ClemsonACC4-124.319709.6-2.419.81%25.38%36.35%8.58%3.80%
IndianaB1G6-023.8632610.0-2.05.63%6.30%55.50%0.12%0.03%
Notre DameInd.4-123.545669.6-2.418.90%035.99%0.01%0.00%
Iowa StateBig 125-022.044369.6-2.44.64%11.33%34.19%0.05%0.02%
MissouriSEC4-121.853558.8-3.24.11%5.16%15.39%0.01%0.00%
MichiganB1G4-221.8377.2-4.80.84%4.53%2.73%0.00%0.00%
UtahBig 124-121.361438.6-3.44.77%19.76%13.83%0.01%0.00%
BYUBig 125-021.038529.7-2.35.13%8.69%39.96%0.00%0.00%
ArizonaBig 123-220.862497.6-4.44.83%15.29%5.96%0.00%0.00%
USCB1G3-220.55287.2-4.81.86%4.51%2.35%0.00%0.00%
Kansas StateBig 124-120.048508.5-3.53.93%16.62%13.50%0.03%0.01%
OklahomaSEC4-119.8267.1-4.90.11%0.35%2.11%0.01%0.01%
West VirginiaBig 123-219.520357.1-4.92.18%6.80%2.33%0.00%0.00%
Texas TechBig 125-119.355418.6-3.43.82%10.80%13.60%0.01%0.01%
SMUACC5-118.868608.9-3.17.08%10.79%15.61%0.01%0.00%
LouisvilleACC3-218.541226.6-5.40.53%1.12%0.45%0.00%0.00%
Boise StateMWC4-118.379889.6-2.418.80%28.68%30.88%0.02%0.00%
KentuckySEC3-218.310436.7-5.30.31%0.49%0.81%0.00%0.00%
PittsburghACC5-018.059378.8-3.21.18%2.26%15.57%0.01%0.00%
IllinoisB1G4-118.035518.1-3.90.90%1.08%8.93%0.00%0.00%
UNLVMWC4-117.875819.4-2.613.60%29.25%20.92%0.00%0.00%
Georgia TechACC4-217.51296.7-5.30.34%7.79%0.73%0.00%0.00%
NebraskaB1G5-117.343107.7-4.30.32%0.63%6.24%0.00%0.00%
IowaB1G3-216.847677.5-4.54.12%7.92%4.75%0.01%0.01%
ArkansasSEC4-216.811166.6-5.40.14%0.35%0.44%0.00%0.00%
VanderbiltSEC3-216.86156.0-6.00.08%0.26%0.12%0.00%0.00%
Washington StatePac-124-116.585989.5-2.516.11%55.14%30.29%0.03%0.01%
Oklahoma StateBig 123-316.555386.0-6.01.49%4.39%0.10%0.00%0.00%
RutgersB1G4-116.355588.0-4.11.56%2.52%8.69%0.00%0.00%
WashingtonB1G4-216.03036.1-5.90.04%0.06%0.14%0.01%0.01%
SyracuseACC4-115.867487.6-4.40.58%2.75%5.10%0.01%0.00%
Boston CollegeACC4-215.833427.1-4.91.86%1.93%2.36%0.00%0.00%
Arizona StateBig 124-115.824237.1-4.90.29%1.22%2.08%0.00%0.00%
ColoradoBig 124-115.536317.3-4.70.36%1.02%3.28%0.00%0.00%
MemphisAAC4-114.895959.3-2.711.85%20.67%14.10%0.01%0.00%
Virginia TechACC3-314.863455.9-6.11.15%1.91%0.06%0.00%0.00%
WisconsinB1G3-214.829185.8-6.20.06%0.11%0.03%0.00%0.00%
South CarolinaSEC3-214.816195.5-6.50.02%0.06%0.01%0.00%0.00%
TulaneAAC4-214.580998.5-3.515.57%25.54%7.84%0.00%0.00%
UCFBig 123-214.550175.7-6.30.09%0.46%0.04%0.00%0.00%
James MadisonSun Belt4-114.31341269.7-2.323.62%39.78%34.73%0.01%0.00%
MinnesotaB1G3-314.334325.7-6.30.45%0.98%0.06%0.00%0.00%
LibertyCUSA4-014.01331309.7-2.321.77%58.64%35.27%0.01%0.00%
Texas StateSun Belt3-214.01311318.7-3.322.90%35.68%11.35%0.00%0.00%
TCUBig 123-313.838325.5-6.50.44%1.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CaliforniaACC3-213.551626.5-5.50.67%3.50%0.35%0.00%0.00%
MarylandB1G3-213.546135.7-6.30.01%0.17%0.02%0.00%0.00%
FloridaSEC3-213.5114.7-7.30.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Fresno StateMWC3-213.388968.1-3.99.80%33.39%6.69%0.02%0.01%
DukeACC5-113.059547.8-4.20.50%0.85%7.32%0.00%0.00%
Oregon StatePac-124-112.570718.0-4.01.25%44.86%8.21%0.00%0.00%
VirginiaACC4-112.540216.4-5.60.03%0.35%0.38%0.00%0.00%
ArmyAAC5-012.01241049.9-2.14.97%33.43%36.79%0.01%0.00%
AuburnSEC2-412.025103.9-8.10.03%0.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NC StateACC3-311.866635.9-6.11.05%2.07%0.03%0.00%0.00%
CincinnatiBig 123-211.852255.4-6.60.04%0.12%0.01%0.00%0.00%
KansasBig 121-511.858383.3-8.70.19%0.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BaylorBig 122-411.542554.5-7.50.36%1.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Michigan StateB1G3-311.027275.1-6.90.09%0.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NavyAAC5-010.898759.0-3.01.01%10.08%11.78%0.01%0.00%
Western KentuckyCUSA3-210.0831328.0-4.06.96%17.72%6.06%0.00%0.00%
North CarolinaACC3-310.065655.6-6.40.58%1.20%0.03%0.00%0.00%
LouisianaSun Belt4-19.81201088.6-3.44.48%8.43%10.47%0.00%0.00%
USFAAC2-39.5761186.7-5.35.05%5.92%0.25%0.00%0.00%
ToledoMAC4-19.01261128.6-3.44.59%20.26%12.72%0.00%0.00%
Wake ForestACC2-39.053594.7-7.30.04%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Northern IllinoisMAC3-28.3971117.4-4.63.43%17.52%3.69%0.00%0.00%
Bowling GreenMAC2-38.0991216.5-5.53.96%21.00%0.36%0.00%0.00%
StanfordACC2-38.036534.3-7.70.02%0.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Florida StateACC1-57.517643.2-8.80.04%1.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%
PurdueB1G1-47.31222.4-9.60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
San Jose StateMWC4-17.0100696.8-5.20.08%0.69%0.49%0.00%0.00%
Sam HoustonCUSA5-16.8911108.5-3.52.79%14.10%10.28%0.00%0.00%
UCLAB1G1-46.58402.7-9.30.00%0.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Mississippi StateSEC1-46.5942.3-9.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
HoustonBig 122-46.018243.2-8.80.00%0.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%
MarshallSun Belt3-25.8781056.8-5.20.96%5.00%0.44%0.00%0.00%
Jacksonville StateCUSA2-35.31051145.8-6.20.94%4.42%0.01%0.00%0.00%
Colorado StateMWC2-35.0801225.9-6.11.23%2.10%0.02%0.00%0.00%
UL-MonroeSun Belt4-14.871837.1-4.90.23%3.06%1.47%0.00%0.00%
OhioMAC3-24.81171267.0-5.01.64%8.76%1.42%0.00%0.00%
NorthwesternB1G2-34.830203.3-8.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Georgia SouthernSun Belt3-24.5891096.6-5.40.69%1.67%0.27%0.00%0.00%
Coastal CarolinaSun Belt4-14.3116897.2-4.80.27%0.71%1.37%0.00%0.00%
North TexasAAC4-14.3119917.2-4.80.19%0.24%1.05%0.00%0.00%
Western MichiganMAC2-34.3901265.8-6.21.22%8.18%0.04%0.00%0.00%
Georgia StateSun Belt2-24.0107845.5-6.50.06%0.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Eastern MichiganMAC4-13.81271237.7-4.30.97%7.01%5.02%0.00%0.00%
Arkansas StateSun Belt3-23.5951026.3-5.70.32%0.66%0.09%0.00%0.00%
Appalachian StateSun Belt2-33.393904.6-7.40.46%1.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Central MichiganMAC3-23.0111926.0-6.00.24%2.45%0.04%0.00%0.00%
UTSAAAC2-33.01091035.2-6.80.24%0.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Miami-OHMAC1-42.8911174.4-7.60.55%5.71%0.00%0.00%0.00%
San Diego StateMWC2-32.5102744.5-7.50.02%0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UConnInd.4-22.31211016.6-5.40.43%00.82%0.00%0.00%
South AlabamaSun Belt2-42.3931004.6-7.40.45%2.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%
HawaiiMWC2-32.3123734.4-7.60.01%0.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%
RiceAAC1-42.0111783.5-8.50.03%0.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CharlotteAAC3-32.0100775.1-6.90.08%0.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TulsaAAC2-41.81291345.0-7.01.32%1.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FIUCUSA2-31.81301255.4-6.60.32%0.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%
New MexicoMWC2-31.5861055.0-7.00.19%2.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Utah StateMWC1-41.082863.6-8.40.03%0.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BuffaloMAC3-20.51251296.2-5.80.31%1.72%0.13%0.00%0.00%
Ball StateMAC1-40.5106933.6-8.40.04%5.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NevadaMWC2-40.587723.9-9.10.03%0.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%
WyomingMWC1-40.5111793.3-8.70.01%0.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Air ForceMWC1-40.0114803.3-8.70.02%1.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Middle TennesseeCUSA1-40.0771334.3-7.70.31%1.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TroySun Belt1-50.01081133.4-8.60.34%0.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Louisiana TechCUSA1-30.01181194.3-7.70.03%0.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ECUAAC3-30.0128945.1-6.90.11%0.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FAUAAC2-30.01321204.9-7.10.17%0.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ODUSun Belt1-40.072763.0-9.00.01%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UMassInd.1-5-0.569682.8-9.20.00%00.00%0.00%0.00%
UTEPCUSA0-5-1.0841072.9-9.10.01%2.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Southern MissSun Belt1-4-1.0103813.1-8.90.01%0.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%
AkronMAC1-5-2.0741153.1-8.90.13%1.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TempleAAC1-5-2.01151163.2-8.80.10%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UABAAC1-4-2.0110853.1-8.90.01%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Kent StateMAC0-5-3.5731242.3-9.70.03%0.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%
New Mexico StateCUSA1-4-4.0104872.9-9.10.00%0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Kennesaw StateCUSA0-5-7.0121971.4-10.60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

CFN FPM Glossary

W-L (Win-Loss): The current win-loss record of each team in the current season. It reflects the number of games won and lost up to the current date.

FPM (Football Playoff Meter): A metric that evaluates a team’s chances of making the college football playoffs. This number is the backing behind CFN’s FPM, generated by CFN’s Power Rankings, which are influenced by each team’s successes, current roster makeup, and projection toward future success in a given season.

Preseason S.O.S.: The rank of each team’s strength of schedule from the preseason, first is the hardest schedule; 134th is the easiest.

Remaining S.O.S.: The rank of each team’s remaining games on their schedule in terms of strength of schedule. If a team has played their toughest games to date, their schedule has gotten significantly easier. Again, first is the hardest, 134th is the easiest.

Projected W-L (Projected Win-Loss): The forecasted win-loss record for the team based on their remaining schedule and current performance metrics. It predicts how the team is expected to perform for the rest of the season.

Win Out %: The percentage chance that a team will win all their remaining games in the current season. This is calculated based on the team’s performance metrics and the difficulty of their remaining opponents.

Win Conf. % (Win Conference %): The probability that a team will win their conference championship. This is derived using a proprietary simulation, which considers various factors, including the team’s win-loss probabilities and the performance of other teams in the conference.

Make Playoff %: The likelihood that a team will make the College Football Playoffs. This is calculated using a proprietary simulation that factors in each team’s winning probabilities, schedule strength, and the complexities of Group of Five (G5) teams making the playoffs.

Make NC % (Make National Championship %): The probability that a team will reach the National Championship game. This uses a proprietary simulation to determine the team’s ability to win against other playoff-bound teams, considering the rankings and strengths of all teams in a given playoff field.

Win NC % (Win National Championship %): The percentage chance that a team will win the national championship once they have made it to the national championship game. This is derived using a proprietary simulation, factoring in the team’s strength relative to other playoff and championship-bound teams.