Introducing CFN’s Football Playoff Meter, FPM, whose sole goal is to analyze the strength of every team from 1 to 134 in college football. CFN’s FPM gives fans a one-of-a-kind look at the strength of each team in college football and their respective, up-to-the-minute chances to win a varying level of scenarios, from bowl eligibility to winning the National Championship.
2024 College Football Playoff Power Rankings
Use the table below to find where your favorite team ranks among its peers for a variety of scenarios. Scroll to the bottom of the page for a full glossary of what each term means and how we generated these numbers.
The Strength of Schedule numbers below are for each team’s preseason ranking (first = hardest) and their remaining strength of schedule.
Team | Conference | W-L | FPM | Preseason S.O.S. | Remaining S.O.S. | Projected W-L | Win Out % | Win Conf.% | Make Playoff% | Make CFP NC% | Win CFP NC% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oregon | B1G | 9-0 | 33.8 | 25 | 57 | 11.8-0.2 | 81.14% | 48.73% | 99.19% | 28.27% | 15.01% |
Georgia | SEC | 7-1 | 33.0 | 4 | 30 | 10.3-1.7 | 42.50% | 33.51% | 49.03% | 28.17% | 14.44% |
Ohio State | B1G | 7-1 | 31.0 | 23 | 49 | 10.5-1.5 | 56.96% | 40.87% | 57.49% | 27.64% | 13.73% |
Texas | SEC | 7-1 | 31.0 | 21 | 31 | 10.3-1.7 | 41.32% | 25.14% | 48.07% | 26.89% | 13.72% |
Alabama | SEC | 6-2 | 30.0 | 6 | 70 | 9.3-2.7 | 38.20% | 3.00% | 16.48% | 12.11% | 6.36% |
Penn State | B1G | 7-1 | 29.8 | 21 | 64 | 10.5-1.5 | 56.41% | 1.77% | 58.32% | 11.69% | 5.51% |
Texas A&M | SEC | 7-2 | 29.5 | 14 | 62 | 9.3-2.7 | 36.82% | 7.94% | 16.18% | 12.14% | 5.90% |
Tennessee | SEC | 7-1 | 29.0 | 32 | 61 | 10.0-2.0 | 20.79% | 6.81% | 36.72% | 11.38% | 5.51% |
Miami-FL | ACC | 9-0 | 26.8 | 49 | 50 | 11.6-0.4 | 62.63% | 42.91% | 96.01% | 10.89% | 5.53% |
Indiana | B1G | 9-0 | 26.8 | 63 | 22 | 11.1-0.9 | 26.50% | 8.59% | 80.29% | 10.25% | 4.66% |
BYU | Big 12 | 8-0 | 26.5 | 38 | 54 | 11.3-0.7 | 47.79% | 43.98% | 88.54% | 10.77% | 5.19% |
LSU | SEC | 6-2 | 26.3 | 15 | 28 | 9.0-3.0 | 28.93% | 8.59% | 14.03% | 9.48% | 4.33% |
Clemson | ACC | 6-2 | 26.3 | 19 | 65 | 8.9-3.1 | 24.07% | 11.82% | 12.94% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
Ole Miss | SEC | 7-2 | 24.8 | 27 | 39 | 9.2-2.8 | 31.92% | 14.31% | 15.72% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Notre Dame | Ind. | 7-1 | 24.5 | 45 | 71 | 10.3-1.7 | 45.65% | 0 | 51.33% | 0.06% | 0.03% |
Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-1 | 22.8 | 44 | 36 | 9.9-2.1 | 25.30% | 16.57% | 28.74% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 22.3 | 48 | 25 | 8.9-3.1 | 21.23% | 11.39% | 12.26% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-1 | 22.3 | 59 | 24 | 9.3-2.7 | 10.32% | 0.20% | 17.21% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
SMU | ACC | 8-1 | 20.3 | 68 | 54 | 10.3-1.7 | 47.11% | 28.38% | 51.10% | 0.06% | 0.02% |
Missouri | SEC | 6-2 | 20.0 | 53 | 44 | 8.8-3.2 | 20.97% | 0.00% | 11.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-3 | 19.5 | 6 | 6 | 7.2-4.8 | 5.22% | 0.70% | 0.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Boise State | MWC | 7-1 | 19.0 | 79 | 114 | 10.5-1.5 | 61.21% | 49.81% | 53.33% | 0.05% | 0.00% |
Illinois | B1G | 6-3 | 19.0 | 35 | 66 | 8.1-3.9 | 33.94% | 0.00% | 5.92% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Arkansas | SEC | 5-4 | 18.8 | 11 | 25 | 6.4-5.6 | 5.63% | 0.00% | 0.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Michigan | B1G | 5-4 | 18.8 | 3 | 8 | 6.1-5.9 | 1.46% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Iowa | B1G | 6-3 | 18.0 | 47 | 60 | 8.1-3.9 | 36.51% | 0.03% | 6.49% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Louisville | ACC | 6-3 | 18.0 | 41 | 42 | 8.1-3.9 | 31.46% | 0.10% | 5.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Colorado | Big 12 | 6-2 | 17.8 | 36 | 46 | 8.5-3.5 | 14.97% | 22.65% | 10.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Wisconsin | B1G | 5-4 | 17.8 | 29 | 10 | 6.1-5.9 | 2.64% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-4 | 17.5 | 63 | 35 | 6.6-5.4 | 13.33% | 13.42% | 0.17% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Nebraska | B1G | 5-4 | 17.5 | 43 | 21 | 6.4-5.6 | 9.00% | 0.00% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
USC | B1G | 4-5 | 17.3 | 5 | 29 | 5.5-6.5 | 10.56% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Washington State | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 17.0 | 85 | 115 | 10.3-1.7 | 44.51% | 63.00% | 25.47% | 0.02% | 0.00% |
West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-4 | 16.8 | 20 | 38 | 6.2-5.8 | 8.33% | 0.27% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
South Carolina | SEC | 5-3 | 16.3 | 16 | 41 | 7.2-4.8 | 5.63% | 0.00% | 0.96% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Army | AAC | 8-0 | 16.0 | 124 | 75 | 10.8-1.2 | 17.37% | 29.99% | 56.92% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
Arizona | Big 12 | 3-6 | 16.0 | 62 | 50 | 4.6-7.4 | 13.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Minnesota | B1G | 6-3 | 16.0 | 34 | 15 | 7.4-4.6 | 8.52% | 0.01% | 1.84% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TCU | Big 12 | 5-4 | 15.8 | 38 | 62 | 6.8-5.2 | 19.86% | 0.69% | 0.25% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-4 | 15.8 | 12 | 5 | 5.9-6.1 | 0.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-3 | 15.5 | 55 | 40 | 7.8-4.2 | 21.96% | 2.26% | 4.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
California | ACC | 4-4 | 15.5 | 51 | 58 | 6.3-5.7 | 7.18% | 0.00% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Tulane | AAC | 7-2 | 15.3 | 80 | 91 | 9.3-2.7 | 41.49% | 36.62% | 10.03% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
UNLV | MWC | 6-2 | 15.0 | 75 | 111 | 9.2-2.8 | 41.16% | 18.88% | 11.51% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Arizona State | Big 12 | 6-2 | 15.0 | 24 | 19 | 7.8-4.2 | 3.28% | 2.16% | 4.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Florida | SEC | 4-4 | 15.0 | 1 | 12 | 4.8-7.2 | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Baylor | Big 12 | 5-4 | 14.8 | 42 | 56 | 6.7-5.3 | 17.08% | 0.00% | 0.19% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Memphis | AAC | 7-2 | 14.5 | 95 | 105 | 9.0-3.0 | 23.79% | 21.75% | 8.37% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
Utah | Big 12 | 4-4 | 14.5 | 61 | 14 | 5.4-6.6 | 1.45% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Syracuse | ACC | 6-2 | 14.3 | 67 | 34 | 7.9-4.1 | 3.02% | 0.00% | 4.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-6 | 14.3 | 55 | 23 | 3.9-8.1 | 2.78% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Oklahoma | SEC | 5-4 | 14.3 | 2 | 2 | 5.6-6.4 | 0.65% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Duke | ACC | 6-3 | 14.0 | 59 | 50 | 7.6-4.4 | 15.02% | 0.00% | 2.78% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Washington | B1G | 5-4 | 14.0 | 30 | 4 | 5.9-6.1 | 0.63% | 0.00% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
James Madison | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 13.5 | 134 | 125 | 9.3-2.7 | 44.82% | 12.03% | 13.35% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
Boston College | ACC | 4-4 | 13.5 | 33 | 31 | 5.8-6.2 | 2.54% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Michigan State | B1G | 4-5 | 12.8 | 27 | 68 | 5.6-6.4 | 11.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Kentucky | SEC | 3-6 | 12.8 | 10 | 45 | 4.4-7.6 | 2.15% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Cincinnati | Big 12 | 5-3 | 12.5 | 52 | 18 | 6.4-5.6 | 0.86% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Rutgers | B1G | 4-4 | 12.0 | 55 | 37 | 5.7-6.3 | 3.37% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Auburn | SEC | 3-6 | 11.8 | 25 | 17 | 4.0-8.0 | 0.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Kansas | Big 12 | 2-6 | 11.8 | 58 | 13 | 3.0-9.0 | 0.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Louisiana | Sun Belt | 7-1 | 11.5 | 120 | 131 | 10.2-1.8 | 43.31% | 48.76% | 41.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Texas State | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 11.5 | 131 | 130 | 6.7-5.3 | 20.46% | 2.65% | 0.08% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NC State | ACC | 5-4 | 11.3 | 66 | 48 | 6.4-5.6 | 10.28% | 2.71% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Western Kentucky | CUSA | 6-2 | 11.0 | 83 | 117 | 8.9-3.1 | 24.84% | 45.90% | 11.90% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Fresno State | MWC | 5-4 | 11.0 | 88 | 94 | 6.6-5.4 | 12.85% | 0.72% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Virginia | ACC | 4-4 | 10.8 | 40 | 11 | 4.8-7.2 | 0.13% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 10.0 | 70 | 73 | 6.1-5.9 | 4.04% | 37.00% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UCF | Big 12 | 4-5 | 10.0 | 50 | 20 | 4.9-7.1 | 2.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Liberty | CUSA | 5-2 | 9.8 | 133 | 102 | 7.2-3.8 | 8.51% | 3.66% | 0.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Navy | AAC | 6-2 | 9.8 | 98 | 72 | 7.8-4.2 | 3.53% | 0.05% | 1.62% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Bowling Green | MAC | 4-4 | 9.0 | 99 | 103 | 6.5-5.5 | 15.24% | 6.46% | 0.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
North Carolina | ACC | 5-4 | 8.8 | 65 | 69 | 6.4-5.6 | 9.01% | 0.22% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Maryland | B1G | 4-4 | 8.8 | 46 | 7 | 4.8-7.2 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Jacksonville State | CUSA | 5-3 | 8.5 | 105 | 99 | 7.5-4.5 | 12.93% | 45.12% | 1.62% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Wake Forest | ACC | 4-4 | 8.5 | 53 | 27 | 5.2-6.8 | 0.27% | 0.24% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
USF | AAC | 4-4 | 8.3 | 76 | 120 | 6.7-5.3 | 19.40% | 11.40% | 0.08% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Western Michigan | MAC | 5-3 | 8.0 | 90 | 100 | 7.4-4.6 | 12.21% | 27.09% | 1.61% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Houston | Big 12 | 4-5 | 7.8 | 18 | 16 | 4.8-7.2 | 0.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Miami-OH | MAC | 4-4 | 7.5 | 91 | 119 | 6.7-5.3 | 17.56% | 43.74% | 0.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UCLA | B1G | 3-5 | 6.8 | 8 | 46 | 4.6-7.4 | 1.69% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Northern Illinois | MAC | 4-4 | 6.3 | 97 | 100 | 6.2-5.8 | 8.23% | 0.17% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Stanford | ACC | 2-7 | 6.3 | 36 | 50 | 2.9-9.1 | 2.08% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Colorado State | MWC | 6-3 | 6.0 | 80 | 127 | 8.1-3.9 | 30.44% | 30.32% | 3.19% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Northwestern | B1G | 4-5 | 6.0 | 30 | 9 | 4.5-7.5 | 0.20% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Sam Houston | CUSA | 7-2 | 5.8 | 91 | 110 | 8.6-3.4 | 12.95% | 4.99% | 9.51% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Purdue | B1G | 1-7 | 5.8 | 12 | 1 | 1.3-10.7 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Florida State | ACC | 1-8 | 5.5 | 17 | 84 | 2.4-9.6 | 1.70% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Toledo | MAC | 6-3 | 5.3 | 126 | 121 | 7.8-4.2 | 19.66% | 4.26% | 3.44% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Ohio | MAC | 5-3 | 5.0 | 117 | 132 | 7.7-4.3 | 19.08% | 17.19% | 3.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 5.0 | 93 | 88 | 5.3-6.7 | 6.59% | 1.20% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 4.5 | 89 | 129 | 7.9-4.1 | 26.34% | 25.60% | 3.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
San Jose State | MWC | 5-3 | 4.5 | 100 | 59 | 6.2-5.8 | 0.49% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UL-Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 4.3 | 71 | 77 | 6.5-5.5 | 1.65% | 0.05% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
North Texas | AAC | 5-3 | 4.0 | 119 | 96 | 7.0-5.0 | 4.94% | 0.00% | 0.24% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Marshall | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 3.8 | 78 | 106 | 7.0-5.0 | 4.06% | 6.54% | 0.28% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Mississippi State | SEC | 2-7 | 3.5 | 9 | 2 | 2.2-9.8 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Hawaii | MWC | 4-5 | 3.3 | 123 | 93 | 5.4-6.6 | 8.21% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Buffalo | MAC | 5-4 | 3.0 | 125 | 134 | 7.0-5.0 | 26.92% | 0.55% | 0.42% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
San Diego State | MWC | 3-5 | 3.0 | 102 | 108 | 4.9-7.1 | 2.80% | 0.25% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
New Mexico | MWC | 4-5 | 2.8 | 86 | 74 | 5.1-6.9 | 3.47% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 2.5 | 93 | 85 | 4.2-7.8 | 5.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Nevada | MWC | 3-7 | 2.5 | 87 | 66 | 3.9-9.1 | 4.80% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 2.5 | 116 | 118 | 5.7-6.3 | 3.37% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Louisiana Tech | CUSA | 3-5 | 2.5 | 118 | 80 | 4.3-7.7 | 0.50% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UConn | Ind. | 6-3 | 2.3 | 121 | 104 | 7.3-4.7 | 5.84% | 0 | 1.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 2.3 | 95 | 116 | 6.8-5.2 | 3.52% | 1.60% | 0.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FIU | CUSA | 3-6 | 1.8 | 130 | 122 | 4.5-7.5 | 9.55% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Eastern Michigan | MAC | 5-4 | 1.8 | 127 | 87 | 6.1-5.9 | 4.81% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Charlotte | AAC | 3-6 | 1.5 | 100 | 126 | 4.5-7.5 | 11.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Ball State | MAC | 3-5 | 1.0 | 106 | 82 | 4.3-7.7 | 0.98% | 0.52% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Utah State | MWC | 2-6 | 1.0 | 82 | 78 | 3.3-8.7 | 0.53% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Tulsa | AAC | 3-6 | 0.8 | 129 | 112 | 4.2-7.8 | 4.72% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Rice | AAC | 3-6 | 0.5 | 111 | 91 | 4.1-7.9 | 3.78% | 0.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Central Michigan | MAC | 3-5 | 0.5 | 111 | 81 | 4.2-7.8 | 0.77% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FAU | AAC | 2-6 | 0.0 | 132 | 133 | 4.0-8.0 | 6.60% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UTSA | AAC | 4-5 | 0.0 | 109 | 90 | 5.2-6.8 | 3.41% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ODU | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.0 | 72 | 83 | 4.9-7.1 | 2.60% | 1.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ECU | AAC | 4-4 | 0.0 | 128 | 113 | 5.6-6.4 | 2.58% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.0 | 107 | 86 | 3.2-8.8 | 0.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Middle Tennessee | CUSA | 3-6 | -1.0 | 77 | 128 | 4.4-7.6 | 9.31% | 0.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Akron | MAC | 2-7 | -1.0 | 74 | 122 | 3.3-8.7 | 6.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UMass | Ind. | 2-7 | -1.0 | 69 | 42 | 2.8-9.2 | 0.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Temple | AAC | 2-6 | -1.5 | 115 | 89 | 3.3-8.7 | 0.52% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 1-7 | -2.0 | 103 | 107 | 2.4-9.6 | 1.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Troy | Sun Belt | 2-7 | -2.5 | 108 | 98 | 3.0-9.0 | 2.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UTEP | CUSA | 1-8 | -2.5 | 84 | 79 | 2.1-9.9 | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Air Force | MWC | 1-7 | -3.0 | 114 | 94 | 1.9-10.1 | 0.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
New Mexico State | CUSA | 2-6 | -3.0 | 104 | 75 | 3.1-8.9 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Wyoming | MWC | 2-7 | -3.3 | 111 | 33 | 2.3-9.7 | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UAB | AAC | 2-6 | -3.5 | 110 | 108 | 3.1-8.9 | 0.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Kennesaw State | CUSA | 1-7 | -5.0 | 121 | 124 | 2.3-9.7 | 1.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Kent State | MAC | 0-8 | -7.0 | 73 | 97 | 0.8-11.2 | 0.09% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CFN FPM Glossary
W-L (Win-Loss): The current win-loss record of each team in the current season. It reflects the number of games won and lost up to the current date.
FPM (Football Playoff Meter): A metric that evaluates a team’s chances of making the college football playoffs. This number is the backing behind CFN’s FPM, generated by CFN’s Power Rankings, which are influenced by each team’s successes, current roster makeup, and projection toward future success in a given season.
Preseason S.O.S.: The rank of each team’s strength of schedule from the preseason, first is the hardest schedule; 134th is the easiest.
Remaining S.O.S.: The rank of each team’s remaining games on their schedule in terms of strength of schedule. If a team has played their toughest games to date, their schedule has gotten significantly easier. Again, first is the hardest, 134th is the easiest.
Projected W-L (Projected Win-Loss): The forecasted win-loss record for the team based on their remaining schedule and current performance metrics. It predicts how the team is expected to perform for the rest of the season.
Win Out %: The percentage chance that a team will win all their remaining games in the current season. This is calculated based on the team’s performance metrics and the difficulty of their remaining opponents.
Win Conf. % (Win Conference %): The probability that a team will win their conference championship. This is derived using a proprietary simulation, which considers various factors, including the team’s win-loss probabilities and the performance of other teams in the conference.
Make Playoff %: The likelihood that a team will make the College Football Playoffs. This is calculated using a proprietary simulation that factors in each team’s winning probabilities, schedule strength, and the complexities of Group of Five (G5) teams making the playoffs.
Make NC % (Make National Championship %): The probability that a team will reach the National Championship game. This uses a proprietary simulation to determine the team’s ability to win against other playoff-bound teams, considering the rankings and strengths of all teams in a given playoff field.
Win NC % (Win National Championship %): The percentage chance that a team will win the national championship once they have made it to the national championship game. This is derived using a proprietary simulation, factoring in the team’s strength relative to other playoff and championship-bound teams.