College Football Playoff Meter 2024

College Football Playoff Meter 2024

View CFN's Football Playoff Meter, analyzing all 134 teams across the nation and their up-to-the-minute postseason chances. Run 10,000 simulations to view projected win totals, chances to win out, and chances to play and win the National Championship.

Introducing CFN’s Football Playoff Meter, FPM, whose sole goal is to analyze the strength of every team from 1 to 134 in college football. CFN’s FPM gives fans a one-of-a-kind look at the strength of each team in college football and their respective, up-to-the-minute chances to win a varying level of scenarios, from bowl eligibility to winning the National Championship.

2024 College Football Playoff Power Rankings

Use the table below to find where your favorite team ranks among its peers for a variety of scenarios. Scroll to the bottom of the page for a full glossary of what each term means and how we generated these numbers.

The Strength of Schedule numbers below are for each team’s preseason ranking (first = hardest) and their remaining strength of schedule.

TeamConferenceW-LFPMPreseason S.O.S.Remaining S.O.S.Projected W-LWin Out %Win Conf.%Make Playoff%Make CFP NC%Win CFP NC%
OregonB1G9-033.8255711.8-0.281.14%48.73%99.19%28.27%15.01%
GeorgiaSEC7-133.043010.3-1.742.50%33.51%49.03%28.17%14.44%
Ohio StateB1G7-131.0234910.5-1.556.96%40.87%57.49%27.64%13.73%
TexasSEC7-131.0213110.3-1.741.32%25.14%48.07%26.89%13.72%
AlabamaSEC6-230.06709.3-2.738.20%3.00%16.48%12.11%6.36%
Penn StateB1G7-129.8216410.5-1.556.41%1.77%58.32%11.69%5.51%
Texas A&MSEC7-229.514629.3-2.736.82%7.94%16.18%12.14%5.90%
TennesseeSEC7-129.0326110.0-2.020.79%6.81%36.72%11.38%5.51%
Miami-FLACC9-026.8495011.6-0.462.63%42.91%96.01%10.89%5.53%
IndianaB1G9-026.8632211.1-0.926.50%8.59%80.29%10.25%4.66%
BYUBig 128-026.5385411.3-0.747.79%43.98%88.54%10.77%5.19%
LSUSEC6-226.315289.0-3.028.93%8.59%14.03%9.48%4.33%
ClemsonACC6-226.319658.9-3.124.07%11.82%12.94%0.02%0.01%
Ole MissSEC7-224.827399.2-2.831.92%14.31%15.72%0.00%0.00%
Notre DameInd.7-124.5457110.3-1.745.65%051.33%0.06%0.03%
Iowa StateBig 127-122.844369.9-2.125.30%16.57%28.74%0.02%0.01%
Kansas StateBig 127-222.348258.9-3.121.23%11.39%12.26%0.02%0.01%
PittsburghACC7-122.359249.3-2.710.32%0.20%17.21%0.02%0.01%
SMUACC8-120.3685410.3-1.747.11%28.38%51.10%0.06%0.02%
MissouriSEC6-220.053448.8-3.220.97%0.00%11.48%0.00%0.00%
VanderbiltSEC6-319.5667.2-4.85.22%0.70%0.83%0.00%0.00%
Boise StateMWC7-119.07911410.5-1.561.21%49.81%53.33%0.05%0.00%
IllinoisB1G6-319.035668.1-3.933.94%0.00%5.92%0.00%0.00%
ArkansasSEC5-418.811256.4-5.65.63%0.00%0.14%0.00%0.00%
MichiganB1G5-418.8386.1-5.91.46%0.00%0.03%0.00%0.00%
IowaB1G6-318.047608.1-3.936.51%0.03%6.49%0.00%0.00%
LouisvilleACC6-318.041428.1-3.931.46%0.10%5.95%0.00%0.00%
ColoradoBig 126-217.836468.5-3.514.97%22.65%10.05%0.00%0.00%
WisconsinB1G5-417.829106.1-5.92.64%0.00%0.01%0.00%0.00%
Virginia TechACC5-417.563356.6-5.413.33%13.42%0.17%0.00%0.00%
NebraskaB1G5-417.543216.4-5.69.00%0.00%0.10%0.00%0.00%
USCB1G4-517.35295.5-6.510.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Washington StatePac-127-117.08511510.3-1.744.51%63.00%25.47%0.02%0.00%
West VirginiaBig 124-416.820386.2-5.88.33%0.27%0.03%0.00%0.00%
South CarolinaSEC5-316.316417.2-4.85.63%0.00%0.96%0.00%0.00%
ArmyAAC8-016.01247510.8-1.217.37%29.99%56.92%0.01%0.01%
ArizonaBig 123-616.062504.6-7.413.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
MinnesotaB1G6-316.034157.4-4.68.52%0.01%1.84%0.00%0.00%
TCUBig 125-415.838626.8-5.219.86%0.69%0.25%0.00%0.00%
Georgia TechACC5-415.81255.9-6.10.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Texas TechBig 126-315.555407.8-4.221.96%2.26%4.38%0.00%0.00%
CaliforniaACC4-415.551586.3-5.77.18%0.00%0.05%0.00%0.00%
TulaneAAC7-215.380919.3-2.741.49%36.62%10.03%0.01%0.00%
UNLVMWC6-215.0751119.2-2.841.16%18.88%11.51%0.00%0.00%
Arizona StateBig 126-215.024197.8-4.23.28%2.16%4.38%0.00%0.00%
FloridaSEC4-415.01124.8-7.20.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BaylorBig 125-414.842566.7-5.317.08%0.00%0.19%0.00%0.00%
MemphisAAC7-214.5951059.0-3.023.79%21.75%8.37%0.02%0.01%
UtahBig 124-414.561145.4-6.61.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SyracuseACC6-214.367347.9-4.13.02%0.00%4.87%0.00%0.00%
Oklahoma StateBig 123-614.355233.9-8.12.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
OklahomaSEC5-414.3225.6-6.40.65%0.00%0.01%0.00%0.00%
DukeACC6-314.059507.6-4.415.02%0.00%2.78%0.00%0.00%
WashingtonB1G5-414.03045.9-6.10.63%0.00%0.05%0.00%0.00%
James MadisonSun Belt6-213.51341259.3-2.744.82%12.03%13.35%0.01%0.00%
Boston CollegeACC4-413.533315.8-6.22.54%0.00%0.01%0.00%0.00%
Michigan StateB1G4-512.827685.6-6.411.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
KentuckySEC3-612.810454.4-7.62.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CincinnatiBig 125-312.552186.4-5.60.86%0.03%0.11%0.00%0.00%
RutgersB1G4-412.055375.7-6.33.37%0.00%0.01%0.00%0.00%
AuburnSEC3-611.825174.0-8.00.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
KansasBig 122-611.858133.0-9.00.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
LouisianaSun Belt7-111.512013110.2-1.843.31%48.76%41.01%0.00%0.00%
Texas StateSun Belt4-411.51311306.7-5.320.46%2.65%0.08%0.00%0.00%
NC StateACC5-411.366486.4-5.610.28%2.71%0.03%0.00%0.00%
Western KentuckyCUSA6-211.0831178.9-3.124.84%45.90%11.90%0.00%0.00%
Fresno StateMWC5-411.088946.6-5.412.85%0.72%0.11%0.00%0.00%
VirginiaACC4-410.840114.8-7.20.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Oregon StatePac-124-410.070736.1-5.94.04%37.00%0.01%0.00%0.00%
UCFBig 124-510.050204.9-7.12.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
LibertyCUSA5-29.81331027.2-3.88.51%3.66%0.81%0.00%0.00%
NavyAAC6-29.898727.8-4.23.53%0.05%1.62%0.00%0.00%
Bowling GreenMAC4-49.0991036.5-5.515.24%6.46%0.12%0.00%0.00%
North CarolinaACC5-48.865696.4-5.69.01%0.22%0.07%0.00%0.00%
MarylandB1G4-48.84674.8-7.20.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Jacksonville StateCUSA5-38.5105997.5-4.512.93%45.12%1.62%0.00%0.00%
Wake ForestACC4-48.553275.2-6.80.27%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%
USFAAC4-48.3761206.7-5.319.40%11.40%0.08%0.00%0.00%
Western MichiganMAC5-38.0901007.4-4.612.21%27.09%1.61%0.00%0.00%
HoustonBig 124-57.818164.8-7.20.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Miami-OHMAC4-47.5911196.7-5.317.56%43.74%0.29%0.00%0.00%
UCLAB1G3-56.88464.6-7.41.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Northern IllinoisMAC4-46.3971006.2-5.88.23%0.17%0.01%0.00%0.00%
StanfordACC2-76.336502.9-9.12.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Colorado StateMWC6-36.0801278.1-3.930.44%30.32%3.19%0.00%0.00%
NorthwesternB1G4-56.03094.5-7.50.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Sam HoustonCUSA7-25.8911108.6-3.412.95%4.99%9.51%0.00%0.00%
PurdueB1G1-75.81211.3-10.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Florida StateACC1-85.517842.4-9.61.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ToledoMAC6-35.31261217.8-4.219.66%4.26%3.44%0.00%0.00%
OhioMAC5-35.01171327.7-4.319.08%17.19%3.12%0.00%0.00%
South AlabamaSun Belt4-55.093885.3-6.76.59%1.20%0.01%0.00%0.00%
Georgia SouthernSun Belt6-34.5891297.9-4.126.34%25.60%3.31%0.00%0.00%
San Jose StateMWC5-34.5100596.2-5.80.49%0.01%0.04%0.00%0.00%
UL-MonroeSun Belt5-34.371776.5-5.51.65%0.05%0.04%0.00%0.00%
North TexasAAC5-34.0119967.0-5.04.94%0.00%0.24%0.00%0.00%
MarshallSun Belt5-33.8781067.0-5.04.06%6.54%0.28%0.00%0.00%
Mississippi StateSEC2-73.5922.2-9.80.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
HawaiiMWC4-53.3123935.4-6.68.21%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BuffaloMAC5-43.01251347.0-5.026.92%0.55%0.42%0.00%0.00%
San Diego StateMWC3-53.01021084.9-7.12.80%0.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%
New MexicoMWC4-52.886745.1-6.93.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Appalachian StateSun Belt3-52.593854.2-7.85.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NevadaMWC3-72.587663.9-9.14.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Coastal CarolinaSun Belt4-42.51161185.7-6.33.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Louisiana TechCUSA3-52.5118804.3-7.70.50%0.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UConnInd.6-32.31211047.3-4.75.84%01.57%0.00%0.00%
Arkansas StateSun Belt5-32.3951166.8-5.23.52%1.60%0.22%0.00%0.00%
FIUCUSA3-61.81301224.5-7.59.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Eastern MichiganMAC5-41.8127876.1-5.94.81%0.00%0.06%0.00%0.00%
CharlotteAAC3-61.51001264.5-7.511.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Ball StateMAC3-51.0106824.3-7.70.98%0.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Utah StateMWC2-61.082783.3-8.70.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TulsaAAC3-60.81291124.2-7.84.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
RiceAAC3-60.5111914.1-7.93.78%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Central MichiganMAC3-50.5111814.2-7.80.77%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FAUAAC2-60.01321334.0-8.06.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UTSAAAC4-50.0109905.2-6.83.41%0.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ODUSun Belt4-50.072834.9-7.12.60%1.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ECUAAC4-40.01281135.6-6.42.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Georgia StateSun Belt2-60.0107863.2-8.80.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Middle TennesseeCUSA3-6-1.0771284.4-7.69.31%0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%
AkronMAC2-7-1.0741223.3-8.76.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UMassInd.2-7-1.069422.8-9.20.02%00.00%0.00%0.00%
TempleAAC2-6-1.5115893.3-8.70.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Southern MissSun Belt1-7-2.01031072.4-9.61.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TroySun Belt2-7-2.5108983.0-9.02.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UTEPCUSA1-8-2.584792.1-9.90.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Air ForceMWC1-7-3.0114941.9-10.10.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
New Mexico StateCUSA2-6-3.0104753.1-8.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
WyomingMWC2-7-3.3111332.3-9.70.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UABAAC2-6-3.51101083.1-8.90.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Kennesaw StateCUSA1-7-5.01211242.3-9.71.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Kent StateMAC0-8-7.073970.8-11.20.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

CFN FPM Glossary

W-L (Win-Loss): The current win-loss record of each team in the current season. It reflects the number of games won and lost up to the current date.

FPM (Football Playoff Meter): A metric that evaluates a team’s chances of making the college football playoffs. This number is the backing behind CFN’s FPM, generated by CFN’s Power Rankings, which are influenced by each team’s successes, current roster makeup, and projection toward future success in a given season.

Preseason S.O.S.: The rank of each team’s strength of schedule from the preseason, first is the hardest schedule; 134th is the easiest.

Remaining S.O.S.: The rank of each team’s remaining games on their schedule in terms of strength of schedule. If a team has played their toughest games to date, their schedule has gotten significantly easier. Again, first is the hardest, 134th is the easiest.

Projected W-L (Projected Win-Loss): The forecasted win-loss record for the team based on their remaining schedule and current performance metrics. It predicts how the team is expected to perform for the rest of the season.

Win Out %: The percentage chance that a team will win all their remaining games in the current season. This is calculated based on the team’s performance metrics and the difficulty of their remaining opponents.

Win Conf. % (Win Conference %): The probability that a team will win their conference championship. This is derived using a proprietary simulation, which considers various factors, including the team’s win-loss probabilities and the performance of other teams in the conference.

Make Playoff %: The likelihood that a team will make the College Football Playoffs. This is calculated using a proprietary simulation that factors in each team’s winning probabilities, schedule strength, and the complexities of Group of Five (G5) teams making the playoffs.

Make NC % (Make National Championship %): The probability that a team will reach the National Championship game. This uses a proprietary simulation to determine the team’s ability to win against other playoff-bound teams, considering the rankings and strengths of all teams in a given playoff field.

Win NC % (Win National Championship %): The percentage chance that a team will win the national championship once they have made it to the national championship game. This is derived using a proprietary simulation, factoring in the team’s strength relative to other playoff and championship-bound teams.