The UConn Huskies and USC Trojans are set for an electrifying Elite Eight matchup in the 2025 NCAA Women’s Tournament. This game is a rematch of last year’s thrilling contest, but one of college basketball’s brightest stars will be absent this time.
USC’s All-American guard JuJu Watkins suffered a season-ending ACL injury, leaving the Trojans without their top scorer. Meanwhile, UConn’s Paige Bueckers has been on a tear, posting career-high performances in both the second round and Sweet 16. Expect the Huskies to capitalize on their star power and experience with a Final Four berth on the line.
UConn vs. USC Betting Preview
All UConn vs. USC odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Monday, March 31, 2025.
- Spread: UConn -13.5
- Moneyline: UConn -1266, USC +753
- Over/Under: 140.5 points
- Game Time: Monday, March 31, 2025, at 9 p.m. ET
- Location: Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena | Spokane, Washington
- How to Watch: ESPN
With UConn listed as a heavy 13.5-point favorite, oddsmakers expect the Huskies to dominate. The absence of Watkins significantly alters the game’s dynamic, making it difficult for USC to keep up offensively. The total is set at 140.5 points, suggesting a fast-paced contest, but with UConn’s top-ranked defense, points could be at a premium for the Trojans.
UConn vs. USC CSN Winning Probability
- UConn: 85.3%
- USC: 14.7%
The CSN probability heavily favors UConn, which aligns with Vegas’ strong line in the Huskies’ favor. With their defensive efficiency and Bueckers’ offensive explosion, UConn has all the tools to control this game. While USC’s supporting cast has talent, overcoming the loss of their star player in such a high-stakes game will be a monumental challenge.
Prediction for UConn vs. USC
UConn enters this matchup in peak form, largely thanks to the dominant play of Bueckers, who is making a strong case as the best player in the tournament. She has shouldered the offensive load while UConn’s strong defense continues to stifle opponents. The Huskies hold the No. 1 scoring defense in the nation, allowing just 51.7 points per game. Their ability to limit open looks from beyond the arc will be crucial against a USC team that relies on perimeter scoring.
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USC still has talent, with players like Rayah Marshall and McKenzie Forbes needing to step up in Watkins’ absence. However, the Trojans will struggle to generate enough offense against an elite UConn defense. Without Watkins drawing defensive attention, scoring will be difficult, and UConn’s fast-paced offense should overwhelm USC in transition.
Prediction: UConn 84, USC 62
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