If you are a College Basketball fan, then you can’t deny that spring is the best time of year, all thanks to March Madness. It’s not only one of the most thrilling months of the year for sports with all the tournaments and events, but it’s also a hot chance for fans to predict results and prove their merit.
But none has taken the craze of March Madness as far as billionaire Warren Buffet, who, back in 2014, placed an unbelievably massive $1 billion bracket challenge.

The Story Behind Warren Buffet and His $1 Billion Bracket Bet
March Madness grips the nation with its 68-team NCAA Tournament bracket. Fans everywhere place their predictions and bets. Where even the lower seeds sometimes topple giants. However, bracket prediction busts daily, as it’s a game of chance as much as skill.
Let Warren Buffet’s old $1 billion offer for a perfect March Madness bracket remind you how impossible that is https://t.co/TV2ZtwYT1w
— For The Win (@ForTheWin) March 17, 2025
In 2014, Buffett, the legendary investor and Berkshire Hathaway CEO, saw an opportunity to make it even bigger. He offered a staggering $1 billion to any of his employees who could pick a perfect bracket.
The catch was that every game, every round, had to be flawlessly guessed for the men’s national championship. No one had ever done it. The odds were insane—estimated at 1 in 9.2 quintillion for a random guess. Even with basketball smarts, it’s a near-impossible feat.
Buffett’s challenge wasn’t open to the public. It was exclusive to his Berkshire Hathaway team. He sweetened the deal with a consolation prize: $100,000 for the employee with the most correct picks before the first mistake.
The contest sparked a frenzy. Employees pored over stats, seeds, and matchups. For them, Brackets became an obsession. Although Buffet is known for his risky investments, he wasn’t much worried about paying out for this challenge. History backed him up as no perfect bracket has ever been recorded.
The tournament kicked off. Games unfolded. Upsets piled up. By the Sweet 16, every Berkshire bracket was a toast. No one was able to claim the billion, and Buffett’s money stayed locked in his pockets.
But the stunt made massive waves. All the fans who weren’t employees in Berkshire held their breath, waiting for the news of someone actually cashing in the challenge. But their wait was futile as no one was able to crack the impossible odds.
In the end, Buffet himself was the only one who benefited from this challenge because all the headlines made for it only resulted in free PR for him and his company.
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Since then, perfect brackets have remained elusive. In 2019, an Ohio man came close, nailing every game through the Sweet 16. Still, no one’s gone all the way. Buffett’s challenge hasn’t returned in the same form. Yet it lives on as a legendary tale.
As the 2025 tournament nears, fans are once filling the brackets, hoping to predict that one in a 9.2 quintillion odd successfully.
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