The 2025 NCAA Tournament kicks off for the UConn Huskies (23-10), the two-time defending national champions, as they face the Oklahoma Sooners (20-13) in the first round. UConn enters as the No. 8 seed in the West Region, looking to continue their dynasty and defend their back-to-back titles.
On the other hand, Oklahoma, the No. 9 seed, makes its first tournament appearance under coach Porter Moser. With both teams vying for a chance to continue their journey, this matchup promises high stakes and exciting basketball.
UConn vs. Oklahoma Betting Preview
All UConn vs. Oklahoma odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, March 21, 2025.
- Spread: UConn -5.5
- Moneyline: UConn -235, Oklahoma +190
- Over/Under: 147.5 points
- Game Time: Friday, March 21, 2025, 9:25 PM ET
- Location: PNC Arena | Raleigh, NC
- How To Watch: TNT
UConn is the slight favorite in this matchup, with a 5.5-point spread. The Huskies have been consistent throughout the season, especially on the offensive end, averaging 81.6 points per game. Despite their impressive run, UConn’s games have been trending toward the under in their recent outings, with the total cashing under 147.5 points in their last five contests.
Oklahoma, however, comes into this game red-hot, having gone 7-0 against the spread in their last seven games and showing a tendency for high-scoring affairs, with five of their last seven games finishing to the over.
Oklahoma’s momentum heading into the tournament is undeniable. Although they had a tough year in the Southeastern Conference, finishing 6-12, their late-season surge could provide the upset potential needed to dethrone the defending champions.
UConn’s ability to control the tempo of the game will be key, especially against an Oklahoma team that will look to push the pace.
UConn vs. Oklahoma CSN Winning Probability
UConn holds the advantage in the CSN winning probability, with a strong chance to win at 73%. This figure aligns with Vegas’ odds, which also favor the Huskies.
However, Oklahoma’s recent strong play makes them a dangerous opponent, and their chance of covering the spread could increase, given their ability to score quickly and keep games competitive. The winner of this game will face the winner of Norfolk St. vs. Florida in the next round.
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Prediction for UConn vs. Oklahoma
While Oklahoma enters this game with great momentum, UConn’s experience and championship pedigree should be the deciding factors. The Huskies’ offense, led by dynamic scoring, will likely overpower Oklahoma, though the Sooners will keep things close early with their aggressive style of play.
UConn’s depth and talent will eventually shine through, allowing them to secure the win.
UConn advances to the next round of the tournament, but Oklahoma’s impressive late-season run should give them confidence moving forward.
Prediction: UConn 79, Oklahoma 70
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