The Gonzaga Bulldogs will host the San Francisco Dons, who have had a terrific season thus far. The Dons are second in the WCC, one game ahead of the third-place Bulldogs. Despite the familiar records, San Francisco enters as a huge underdog.
Check out our best bets and prediction regarding the spread, total, and money line.
San Francisco vs. Gonzaga Betting Preview
All San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds are from FanDuel Sportsbook and are correct as of Thursday, Feb. 13, 2025.
- Spread
Gonzaga -14.5 - CSN Spread
Gonzaga -19.5 - Moneyline
Gonzaga -1250, San Francisco +740 - Over/Under
152.5 points - Game Time
Thursday, Feb. 13, 11 p.m. ET - Location
McCarthey Athletic Center | Spokane, WA - How To Watch
ESPN
This is the first matchup between these two teams in the next 18 days. Will the Bulldogs flex their muscles at home, beginning their climb back to the top of the conference? Or can the Dons separate themselves even more from Gonzaga, pulling off an upset in The Kennel?
San Francisco brings a 20-6 overall and 10-3 conference record (second in the WCC) into this matchup. They’re 12-12-1 ATS on the season, including 6-7 in conference play. They’ve covered each of their last three games yet have failed to cover a single game as the road underdog, going 0-3-1.
The Dons are a relatively modest scoring team. Only 11 of their 24 games have hit the over. On the road, however, only two of their seven games have gone over the listed point total.
KEEP READING: Top Five Teams On the Rise in February
The Bulldogs are 9-3 in conference — good for third place — and 18-7 overall. They’ve been particularly bad ATS, going 9-16. They’ve covered only 25% of their WCC matchups and haven’t covered the spread in their last three games.
Gonzaga is also a fast-paced team, scoring 87.2 ppg. Their over/under record reflects that, as they’ve hit the over in 60% of their outings. However, the under has been the successful play in their last three games.
San Francisco vs. Gonzaga CSN Power Rankings Line
Our metrics system has Gonzaga favored by -19.5, five points higher than Vegas’s line of Gonzaga -14.5. CSN’s ranking system explains that the Bulldogs are No. 2 in the nation, while the Dons are all the way down at No. 82.
The clear advantage betting-wise is to take Gonzaga -13.5. But I’ll explain why that may not be the play below.
Prediction for San Francisco vs. Gonzaga
The Dons come into Thursday’s game having won their last four games, surging ahead of the Bulldogs into second place in the WCC. The Bulldogs have righted the ship after two uncharacteristic losses in a row in mid-January, winning four of their last five.
At home, Gonzaga is favored big, and for good reason: they’ve only lost one game in the comforts of McCarthey Athletic Center this season.
They’re led by point guard Ryan Nembhard, who produces a nation-leading 9.8 apg along with adding in 11.0 ppg. Senior forward Graham Ike, despite playing only 22 minutes a night, leads the team in scoring and rebounding with 17.0 ppg and 7.1 rpg.
Four other Bulldogs average double-figure scoring, contributing to the second-highest-scoring offense in the country.
Senior guard Malik Thomas of San Francisco leads the conference in scoring at 19.2 ppg on 47.0% shooting from the field. Point guard Marcus Williams leads the team with 4.2 apg and adds 14.4 ppg, producing a 1-2 scoring punch in the backcourt. 7’0″ Center Carlton Linguard Jr. will try to contain Ike and the Bulldogs’ interior attack.
I expect the Dons’ guards to have success against the Bulldogs on the perimeter. Thomas can single-handedly take over a game; he has multiple 30-point outings this season. Williams has been steady as of late, scoring in double-figures in six of the last seven games.
Despite being on the road, San Francisco has arrived as a true contender in the WCC. Take the Dons +14.5 — many teams are intimidated by the atmosphere of The Kennel, but this is an experienced, seasoned team coming in. It’s worth noting that Gonzaga has only covered 36.0% of their games this season as well.
KEEP READING: Top Five Teams On the Rise in February
In fact, FanDuel has an option of San Francisco +8.5 for +220 odds. My expectation is this will a close game until the end, so I’d be comfortable taking that as well considering the plus-value.
Marcus Williams’s scoring prop is listed at 14.5. He’s gone over that mark in each of the last three games. Factor in that the over is also plus-value, and that’s a solid bet.
The Bulldogs will take this game, improving to 10-3 in conference play, but not without a fight from the Dons, who won’t go down easy.
Picks: San Francisco +14.5, San Francisco +8.5 (+220), Marcus Williams Over 14.5 points
Prediction: Gonzaga 82, San Francisco 75
College Sports Network has you covered with the latest news, analysis, insights, and trending stories in football, basketball, and more!
