One of the greatest rivalries in college basketball will take place on Sunday afternoon when the Indiana Hoosiers host the Purdue Boilermakers in Assembly Hall.
The Boilermakers have dropped three consecutive games, while Indiana has gone 2-8 in their last 10 games. Purdue came away with a five-point home win in the first edition of this matchup. Can the Hoosiers ride the emotions of the rivalry game and return the favor with a road win?
Find out below as we make a prediction for this Big Ten matchup and examine the spread, total, and money line bets.
Purdue vs. Indiana Betting Preview
All Purdue vs. Indiana odds are from Fanduel Sportsbook and are correct as of Sunday, Feb. 23, 2025.
- Spread
Purdue -3.5 - Moneyline
Purdue -170, Indiana +140 - Over/Under
151.5 points - Game Time
Sunday, Feb. 23, 1:30 p.m. ET - Location
Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall | Bloomington, IN - How To Watch
CBS
Purdue is 15-12 ATS this season but has covered 11 of their 16 Big Ten games. On the road, they’re 6-3 ATS — a good sign for this contest. However, as part of their losing streak, the Boilermakers haven’t covered in their last two outings.
With an above-average offense and a below-average defense, Purdue has tended to go over the listed point total this year. In fact, 16 of their 27 matchups overall and 11 of their 16 conference games have reached the over. The over has been on a hot streak as of late, with six of the Boilermakers’ last eight games hitting the over.
The Hoosiers have a 14-12 overall and 9-6 conference record ATS in 2024-25. They’ve covered four of their last six games, which is a good sign heading into this one.
Indiana doesn’t have an amazing offense, resulting in only 14 of their 26 games going under the point total. They’ve been middling in terms of total points in conference, with eight going over and seven going under. But as of late, the under has been the play; each of the last four games for the Hoosiers has gone under.
Purdue vs. Indiana CSN Power Rankings Line
Preview for Purdue vs. Indiana
Purdue enters this matchup with a 19-8 overall and 11-5 conference record, good for a three-way tie for third place in the Big Ten. The Boilermakers began conference play 11-2 and looked poised to compete for the regular-season title — until three consecutive losses have them in danger of falling to sixth place with a loss and a UCLA Bruins win on Sunday.
The Hoosiers have largely disappointed this season. They went into the first game of the season ranked No. 17 in the country but have failed to put it all together and risk missing out on the NCAA Tournament for the second straight year, barring an unlikely through the Big Ten tournament.
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However, 7’0″ senior center Oumar Ballo has been a bright spot for Indiana this season, posting averages of 13.5 ppg, 9.4 rpg, and 1.5 bpg, all team-highs. Ballo has been quieter recently, scoring in single figures in three of his last four outings.
Sophomore forward Mackenzie Mgbako has excelled recently; in his last six games, he’s pouring in 16.0 ppg. Fellow forward Malik Reneau is scoring at a rate of 16.3 ppg over his last three.
If those two forwards and Ballo are on their game, they’ll have a great chance at beating the struggling Boilermakers.
Purdue’s junior point guard Braden Smith will do all he can to not let that happen. Finally out of the shadow of former Boilermaker and two-time Naismith National Player of the Year Zach Edey, he’s proven himself to be one of the best players in the country.
His numbers are up across the board to the point of 16.1 ppg, 4.7 rpg, and 8.8 apg — the second-best mark in college basketball.
Those assists have helped junior forward Trey Kaufman-Renn up his scoring average from 6.4 ppg a year ago to 19.6 ppg in 2025, the fourth-highest mark in the Big Ten. He’s a strong force with a majority of his scoring coming in the paint.
Junior sharpshooter Fletcher Loyer has been a consistent presence for Purdue for the past couple of seasons; this year, he’s contributing 13.7 ppg.
The losing streak hasn’t been due to their trio of juniors — it’s been the lack of production from the supporting cast.
The Hoosiers have had seven full days off to prepare a detailed gameplay on the Boilermakers, which will likely consist of tabling the role players and making Smith, Kaufman-Renn, and Loyer do it all themselves. Regardless of how that plays out, it will be intriguing to keep an eye on.
Best Bets and Final Score Prediction
These teams are the opposite in terms of going over or under the point total. However, they’re last matchup totaled 157 points, flying over the listed 145.5 line. Now, the line has risen to 151.5 points.
The 81-76 final score on Jan. 31 has proven to be an anomaly. Indiana’s last four outings have gone under. In fact, they haven’t scored over 70 points since that game. The expected final score is 78-73, meaning the Hoosiers will have to break their streak for the over to have a great chance of happening.
I’d be willing to bet that Indiana’s offensive woes — especially this late in the season — are here to stay. Take the under of 151.5 points, as Indiana plays at a middling pace for the total to be that high.
A similar point can be made: Purdue simply has too much firepower for the Hoosiers to handle. Smith can take over a game on his own by getting his teammates involved and with his underrated shot-making ability.
Though this is a road game for the Boilermakers, the second matchup of the regular season, and a rivalry game, I’d bet that they come out with a fiery play-stye and run Indiana out of their own building.
Purdue’s three-game losing streak has come against three ranked teams; the Hoosiers are far from ranked.
The line of Purdue -3.5 is simply too low — so we’ll take that.
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If there is an option on your Sportsbook for Purdue -10.5, I’d also take a flier on that bet as well — this will be the game that the Boilermakers finally look like themselves after a tough stretch of facing the best of the best in the Big Ten.
Picks: Under 151.5 Points, Purdue -3.5, Purdue -10.5
Prediction: Purdue 81, Indiana 68
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