The No. 16 Norfolk State Spartans (24-10) are poised for an uphill battle against the top-seeded Florida Gators (30-4) in the first round of the NCAA Tournament.
This clash will take place on Friday in Raleigh, North Carolina, with both teams bringing unique strengths to the table. While Florida enters as the heavy favorite, Norfolk State’s defensive size and momentum from winning the MEAC Championship could make things interesting. The winner will advance to face the victor of the UConn vs. Oklahoma matchup.
Norfolk State vs. Florida Betting Preview
All Norfolk State vs. Florida odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Thursday, March 20, 2025.
- Spread: Florida -28.5
- Moneyline: Norfolk State +3300, Florida -10000
- Over/Under: 153.5 points
- Game Time: Friday, March 21, 2025, 6:50 p.m. EST
- Location: PNC Arena | Raleigh, NC
- How To Watch: TNT
Florida enters this matchup as a significant favorite, with a spread of -28.5. The Gators have been in excellent form, winning their last six games and covering the spread in each of those contests. They’ve proven to be a powerhouse in the SEC and have an explosive offense that can easily surpass the 153.5-point total. On the other hand, Norfolk State will be a tough underdog, having won 12 of their last 14 games. However, their record against the spread in recent games (1-7 in their previous 8) has left much to be desired.
Norfolk State vs. Florida CSN Winning Probability
According to CSN’s prediction model, Florida holds a massive advantage with a high winning probability. This aligns with Vegas’ expectations, where Florida’s moneyline sits at an overwhelming -10000. Despite Norfolk State’s commendable performance in the MEAC Championship, Florida’s potent offense and depth give them a commanding edge.
Prediction for Norfolk State vs. Florida
While Norfolk State’s defensive prowess, particularly with 6’11 forward Kuluel Mading, could slow down Florida’s inside game, the Gators’ high-scoring offense will likely prove too much to handle. Florida can spread the floor and attack from all angles, which could lead to a wide-margin victory.
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Despite Norfolk State’s defensive size, Florida’s offensive firepower is too much to overcome. The Gators’ ability to control the tempo and score in transition will give them a comfortable win, advancing them to the next round of the NCAA Tournament.
Prediction: Florida 93, Norfolk State 61
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