The road to the Final Four has been anything but easy for Michigan State and Auburn, but now these two powerhouses will clash in the Elite Eight for a spot in the national semifinals. The Spartans survived a grueling battle against #6 Ole Miss in the Sweet 16, while Auburn overcame a slow start to pull away from #5 Michigan. Both teams have shown resilience throughout March Madness, but only one will move on.
Michigan State vs. Auburn Betting Preview
All Michigan State vs. Auburn odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, March 29, 2025.
- Spread: Auburn -5.5
- Moneyline: Auburn -230, Michigan State +188
- Over/Under: 149.5 points
- Game Time: Sunday, March 30, 5:05 p.m. ET
- Location: State Farm Center | Atlanta, GA
- How to Watch: CBS
The Tigers boast -230 odds on the moneyline, meaning bettors will have to risk $230 to win $100 if Auburn prevails. Meanwhile, Michigan State, the underdog, offers enticing +188 odds, which could attract value-seekers given their gritty play in recent rounds. The over/under is set at 149.5 points, signaling expectations for a moderately high-scoring affair.
Michigan State must control the tempo and win the rebounding battle to cover the spread or pull off an outright upset. Auburn’s ability to turn close games into blowouts in the final stretch makes them a dangerous favorite.
Michigan State vs. Auburn CSN Winning Probability
- Auburn: 66%
- Michigan State: 44%
The CSN probability model favors Auburn, which aligns with the Vegas odds, which have the Tigers as 5.5-point favorites. While Michigan State has been battle-tested, Auburn’s ability to ramp up the pressure late in games has given them an edge over their previous opponents. Michigan State’s biggest challenge will be keeping Auburn from getting hot. The Spartans nearly fell victim to Ole Miss’ grind-it-out style, and they cannot afford to get caught in another half-court battle that limits their strengths in transition.
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Prediction for Michigan State vs. Auburn
Michigan State has been one of the toughest teams in the tournament, showing they can adapt and overcome adversity. However, Auburn’s explosiveness makes them a nightmare matchup. The Tigers have dominated second halves, and if Michigan State falters for even a short stretch, Auburn will capitalize. The Spartans need to win the rebounding battle and control the pace, but Auburn’s confidence and ability to go on scoring runs will be the difference.
Prediction: Auburn 84, Michigan State 75
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