The Maryland Terrapins (25-8) enter the NCAA Tournament as the No. 5 seed in the West Region, facing off against the No. 12 seed Grand Canyon Antelopes (26-7) in the first round.
While Maryland has been dominant under head coach Kevin Willard, Grand Canyon’s Bryce Drew has a history of orchestrating March Madness upsets. The Antelopes are one of the hottest teams in the country, winning nine of their last ten games and relying on an aggressive, fast-paced style that thrives on forcing turnovers. Maryland is the clear favorite, but Grand Canyon’s ability to create chaos could make this a much closer game than expected.
Maryland vs. Grand Canyon Betting Preview
All Maryland vs. Grand Canyon odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of March 21, 2025.
- Spread: Maryland -10.5
- Moneyline: Grand Canyon (+450), Maryland (-625)
- Over/Under: 149.5 points
- Game Time: Friday, March 21 | 4:35 p.m. ET
- Location: Climate Pledge Arena | Seattle, WA
- How to Watch: TBS
The Terrapins enter this matchup as a double-digit favorite, backed by their strong finish to the regular season and a battle-tested roster. Maryland went 8-2 in their last ten games and is 7-3 against the spread in that span. Meanwhile, Grand Canyon, despite its impressive 9-1 record in its last ten, has struggled against the spread, going just 10-19 ATS this season.
The biggest challenge for the Antelopes will be their lack of outside shooting. Grand Canyon connects on just 31% of their three-point attempts and has hit double-digit threes only twice in their last 18 games. Conversely, Maryland boasts a solid defense that can exploit Grand Canyon’s turnover tendencies, especially with Ja’Kobi Gillespie leading the perimeter defense.
Maryland vs. Grand Canyon CSN Winning Probability
According to CSN’s win probability model, Maryland has a 78% chance to defeat Grand Canyon. This aligns closely with Vegas odds, which peg the Terrapins as heavy favorites. However, Grand Canyon’s ability to force turnovers and aggressive playstyle could lead them to an upset if they control the tempo and get to the free-throw line.
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Prediction for Maryland vs. Grand Canyon
Maryland’s balanced attack and defensive pressure should ultimately be too much for Grand Canyon. While the Antelopes thrive in transition, their turnover-prone offense and lack of consistent shooting make them a tough bet to pull off the upset. Grand Canyon’s length in the backcourt, led by Grant-Foster and Rayshon Harrison, could cause problems for Maryland’s guards, but expect the Terrapins’ size and depth to take over in the second half.
Prediction: Maryland 74, Grand Canyon 62
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