The LSU Tigers will visit Arkansas on Wednesday night, hoping to snap a six-game losing streak. Meanwhile, the Razorbacks are desperate for a victory—they’re holding onto slim hopes of making a late-season run and securing a bid in the 2025 NCAA Tournament.
These two teams matched up on Jan. 14, with LSU winning 78-74. The game went over the listed point total of 150 points, and the Tigers won with a “Pick ’em” spread, but will those same two things happen again, or will the Razorbacks flip the script?
Check out our best bets and predictions as we break down the spread, total, and money line bets for this exciting SEC battle.
LSU vs. Arkansas Betting Preview
All LSU vs. Arkansas odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Wednesday, Feb. 12, 2025.
- Spread
Arkansas -9.5 - Moneyline
Arkansas -500, LSU +380 - Over/Under
146.5 points - Game Time
Wednesday, Feb. 12, 9 p.m. ET - Location
Bud Walton Center | Fayetteville, AR - How To Watch
ESPN2
LSU is 12-11 so far this season, but they have gone only 1-9 in SEC play. In fact, their only conference victory was over the Razorbacks. The Tigers are 10-12-1 ATS this season, including covering in just three of 10 conference games. As an underdog, they’ve been even worse, only covering in three of 12 outings.
11 of the Tigers’ 23 games have gone over the listed point total, including four of 10 in conference play. A telling stat for this game, in particular, is that of their six road games, only once has the over been a successful bet.
Arkansas brings a 3-7 conference record into this matchup—a tie for 13th place in the conference. They’ve been terrible ATS, covering in only eight of 23 games. The Razorbacks have covered their last three games—but all were as the underdog.
The under is also a common theme for Arkansas. Only nine of their 23 games, including only 30% of conference games, have gone over. At Bud Walton Center, a surprising 30.8% have gone over.
LSU vs. Arkansas CSN Power Rankings Line
Our metrics systems have Arkansas favored by -13.5, four points higher than Vegas’s line of -9.5. In our power rankings, the Razorbacks are slotted at No. 43, while the Tigers are at No. 97. Our line of -13.5 seems to reflect that, especially considering Arkansas will enjoy home-court advantage.
Prediction for LSU vs. Arkansas
Both of these squads have had disappointing campaigns to this point. Led by legendary coach John Calipari, the Razorbacks are certainly expected to be higher than 13th in the conference standings by this point in the season.
Although the Tigers did not come into 2024-25 with huge expectations, they can’t be happy with only one SEC victory in mid-February.
As it stands, Arkansas still has an outside shot at reaching the NCAA Tournament, but it begins with a win against LSU.
Talented 6’8″ forward Adou Thiero leads the Razorbacks with 16.5 points and 6.2 rebounds per game. Leading assist-man, guard Boogie Fland, has been out for a month with a hand injury, but sophomore guard D.J. Wagner has filled his hole admirably. In addition to scoring 10.7 ppg, Wagner has games of eight and nine assists in February.
College Basketball Power Rankings: Every Team Ranked 1-364
7’2″ center Zvonimir Ivisic stretches defenses with his impressive shooting stroke. He’s shooting 43.4% from deep this season and has shown the ability to get hot, as evidenced by his 27 points on 5-for-9 shooting from beyond the arc in the Razorbacks’ last game.
The Tigers are led by the scoring punch of senior guard Cam Carter, who’s ninth in the conference in scoring with 17.0 ppg. Point guard Jordan Sears is tied for the team lead in assists, in addition to adding 13.8 ppg.
Although this matchup went over the listed point total in their first meeting, we’ll go with the numbers here. Five of LSU’s last six road games have gone under, while 69.2% of Arkansas’s home games have gone under as well.
The under of 146.5 points is a solid bet at even odds.
Similarly, our metrics have a line of -9.5, four points too low. The value lies on Arkansas’s side of the line, so take the -9.5. The Razorbacks have substantially more to play for than the Tigers, so they should cover easily if they come out with that in mind.
Picks: Under 146.5 points; Arkansas -9.5
Prediction: Arkansas 78, LSU 64
College Sports Network has you covered with the latest news, analysis, insights, and trending stories in football, basketball, and more!
