Something will have to give on Monday night when the Iowa State Cyclones visit Allen Fieldhouse to take on the Kansas Jayhawks. Each team is coming off a significant loss in their own way; which squad can turn around off of only one day of rest and pick up a ranked win?
Need some help figuring out the best bets? Look not further than our Iowa State vs. Kansas prediction. Find out our analysis and prediction of the game as it pertains to the spread, total, and money line bets.
Iowa State vs. Kansas Iowa Betting Preview
All Iowa State vs. Kansas odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Monday, Feb. 3, 2025.
- Spread
Kansas -3 - CSN Spread
Kansas -2 - Moneyline
Kansas -142, Iowa State +120 - Over/Under
146 points - Game Time
Monday, Feb. 3, 9 ET - Location
Allen Fieldhouse | Lawrence, Kan. - How To Watch
ESPN
Iowa State is 13-8 ATS on the season — including covering a staggering eight times in eleven conference games. Regarding this matchup, the Cyclones have covered four of six on the road and two of three as an underdog.
The under has hit in 10 of 21 games, as well as six of their past nine outings, a strong indication of them tightening the defense as of late.
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From the Jayhawks side of things: they’re 10-11 ATS overall, 4-6 in conference and 5-7 at home. They’ve failed to cover in five of their past six contests, illustrating their lack of living up to expectations as of late.
Incredibly, the over has only hit five times out of 21 games for Kansas over the course of the season. 33% at home, 40% in conference, and an eye-opening 22.2% as the favorite.
Iowa State vs. Kansas CSN Power Rankings Line
Our metric system has Kansas favored by -2 against the Cyclones, due to the home court advantage that Allen Fieldhouse presents. Only two spots in our power rankings separates these teams. The Cyclones hold a slight edge at No. 8, while the Jayhawks slide in at No. 10.
The calculations point towards a very close game that will decided in the final minutes.
Prediction for Iowa State vs. Kansas
Both of these teams lost in painful ways on Saturday evening.
The Baylor Bears completed a 21-point comeback to beat the Jayhawks — the largest comeback ever by a Kansas opponent. Then, the Cyclones were outscored 43-26 in the second-half, eventually falling by 19-points against a bottom-feeder in the Big 12, the Kansas State Wildcats. Iowa State also finished last week with a heartbreaking overtime loss to the Arizona Wildcats, making it their second-consecutive defeat.
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The losses on Saturday put serious dents in each teams’ resume, but an opportunity to beat a ranked opponent is in front of them just two days later.
Iowa State is led by combo guard Curtis Jones, who had blossomed after being inserted into the starting lineup earlier this month but has endured two rough performances, hitting only five of his 26 attempts. Although Jones is the leading scorer at 17.9 ppg, four other players average in double-figures. But the losses have corresponded with two subpar outings for Jones — he’ll need to be on his game if they want to win.
The Jayhawks have several key contributors but are led by center Hunter Dickinson and combo guard Zeke Mayo. Dickinson averages a near 16-point, 10-rebound double-double while Mayo scores 15 a game on solid efficiency.
It’s time to take away the name recognition for Kansas in 2025. They’re 15-6 — a solid, yet unspectacular record — and have shown cracks as of late, losing two of three and three of six. They’re not the big, bad Jayhawks of old.
Meanwhile, I don’t see the Cyclones losing three in a row. More specifically, I don’t see Jones having three poor outings in a row. They’re 8-3 ATS in conference games; take them +3 and if you’re looking for plus-money, take them to win outright at +120.
It’s hard not to predict the under for this matchup. On Kansas’s side, only four of 18 games as the favorite have gone over — as they say, “if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.” Take the under 146. I’m a bit wary with both the spread and the total moving in the opposite direction of what I think, but that just gives us better numbers closer to tipoff.
Couple that ATS record with the Cyclones going under in six of their past nine games, and the adjusted under of 140.5 has a solid return of +160 odds.
Prediction: Iowa State 68, Kansas 63
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