The No. 1 seed Florida Gators will battle the No. 3 seed Texas Tech Red Raiders in an NCAA Tournament Elite Eight showdown on Saturday, March 29. Florida enters as the favorite after an impressive second-half performance in their 87-71 win over Maryland, while Texas Tech pulled off a thrilling 85-83 overtime victory against Arkansas.
With a Final Four berth on the line, both teams will need to bring their best basketball to San Francisco’s Chase Center.
Florida vs. Texas Tech Betting Preview
All Florida vs. Texas Tech odds are from BetMGM Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, March 29, 2025.
- Spread: Florida -6.5
- Moneyline: Florida -285, Texas Tech +225
- Over/Under: 156.5 points
- Game Time: Saturday, March 29, 6:09 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Center | San Francisco, Calif.
- How To Watch: TBS, TruTV
Florida has been dominant throughout the season, winning the SEC Tournament and boasting a 33-4 record. The Gators’ balanced attack, featuring a +134 scoring differential, has helped them maintain control in most matchups. They score 75.5 points per game (37th in college basketball) while allowing 71.7 points per contest (321st in the nation).
On the other side, Texas Tech has been resilient all season. The Red Raiders trailed by as many as 16 points against Arkansas before storming back in overtime, continuing their reputation as a tough, gritty team.
Texas Tech scores 63.7 points per game (209th in the country) and allows just 63.1 points per game (138th in college basketball). Their ability to play tenacious defense and win the rebounding battle (they were +22 on the boards against Arkansas) could be key in this matchup.
Historically, these teams met in the 2018 NCAA Tournament, with Texas Tech winning 69-66 as a 1.5-point favorite. Florida, however, will look to avenge that loss and prove why they are the No. 1 seed in the West Region.
Florida vs. Texas Tech CSN Winning Probability
- Florida: 72%
- Texas Tech: 28%
The CSN probability model favors Florida, which aligns with the Vegas odds that have the Gators as 6.5-point favorites. However, Texas Tech’s ability to close out tight games and its defensive tenacity make this a matchup where an upset is possible.
Prediction for Florida vs. Texas Tech
Florida has been one of the most well-rounded teams in the country, and their dominance in the SEC Tournament proved they can handle high-pressure situations. The Gators’ offensive efficiency (60% shooting against Maryland), combined with their ability to control the pace of play, will be their biggest advantage.
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Texas Tech, however, has expressed that they are a defensive force. Their comeback against Arkansas showcased their ability to adjust and fight until the final whistle. If the Red Raiders can slow Florida’s offensive tempo and win the rebounding battle again, they could make this game very interesting.
Prediction: Florida 81, Texas Tech 74
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