The Sweet 16 brings a high-stakes matchup between the Florida Gators and the Maryland Terrapins on Thursday night in San Francisco. Florida ranked third in the AP Poll, boasts an elite offense and a stout defense, making them a legitimate Final Four contender.
Meanwhile, Maryland has defied expectations, securing their first Sweet 16 appearance in a decade. With both teams eyeing an Elite Eight berth, this showdown promises to be a thrilling battle.
Florida vs. Maryland Betting Preview
All Florida vs. Maryland odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Thursday, March 27, 2025.
- Spread: Florida -6.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Florida -285, Maryland +225
- Over/Under: 155.5 points
- Game Time: Thursday, March 27, 2025, 7:39 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Center | San Francisco, CA
- How to Watch: TBS
Florida enters this matchup as a 6.5-point favorite, reflecting their dominance throughout the season. The Gators have been stellar against the spread (ATS), covering 26 times in 36 games this year. Maryland, on the other hand, has covered the spread 18 times in 34 opportunities but has struggled in high-scoring affairs.
The total is set at 155.5 points, which is significant considering Florida’s high-powered offense and Maryland’s ability to score over 75 points in 25 games this season. The Gators have surpassed 81 points in 29 of their games, making the over an intriguing bet.
Florida vs. Maryland CSN Winning Probability
- Florida’s Probability: 76.5%
- Maryland’s Probability: 27.8%
Florida’s 76.5% implied probability of winning aligns with Vegas’ outlook, as the Gators have dominated as favorites, going 22-1 when listed at -325 or shorter. Maryland has embraced the underdog role, winning 50% of their games when not favored. The odds suggest a Florida victory, but Maryland’s recent success shows they shouldn’t be counted out entirely.
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Prediction for Florida vs. Maryland
Florida has been one of the most complete teams in college basketball this season. Ranking third in KenPom, they boast the second-best offense and 11th-best defense in the nation. Led by an explosive backcourt and a deep roster, the Gators have the firepower to overwhelm opponents.
Maryland, however, possesses the sixth-ranked defense, which could slow down Florida’s pace. The key battle will be whether Maryland’s defensive schemes can limit the Gators’ scoring.
For Maryland to have a shot, they must control the tempo and keep Florida from pushing the pace. If the game becomes a shootout, the Terrapins may struggle to keep up. Expect Florida’s depth and efficiency to be the deciding factors as they march toward the Elite Eight.
Prediction: Florida 86, Maryland 75
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