The No. 12 seed Colorado State Rams (26-9) are riding an 11-game win streak into their second-round NCAA Tournament matchup against No. 4 seed Maryland (26-8) on Sunday, March 23. The Rams stunned No. 5 seed Memphis in the first round, while Maryland dominated Grand Canyon in a 32-point rout. Now, Colorado State will look to extend its Cinderella run while the Terrapins aim to reach the Sweet 16 as a tournament favorite.
A key storyline in this matchup is Colorado State’s red-hot form versus Maryland’s elite perimeter shooting and defense. Can the Rams pull off another upset, or will the Terrapins’ balanced attack prove too much?
Colorado State vs. Maryland Betting Preview
All Colorado State vs. Maryland odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, March 22, 2025.
Spread: Maryland -7.5
Moneyline: Colorado State +240, Maryland -300
Over/Under: 142.5 points
Game Time: Sunday, March 23, 2025, at 7:10 p.m. EST
Location: Climate Pledge Arena | Seattle, WA
How to Watch: TBS
Maryland enters this game as a 7.5-point favorite after dismantling Grand Canyon, showcasing their depth and scoring prowess. The Terrapins boast a top-30 three-point shooting team and a defense that ranks in the top 100 at limiting perimeter shots and assists. This could pose a challenge for Colorado State, which thrives on ball movement and perimeter scoring, ranking 83rd in three-point rate with a top-10 assist percentage nationally.
Despite being underdogs, Colorado State is an impressive 11-0 in their last 11 games and has covered the spread in all of them. Meanwhile, Maryland is 8-2 in their last 10 and has gone 7-3 against the spread. The Rams’ recent form suggests they could outperform expectations again, but they’ll need to find an answer for Maryland’s efficient offense.
Colorado State vs. Maryland CSN Winning Probability
CSN Winning Probability: Maryland 74%, Colorado State 26%
Maryland’s strong winning probability aligns with their status as favorites. However, the Rams have defied the odds before, including their upset over Memphis. While the Terrapins’ efficient three-point shooting and defense give them the statistical edge, Colorado State’s momentum and ability to execute in high-pressure moments could make this a closer contest than the numbers suggest.
Prediction for Colorado State vs. Maryland
Colorado State’s 11-game winning streak is impressive, but they have struggled against Power Five teams this season, going just 1-3 against the likes of Ole Miss, Washington, TCU, and Colorado. Maryland, on the other hand, is battle-tested and has the defensive discipline to disrupt Colorado State’s perimeter-heavy offense.
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The key matchup will be Colorado State’s three-point attack against Maryland’s perimeter defense. If the Rams get hot from deep, they have the potential to keep this game competitive. However, Maryland’s balance on both ends of the floor, combined with their superior rebounding and defensive efficiency, gives them the upper hand.
Prediction: Maryland 76, Colorado State 70
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