The No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide, sporting one of the most prolific offenses in college basketball, will travel to Columbia, Mo., to take on the No. 15 Missouri Tigers Wednesday night.
The Crimson Tide are fresh off an emotional home loss to the top-ranked Auburn Tigers last week. Can they rebound against another tough opponent, this time on the road? Or will Missouri, who’s won their last two games, begin a late-season surge up the SEC standings?
Find out below as we make a prediction for this huge conference matchup and examine the spread, total, and money line bets.
Alabama vs. Missouri Betting Preview
All Alabama vs. Missouri odds are from Fanduel Sportsbook and are correct as of Wednesday, Feb. 19, 2025.
- Spread
Missouri -1.5 - Moneyline
Missouri -110, Alabama -110 - Over/Under
169.5 points - Game Time
Wednesday, Feb. 19, 9:00 p.m. ET - Location
Mizzou Arena | Columbia, MO - How To Watch
SEC Network
Alabama is 14-11 ATS this season with an even better 8-4 record ATS in conference play. They’ve covered three of their last five games, including going 3-0 ATS as a road underdog.
The Crimson Tide is the highest-scoring team in the nation. Vegas knows this, but only 13 of their 24 games have gone over. However, six of nine road games have gone over, and their last two outings have also gone over by comfortable margins.
Missouri has been excellent ATS this season, sporting a 15-10 record. They’ve been even better in SEC play, going 10-2 ATS. While the Tigers have covered five of their past six outings, they covered an even 50% of their sixteen home games as the favorite, as they are against Alabama.
Similar to the Crimson Tide, Missouri has been relatively even in terms of over/under, with 13 of 25 games going over. On their home court, only seven of 17 matchups have gone.
Alabama vs. Missouri CSN Power Rankings Line
Our power rankings suggest that a different line may be more accurate than the current posted line of Missouri -1.5.
Alabama is slotted at No. 18, while the Tigers are 21 spots below at No. 39. Missouri will be on their home court, but regardless, the line may be better placed at a similar number of -1.5 or -2.5 but with the Crimson Tide favored.
Preview for Alabama vs. Missouri
Alabama enters this matchup with a 21-4 overall record, including a 10-2 mark in SEC contests. That puts them in second place in the conference standings, just behind the aforementioned Auburn Tigers.
Missouri isn’t far behind at 8-4 in conference with an overall record of 19-6. A win on Wednesday night would move them into fourth place in the SEC standings.
The Tigers have five Quad 1 wins, while Alabama has an impressive eight. Each team has essentially secured its spot in the NCAA Tournament field. At this point, they’re playing for the highest possible seed and the continued jostling in the SEC standings.
The Crimson Tide’s high-powered scoring attack is led by senior point guard Mark Sears, who scores 17.8 points per game and assists on 4.8 baskets per night. Although Sears’s play has declined from a season ago—along with multiple disputes with head coach Nate Oats—he’s still Alabama’s leader on the floor.
Senior forward Grant Nelson has been a steady presence for the Tide over the past two seasons; he adds 12.6 ppg and a team-leading 8.3 rpg.
Oats has relied on sophomore guard Aden Holloway more and more as the season has progressed. Since Dec. 22, he’s averaging nearly 14.0 ppg off the bench. Alabama is deep, with multiple other key contributors who have stepped up when needed this season.
Missouri also scores at an above-average clip of 82.6 ppg, good for 12th in the country.
A trio of scorers leads them; Caleb Grill, Tamar Bates, and Mark Mitchell all average better than 12.0 ppg. Grill and Bates are terrific three-point shooters, averaging 46.7% and 39.0% from beyond the arc this season.
Mitchell, a former Duke Blue Devil, scores while attacking the basket. At the same time, he’s grabbing 4.7 rpg, the second-best mark on the team.
This will be an intriguing matchup between two top-15 teams in Columbia.
Best Bets and Final Score Prediction
Both the Crimson Tide and Tigers like to move quickly on the court. The over/under line reflects that, sitting at 169.5 points. To surpass that mark, assuming it’s a relatively close game, both teams would have to be in the mid-to-high 80s scoring-wise.
Surprisingly enough, Alabama’s last two games have soared over that total, as their offense has been on fire lately.
Despite the dauntingly high number, we’ll take the over here. Given how fast-paced this game will be, it’s hard to see it ending in the 70s.
The Tide are coming off a loss to Auburn, so I expect them to come out with a vengeance. In their three games following a loss this season, Oats has had his team ready to go, with an average margin of victory of 11 points.
Still, Alabama is the underdog in this matchup. We’ll take them to win outright instead of taking their side of the line. They’re the better team in this game, and they’ll assert their will despite playing on the road.
Take Alabama money line at -110 odds. For picking the No. 4 team nationally to win outright, that’s a major steal.
The Tigers will put up an admirable fight, and this one will stay close, likely until the very end. But expect the Crimson Tide to come out on top, notching their 11th conference win and staying within reach of Auburn at the top.
RELATED: What Is Alabama’s Hard Hat? Explaining Nate Oats’ Postgame Tradition
Picks: Over 169.5 Points, Alabama Money Line (-108)
Prediction: Alabama 91, Missouri 84
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