The Miami Hurricanes will be at home on Tuesday night with their eyes set on knocking off the No. 2 Duke Blue Devils.
Miami has just six wins on the season but has a chance to notch a program-altering victory. Meanwhile, the Blue Devils have lost just one game in ACC play and have their sights on a national championship as the calendar nears March. Can the Hurricanes take down one of the top dogs in college basketball?
Find out below as we make a prediction and break down the spread, total, and money line bets.
Duke vs. Miami Betting Preview
All Duke vs. Miami odds are from Fanduel Sportsbook and are correct as of Tuesday, Feb. 25, 2025.
- Spread
Duke -22.5 - Moneyline
Duke -7000, Miami +2000 - Over/Under
150.5 points - Game Time
Tuesday, Feb. 25, 7:00 p.m. ET - Location
Watsco Center | Coral Gables, Fla. - How To Watch
ESPN
Duke enters with a 17-10 record ATS, including 10-6 in ACC play. On the road, they’ve covered seven of nine opportunities, including covering their last three games.
Miami has a reverse record of 10-17 overall and 6-10 ATS in conference matchups. However, despite only having two conference victories, they’ve been more competitive as of late. The Hurricanes have covered five of their last six and haven’t lost by double digits since Jan. 29.
The Blue Devils are one of the best defensive teams in the country, but their over/under record is middling at 13-14. Nine of 16 conference outings have gone over, including their last three, when their explosive offense averaged 98.6 ppg.
To say the Hurricanes have a below-average offense would be a compliment — they allow a staggering 79.6 ppg to opponents. Because of that, 16 of their 27 games have reached the over, with 10 of 15 home outings reaching that mark.
Duke vs. Miami CSN Power Rankings Line
Duke is ranked No. 1 overall in our power rankings despite being No. 2 in the latest AP Poll Top-25. Miami is slotted at No. 111, a far way down the list.
The listed line of -22.5 reflects those rankings to a T — even being a tad low.
Preview for Duke vs. Miami
As mentioned, the Hurricanes have six wins versus 21 losses this season, with a 2-14 record in the ACC. However, they’ve shown signs of life lately, playing competitive basketball. Both of their conference wins have come this month.
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Duke has been among the best teams in the country for the entirety of the season but may be playing their best basketball as of late. They come in with a 24-3 overall and 15-1 conference record and have won their last four games in decisive fashion since suffering their lone ACC loss to the Clemson Tigers.
The Blue Devil’s average margin of victory has been 29.5 points — a result of an excellently balanced offensive attack combined with one of the top defenses in the nation.
It all starts with freshman sensation Cooper Flagg, who leads the team in all major stat categories. But Duke has plenty of firepower behind him.
In their 110-77 victory over the Illinois Fighting Illini in their last outing — a rare February non-conference game — seven Blue Devils scored in double figures with none scoring more than 17 points.
Sharpshooter Kon Knueppel and guards Tyrese Proctor and Sion James are solid presences on the perimeter, as all three have improved as the season has progressed.
While it will be tough to guard the No. 2 team in the country, it may come down to if the Hurricanes can keep up with Duke’s offense.
Leading scorer, senior guard Matthew Cleveland, has been a solid scorer in all four of his seasons in the ACC. In 2024-25, he’s pouring in 16.3 ppg on solid efficiency. The team’s second-leading scorer is fifth-year senior center Lynn Kidd, who adds 11.3 ppg and a team-leading 7.2 rpg.
For this to be a competitive game, one of senior forward Brandon Johnson or junior guard A.J. Staton-McCray will have to score more than their 7.9 ppg and 7.6 ppg, respectively. McCray poured in 21 points on four of six from beyond the arc in the Hurricanes’ last game — if he can match or exceed that performance, they may be able to keep up.
Best Bets and Final Score Prediction
In terms of the total, it’s extremely hard to bet against the explosive Blue Devils offense. Their 98.6 ppg over their last three has included 106- and 110-point bursts, and it’s hard to find a reason that they’d struggle against this Hurricanes squad that allows nearly 80.0 ppg.
For that reason, we’ll take the over of 150.5 points. That, combined with the line of Duke -22.5, is assuming the final score is somewhere around 87-64. Although on the road, I’d be willing to predict the Flagg and Co. will score more than that number.
For similar reasoning, it’s also difficult to not take the points with Duke. The line is very high at -22.5 — but considering the Blue Devils have won their last four by a combined 118 points, it’s completely doable.
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Taking into consideration the Hurricanes’ 10-17 record ATS over the course of the season as well, we’ll take Duke -22.5.
Even if the first half remains dangerously close, Duke’s offensive firepower has the ability to stretch a lead to 20+ points in an instant.
Picks: Over 151.5 Points, Duke -22.5
Prediction: Duke 93, Miami 69
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