The No. 1 Texas Longhorns and No. 2 TCU Horned Frogs will face off in the Elite Eight on Monday in the Birmingham 3 Regional Final at Legacy Arena.
This is yet another opportunity for Texas to finally break through to the Final Four for the first time since 2003. For TCU, it’s an unprecedented chance to continue the best season in program history. The Longhorns hold a dominant 53-4 all-time record over TCU, but the Horned Frogs have proven they can hang with the best.
Texas vs. TCU Betting Preview
All Texas vs. TCU odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, March 28, 2025.
- Spread: Texas -7.5
- Moneyline: Texas -325, TCU +262
- Over/Under: 131.5 points
- Game Time: Monday, March 31, 2025, at 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Legacy Arena at BJCC | Birmingham, Alabama
- How To Watch: ESPN
Texas has been dominant all season, boasting an impressive +852 scoring differential while allowing just 55.9 points per game. The Longhorns’ defense will be tested by a high-powered TCU offense that ranks 22nd in the nation, averaging 77.7 points per game. The key factor in this matchup will be Texas’ ability to slow down TCU’s pace and impose their defensive will. On the other hand, if TCU can get into an offensive rhythm, they have the firepower to make this a competitive battle.
Texas vs. TCU CSN Winning Probability
Texas: 78%
TCU: 22%
This aligns closely with Vegas odds, where Texas is favored by 7.5 points, suggesting that oddsmakers expect a competitive but controlled win for the Longhorns. However, TCU has already defied expectations in this tournament, and their momentum could play a factor in keeping this one closer than expected.
Prediction for Texas vs. TCU
Texas has been on the doorstep of the Final Four multiple times under head coach Vic Schaefer, and this feels like the year they finally break through. The Longhorns’ elite defense will be key in slowing down TCU’s up-tempo attack, and their big-game experience gives them a crucial edge.
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TCU has been a great story this season, and their offensive firepower cannot be overlooked. However, against a disciplined Texas squad that allows just 56 points per game in the NCAA Tournament, the Horned Frogs will need an exceptional shooting night to stay in contention. Texas has the defensive discipline and scoring depth to pull away late and secure its long-awaited trip to the Final Four.
Prediction: Texas 74, TCU 67
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