The first round of the NCAA Tournament will feature an intriguing matchup between the No. 7 seed Oklahoma State Cowgirls and the No. 10 seed South Dakota State Jackrabbits on Saturday, March 22, 2025. The Jackrabbits, riding a 19-game winning streak, will travel to Storrs, Connecticut, looking to make a statement against a battle-tested OSU squad that went 14-4 in Big 12 play.
While Oklahoma State boasts one of the nation’s top defenses, South Dakota State ranks sixth nationally in field goal percentage and has proven it can score efficiently. OSU head coach Jacie Hoyt has faced SDSU before, from her five-year stint in the Summit League, adding an extra layer of familiarity to this showdown. With both teams eager to advance, this game promises to be a thrilling contest.
Oklahoma State vs. South Dakota State Betting Preview
All Oklahoma State vs. South Dakota State odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, March 21, 2025.
- Spread: Oklahoma State -5.5
- Moneyline: Oklahoma State -244, South Dakota State +198
- Over/Under: 137.5 points
- Game Time: Saturday, March 22, 2025, 3:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Harry A. Gampel Pavilion | Storrs, Connecticut
- How To Watch: ESPN2
Oklahoma State enters the matchup with a +519 scoring differential, outscoring opponents by 16.7 points per game. The Cowgirls’ stifling defense has been a key factor, allowing just 60.0 points per contest (82nd in the nation). Meanwhile, South Dakota State has been dominant offensively, averaging 76.3 points per game (33rd nationally) and holding a +479 scoring differential. The Jackrabbits’ ability to maintain their high efficiency against OSU’s tough defense will be crucial in this game.
Oklahoma State vs. South Dakota State CSN Winning Probability
According to CSN, Oklahoma State has a 62% chance of winning this game, while South Dakota State holds a 38% chance of pulling off the upset. This projection closely aligns with Vegas’ assessment, as the Cowgirls are favored by 5.5 points. However, South Dakota State’s 19-game winning streak and efficient offense make them a dangerous underdog.
Prediction for Oklahoma State vs. South Dakota State
Oklahoma State is seeking its first NCAA Tournament win since 2021, while South Dakota State enters the matchup as one of the hottest teams in the nation. The Jackrabbits’ offensive firepower, led by their high field goal percentage, will put pressure on OSU’s defense. However, the Cowgirls’ experience against high-level competition in the Big 12 could be the deciding factor.
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South Dakota State’s ability to control the tempo and find quality shots will be key in keeping this game close. An upset is within reach if they can limit turnovers and capitalize on their efficient shooting. However, Oklahoma State’s defense and battle-tested roster should ultimately be enough to secure a victory.
Prediction: Oklahoma State 73, South Dakota State 70.
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