As the NCAA Tournament kicks off, NC State faces off against Vermont in what promises to be an exciting first-round matchup.
NC State, fresh off an ACC regular-season championship, is poised to make a deep run in the tournament, while Vermont enters as a determined underdog with a strong defensive reputation. Both teams are coming into this game with impressive recent performances, but only one will advance to the next round. With a 26-6 overall record, NC State is the heavy favorite, but Vermont’s defense has the potential to disrupt the Wolfpack’s high-scoring offense. Let’s dive into the matchup, the betting details, and the key players to watch.
NC State vs. Vermont Betting Preview
All NC State vs. Vermont odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, March 21, 2025.
- Spread: NC State -9.5
- Moneyline: NC State -550, Vermont +400
- Over/Under: 129.5
- Game Time: Saturday, March 22, 2:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Reynolds Coliseum | Raleigh, North Carolina
- How To Watch: ESPN
The Wolfpack enter this game as a 9.5-point favorite, reflecting their dominance in the ACC and strong overall record. NC State has been excellent on both sides of the ball, averaging 77.3 points per game over the last 10 games while holding opponents to just 67.1 points. NC State’s strength lies in their depth and ability to play at a fast pace, which will challenge Vermont’s slower, more methodical style.
While not as high-powered offensively, Vermont comes into the tournament with a solid 16-3 record in America East play. The Catamounts’ defense has been a major strength, ranking third in the nation in points allowed per game (52.2) and holding opponents to just 38.7% shooting. Vermont will need a near-perfect performance from their defense to keep NC State from running away with this game.
NC State vs. Vermont CSN Winning Probability
NC State has a strong CSN winning probability of 85%. This aligns with the Vegas odds, which show the Wolfpack as heavy favorites. The team’s offensive firepower and overall balance give them a clear edge in this matchup, but Vermont’s elite defense could make this game more competitive than expected.
Vermont’s winning probability, though lower, reflects their ability to slow down high-scoring teams with their defense. While they’ll likely need to play near-perfect defense to pull off the upset, their experience in the tournament could help them stay calm and focused against the high-pressure environment of March Madness.
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Prediction for NC State vs. Vermont
NC State comes into this game with a clear advantage in terms of offensive firepower and overall depth. However, Vermont’s defense, which has been one of the best in the nation, has the potential to keep them in this game. The Catamounts will need to force NC State into difficult shots and limit transition opportunities, but with the Wolfpack’s versatile offense, it’s unlikely Vermont can completely shut them down.
Prediction: NC State 76, Vermont 60
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