Washington State vs. Boise State Prediction: Cougs, John Mateer Ripe for Upset Win

    The future of the Pac-12 is on display as fans get an early preview of a soon-to-be conference showdown in our Washington State vs. Boise State prediction.

    The unbeaten Washington State Cougars travel to Idaho and square off against future Pac-12 foe Boise State Broncos. This Week 5 matchup has all the makings of an After Dark thriller, one fans won’t want to miss.

    Before kickoff, let’s dive into the latest betting odds, spread analysis, and our final prediction for Washington State vs. Boise State.

    Washington State vs. Boise State Betting Preview

    All Washington State vs. Boise State odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Sept. 28.

    • Spread
      Boise State -6.5
    • Moneyline
      Washington State +200, Boise State -245
    • Over/Under
      66
    • Game time
      10 p.m. ET
    • Location
      Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
    • Predicted Weather at Kick
      70 degrees, 6 mph winds, and warm
    • How to Watch
      FS1

    The Cougars enter battle-tested after wins over Washington and San Jose State, while the Broncos aim to validate their No. 25 ranking following big wins over Georgia Southern and Portland State and a narrow loss to Oregon.

    Washington State is 3-1 ATS, while Boise State is 1-2, making the 7.5-point spread intriguing. Both teams can score, though their toughest games have stayed below season averages.

    Boise State has won as favorites, while Washington State thrives as underdogs, creating an interesting matchup despite early money favoring the Cougars. A 70-point total isn’t unrealistic, making the over a solid play if the line stays steady.

    Prediction for Washington State vs. Boise State

    This under-the-radar late-night showdown on the blue turf has all the makings of a thriller, especially with two teams that appear so evenly matched.

    Both sides lean heavily on a key offensive star, and while Ashton Jeanty and John Mateer will be in the spotlight, it could be the defenses that steal the show. The Broncos are still searching for their first interception of the season despite forcing three fumbles in three games.

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    Washington State, meanwhile, has excelled at creating turnovers, racking up eight takeaways on three forced fumbles and five interceptions.

    Stopping Jeanty will be a priority for WSU’s defense, but that’s easier said than done. The real test for Boise State will be on third downs. They’ve thrived in wins, converting at 66.7%, but struggled at just 47% in their lone loss to Oregon.

    The spread here feels a bit wide, and while Washington State might not have the defensive front to shut down Boise’s ground game, underestimating the Cougars’ defense would be a mistake. They’ve tallied 23 tackles for loss and thrived in the turnover battle, holding up well against solid competition, including a shared opponent in Portland State.

    This game will likely hinge on turnovers. If Mateer can minimize mistakes and the Cougars keep generating takeaways, Washington State could pull this one out.

    Prediction: Washington State 27, Boise State 26

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