The Auburn Tigers barely edge out the Vanderbilt Commodores in their all-time series (22-21-1), and they’ve snagged the last two matchups. But Vanderbilt’s gearing up to level the score in Week 10.
Dive into Saturday’s SEC clash with our breakdown of the latest odds, spread insights, and our take on the Vanderbilt vs. Auburn prediction.
Vanderbilt vs. Auburn Betting Preview
All Vanderbilt vs. Auburn odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Vanderbilt -5.5 - Spread
Auburn -8 - Moneyline
Auburn -298, Vanderbilt +240 - Over/Under
49 points - Game Time
12:45 p.m. ET, Saturday, Nov. 2 - Location
Jordan-Hare Stadium | Auburn, Ala. - Predicted Weather at Kick
79 degrees, 8 mph winds, partly cloudy - How To Watch
SEC Network
The total opened at 45 points, but bettors have already pushed it up to 48. With Vandy and Auburn combining for 59.6 points per game, it’s easy to see why.
However, the trends are split, with the over hitting in six of the Commodores’ last nine games and the under cashing in four of the Tigers’ last five.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
Meanwhile, both teams enter with intriguing against-the-spread (ATS) leans:
- Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its previous five SEC matchups.
- Auburn is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine contests played in November.
Vanderbilt’s Winning Probability
Despite the near-touchdown spread in favor of Auburn, the FPM sees a much different outcome — and I tend to agree. The Commodores own significant win probabilities in their next two contests, but it’s only downhill from there, with ranked matchups against LSU and Tennessee to close out the season.
- at Auburn: 65.1%
- vs. South Carolina: 64.6%
- at LSU: 24.5%
- vs. Tennessee: 27.0%
Auburn’s Winning Probability
Depending on your stance on the Tigers’ odds of winning in Week 10 — by the end of this article, you should be on the right side of history — their rest-of-season schedule could produce a 1-3 record, with the one win not guaranteed.
- vs. Vanderbilt: 34.9%
- vs. UL-Monroe: 76.6%
- vs. Texas A&M: 11.9%
- at Alabama: 6.1%
Prediction for Vanderbilt vs. Auburn
Vanderbilt sits at 5-3 this season, with their stunning upset over Alabama still fresh. Their losses? A stumble against Georgia State, looking worse by the week, an overtime heartbreaker to Missouri, and a narrow three-point defeat to No. 5 Texas.
Auburn, meanwhile, is 3-5, having just secured its first conference win over Kentucky. The Tigers are coming off a grueling three-game road stint, but home-field “advantage” hasn’t done them any favors—they’re 0-3 against Power Five teams at Jordan-Hare Stadium in 2024.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
On both paper and on the field, Auburn has the edge over the Commodores, particularly on defense and in the run game. But their quarterback play remains a major liability.
Payton Thorne has topped 215 passing yards just twice—against FCS Alabama A&M and a depleted Oklahoma squad. Outside of that, he’s turned the ball over in all but one game and sports one of the highest pressure-to-sack rates in the country.
Enter Vanderbilt’s Diego Pavia, who’s lifted the program to its best season since 2013. He’s completed 64.5% of his passes for 1,534 yards, 13 touchdowns, and only three interceptions, while also leading the team in rushing (134 carries for 537 yards and 4 touchdowns).
Their magic fell just short against Texas last week, but Vanderbilt heads into this matchup as the stronger team.
Prediction: Vanderbilt 27, Auburn 17
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