This rivalry is etched in the history of college football. UCLA and Washington have clashed 74 times, with UCLA holding a slight lead at 41-33. Since 2000, the Bruins have largely controlled the series, taking 12 of the last 17 meetings.
For Washington, protecting their home field is more than just a goal—it’s a matter of pride. For UCLA, this matchup represents a pivotal opportunity to build on a season brimming with promise and strengthen their postseason aspirations. Our UCLA vs. Washington prediction breaks down the Bruins’ chances of sustaining their mid-season momentum.
UCLA vs. Washington Betting Preview
All UCLA vs. Washington odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, Nov. 15, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Washington -3.5 - Spread
Washington -4.5 - Moneyline
Washington -185, UCLA +154 - Over/Under
46.5 points - Game time
9 p.m. ET - Location
Husky Stadium | Seattle, WA - Predicted Weather at Kick
45 degrees, mostly cloudy, 6 mph winds - How To Watch
Fox
The Huskies originally opened as over a touchdown favorite at -8, but that number has dropped drastically just above a field goal. The total has experienced less movement as it opened at 45.4 and has climbed slightly to 47.
The moneyline has been volatile as Washington has been anywhere from a -150 moneyline favorite up to -195. The Huskies currently sit at -170, but that feels like a number that will continue to move.
UCLA’s Winning Probability
According to CFN’s Football Power Metric, UCLA has a 39.4% chance of defeating Washington on Saturday. It’s the lowest chance of victory in their remaining three games and the least likely for the Bruins to capture their sixth victory of the season to become bowl-eligible.
- at Washington: 39.4%
- vs. USC: 49.4%
- vs. Fresno State: 81.1%
Washington’s Winning Probability
According to the FPM, Washington has a 60.6% chance of defeating UCLA on Saturday.
If Washington splits their two remaining games as suggested by the CFN FPM, the Huskies will finish at 6-6, their worst record since 2021, when they finished 4-8.
- vs. UCLA: 60.6%
- at Oregon: 5.6%
Prediction for UCLA vs. Washington
The UCLA Bruins, riding a surge of momentum, head north for a pivotal Week 12 clash against the Washington Huskies, with postseason implications hanging in the balance. After three straight wins, DeShaun Foster’s team is finding its rhythm and inching closer to bowl eligibility.
Washington, on the other hand, has hit a rough patch under head coach Jedd Fisch. The Huskies have lost three of their last four games, but a return to Husky Stadium—where they boast a perfect 5-0 record this season—could be the reset they need.
The last meeting between these programs came in 2022, a thrilling, high-scoring battle that saw UCLA emerge with a 40-32 victory, showcasing the competitive fire of both teams.
While UCLA has shown progress in recent weeks, offensive struggles continue to be a major hurdle. The Bruins are averaging just 17.4 points per game and barely surpassing 300 total yards per outing. Defensively, they’ve allowed 29 points and 367 yards per game, further highlighting their challenges.
Quarterback Ethan Garbers has passed for 1,960 yards and 12 touchdowns this season, but the Bruins’ ground game has struggled mightily. T.J. Harden leads the rushing attack with just 351 yards and one touchdown on 93 carries, reflecting the team’s inability to establish a consistent run game.
For Washington, success has been built on a lockdown pass defense, allowing only 149.8 passing yards per game, ranking among the best in the country. However, their run defense has been more vulnerable, surrendering an average of 162.3 rushing yards per game—potentially giving UCLA a glimmer of hope.
Unfortunately for the Bruins, their rushing offense ranks near the bottom nationally, producing just 89.1 yards per game on a meager 3.2 yards per carry. This inefficiency makes it unlikely they’ll capitalize on Washington’s run defense.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
Given these dynamics, Washington’s dominance at home and UCLA’s offensive struggles position the Huskies as the clear favorite. Expect Washington to secure a decisive win and cover the spread, leveraging their elite pass defense to stifle UCLA’s attack and control the game.
Prediction: Washington 23, UCLA 16
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