The Florida Gators and Tulane Green Wave have squared off 21 times, with Florida holding a 13-6-2 all-time edge. That said, the two teams haven’t met since 1984, and the Gators have dominated the series, winning the last 11 matchups.
Our Tulane vs. Florida prediction dives into everything you need to know — from the latest betting odds to what’s on the line for both teams as they clash in the Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl.
Tulane vs. Florida Gasparilla Bowl Betting Preview
All Tulane vs. Florida odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, Dec. 20, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Florida -9 - Spread
Florida -10.5 - Moneyline
Florida -425, Tulane +330 - Over/Under
49.5 points - Game Time
3:30 p.m. ET, Friday, Dec. 20 - Location
Raymond James Stadium | Tampa, Fla. - Predicted Weather at Kick
70 degrees, 6 mph winds, mostly sunny - How To Watch
ESPN2
While the Green Wave have covered in three of their four games as underdogs, they’ve come up short straight up against both Power Four opponents they’ve faced this season—falling 34-27 to Kansas State and 34-19 to Oklahoma.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
The sub-50-point total feels a bit low, but the Gators have hit the under in three straight games, thanks to their grind-it-out offensive style. With Tulane dealing with quarterback uncertainty, the under could be a tempting play.
Tulane’s Winning Probability
The Green Wave’s Gasparilla Bowl appearance is their sixth bowl berth in seven years, with the previous five coming under head coach Willie Fritz. They’ve gone 3-2 in that span, and if the FPM’s win probability is anything to go off of, they’ll likely make it 3-3 on Dec. 20.
- at Florida: 24.9%
Florida’s Winning Probability
After two middling-at-best seasons under Billy Napier, the Gators are finally on the upswing. They finished with their first winning season since 2020 (7-5) and hope to keep the momentum going against Tulane.
- vs. Tulane: 75.1%
Prediction for Tulane vs. Florida
Florida has proven to be a dependable betting option this season, covering the spread in eight of its last nine games, including six outright wins as underdogs. The Gators capped their regular season with a statement, dominating Florida State 31-11 as 17-point favorites.
Led by five-star true freshman DJ Lagway, Florida stood toe-to-toe with SEC heavyweights like Georgia and Tennessee, building a battle-tested résumé against one of the nation’s toughest schedules.
On the other hand, Tulane faltered late in the season, dropping its final two games outright as favorites, including a 35-14 loss to Army in the AAC title game.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Playoffs With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
Although the Green Wave impressed earlier in the year, their softer schedule and instability at quarterback are concerning. Starter Darien Mensah has transferred to Duke, leaving backup Ty Thompson, who has just 11 pass attempts all season, to lead the offense.
Despite being linked to the North Carolina coaching job, Jon Sumrall opted to stay at Tulane with a contract extension, signaling a bright future for the Green Wave. However, the present belongs to Lagway and the Gators. Expect Florida to win and cover comfortably against its Group of Five opponent.
Prediction: Florida 34, Tulane 13
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