Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan Prediction: Tucker Gleason Comes Up Big for Rockets

    The MAC champion won’t be crowned until December, but our Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan prediction breaks down what this game means for the title race.

    Ahead of the Mid-American Conference’s midweek takeover, an impactful showdown between the Toledo Rockets and Eastern Michigan Eagles is set for Saturday afternoon in Week 10. In a league where unpredictability reigns, a single loss could knock either team out of contention for the championship game.

    Our Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan prediction covers all the key details, from current betting odds to each team’s outlook for the rest of the 2024 college football season.

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    Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan Betting Preview

    All Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.

    • CFN FPM Spread
      Toledo -2
    • Spread
      Toledo -10
    • Moneyline
      Toledo -345, Eastern Michigan +275
    • Over/Under
      54.5 points
    • Game time
      Noon ET
    • Location
      Rynearson Stadium | Ypsilanti, MI
    • Predicted Weather at Kick
      58 degrees, mostly sunny, 7 mph winds
    • How to Watch
      ESPNU

    Saturday marks the 52nd edition of Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan, and the odds are stacked in the Rockets’ favor. They are the betting favorite by DraftKings and the CFN FPM and hold a 38-13 head-to-head advantage after winning the last two encounters. Forget any road disadvantage; Ypsilanti has been a happy hunting ground for the Rockets, losing once there since 2006.

    MORE: Simulate the College Football Season with CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor

    While our prediction favors the Rockets, the Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan odds offer some possibilities for making a little money. Jason Candle’s team is 2-4 against the spread when favored, while Eastern Michigan is 6-2 ATS this season with a 3-1 spread record as an underdog. Taking the Eagles to cover with a Toledo moneyline bet is the way to go with this MAC matchup.

    Toledo’s Winning Probability

    According to the CFN FPM, Toledo has a 53.4% chance of beating Eastern Michigan on Saturday afternoon. The Rockets have been difficult to read so far in the 2024 season, losing some games where our metric predicted victory while overcoming the odds to secure a win where defeat had been projected.

    • at Eastern Michigan: 53.4%
    • vs. Central Michigan: 67.7%
    • vs. Ohio: 53.4%
    • at Akron: 63.6%

    If those win probabilities were to hold true, the Rockets would end the year with a 9-3 record. They would have a 6-2 record in the MAC, which could be good enough for a place in the conference title game, depending on other results as the season progresses.

    Eastern Michigan’s Winning Probability

    Conversely, Eastern Michigan has a 46.6% chance of securing a win against Toledo on Saturday afternoon. The Eagles secured an unlikely win against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks early in the season but enter this game after an upset defeat to the Akron Zips.

    • vs. Toledo: 46.6%
    • at Ohio: 35.9%
    • vs. Buffalo: 50.4%
    • at Western Michigan: 26.6%

    If those win probabilities were to hold true, the Eagles would end the 2024 season with a 6-6 overall record that includes a 3-5 MAC campaign. That would mean bowl eligibility for a fourth successive season (the first time in program history) despite the worst conference record since the disrupted 2020 season.

    Prediction for Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan

    The MAC has been a rollercoaster this season, with Western Michigan standing as the conference’s lone unbeaten team. Still, as many as eight teams have a real shot at the championship game. For Toledo and Eastern Michigan, though, this matchup is make-or-break. The loser will likely see their MAC title hopes fade.

    Both teams come in at 5-3 overall and 2-2 in the MAC, with the talent to challenge for the title. But who has the upper hand, and where will the decisive battles play out in this clash to stay alive in the race?

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    Both offenses have been high-powered yet inconsistent. Heading into Week 10, they’re nearly identical on the scoreboard, averaging 29.1 points per game for Toledo and 29.4 for Eastern Michigan—both top-half rankings in the FBS.

    Eastern Michigan quarterback Cole Snyder leads the MAC in passing attempts and yards, while Toledo’s Tucker Gleason tops the conference in passing touchdowns and yards per game. On the ground, the Eagles have Delbert Mimms, while the Rockets rely on Connor Walendzak as a complementary rushing threat.

    Toledo’s wide receiver duo, Junior Vandeross III and Jerjuan Newton, combined for 13 touchdowns and over 1,300 yards. These two could shine against an Eastern Michigan secondary that has surrendered 15 passing TDs and allowed 8.8 yards per attempt.

    But while offenses may win games, defenses win championships—and with title implications on the line, Toledo holds the defensive edge. Allowing around four fewer points per game than their MAC counterparts, the Rockets boast a secondary that can stifle the pass, along with defensive playmakers like Darius Alexander, Daniel Bolden, and Jackson Barrow, who can bring pressure on Eastern Michigan’s offensive line.

    Prediction: Toledo 27, Eastern Michigan 23

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