Expectation is a funny thing in college football, and Wednesday’s MACtion finale pitches together two teams at opposite ends of the expectation experience. The 8-1 Toledo Rockets — who are exactly who everyone thought they were — take on a 4-5 Eastern Michigan Eagles team who have come up a little short in 2023.
Who emerges victorious on Wednesday night? Ahead of the game, we’ve got the latest college football betting odds, DFS picks, and a Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan prediction.
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan Betting and DFS Preview
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and correct as of Tuesday, Nov. 7, 2023. Want to take advantage of the Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan odds? Visit the College Football Network live college football odds page to place bets in your state.
- Spread
Toledo -19 - Moneyline
Toledo -950, Eastern Michigan - Over/Under
46 points - Game time
7:30 p.m. ET - Location
Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH - Predicted Weather at Kick
53 degrees, 7 mph winds, cloudy - How to Watch
ESPN2, FuboTV
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Feeling tickled by the odds on Toledo or is Eastern Michigan the money-maker in midweek MACtion? If you’re going to take advantage of the Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan odds, consider some of the following factors before you part with your hard-earned cash.
Forget the fact that Eastern Michigan hasn’t won in the Glass Bowl since 1999, or that the Rockets hold a 37-13 head-to-head advantage after their 27-24 win last year. The confidence in Jason Candle’s team as a favorite in this game comes from the form of these two teams in 2023, as our Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan prediction will fully explain shortly.
MORE: What Does MACtion Mean?
That said, we think there’s a little money to be made on Eastern Michigan covering the spread on Wednesday night. There hasn’t been a 19-point disparity between the two teams since 2015. Meanwhile, Toledo has failed to cover as a double-digit spread favorite since Week 2. They’re 3-5 as a favorite with Eastern Michigan covering every time they’ve been a double-digit ‘dog.
Eastern Michigan’s anemic scoring offense and Toledo’s impressive defense explain the 46-point total line for this matchup, but Chris Creighton’s team has only failed to score 20-plus in the MAC this season once. Their defense will face a stern test against an explosive Toledo offense, resulting in the potential for the game to go over the line.
Top DFS Picks and Fantasy Plays
Toledo Depth Chart | Eastern Michigan Depth Chart
- QB DeQuan Finn, Toledo ($12,000)
- QB Austin Smith, Eastern Michigan ($6,500)
- RB Peny Boone, Toledo ($11,000)
- RB Samson Evans, Eastern Michigan ($6,800)
- RB Jacquez Stuart, Toledo ($6,400)
- RB Jaylon Jackson, Eastern Michigan ($6,000)
- WR Jerjuan Newton, Toledo ($8,700)
- WR Junior Vandeross III, Toledo ($7,500)
- WR Tanner Knue, Eastern Michigan ($7,000)
- WR JB Mitchell III, Eastern Michigan ($6,200)
- WR Larry Stephens, Toledo ($5,700)
- WR Hamza El-Zayat, Eastern Michigan ($5,600)
- TE Anthony Torres, Toledo ($6,500)
- TE Blake Daniels, Eastern Michigan ($5,100)
There are three college football games on Wednesday to compile your DFS team from in Week 11. If you’re new to DFS, Fanduel Superflex contests require you to select a quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, and a “superflex” that can be any of the above or a tight end.
If you’ve read our MAC previews for Miami (OH) vs. Akron and Kent State vs. Bowling Green, you’ll be fully aware that Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan picks are going to dominate your DFS lineup and could have significant solutions for your college football fantasy teams. Budget will likely hamstring you taking everyone we’re about to mention, but target as many as you can.
Junior Vandeross III is having an excellent season for Toledo and leads the Rockets with 406 receiving yards. However, their offensive weapon continues to be Jerjuan Newton.
Death. Taxes. Toledo touchdowns for Newton.
His nine scores this year comfortably lead the MAC, and only Miami (OH) WR Gage Larvadain has more points than Newton’s 93.6 points ahead of Week 11.
The man throwing Newton the ball leads the MAC by a country mile with 190.58 fantasy points. They should probably rename him DeQuan Funn because Finn is one of the most exciting quarterbacks in the nation. Meanwhile, Rockets RB Peny Boone is enjoying a sensational season and leads all MAC backs in yards and touchdowns. RB Samson Evans is the only viable Eagles option.
Prediction for Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan
Okay, so we’ve furnished you with the Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan odds and some DFS picks. Now, it’s time to close this thing out with our prediction. Can the Eagles swoop into Ohio and fly off win an unexpected win or will the Rockets prove too explosive on their way to a ninth win of the season that would seal the MAC West title for the second successive season?
While RB Evans and WR Tanner Knue are amongst the best at their positions in the MAC, even the most avid Eagles fan has to admit that their offense isn’t going to out-duel in a straight-up shootout. Toledo is just too strong. Instead, their chances of victory rest with the defense doing their job, winning the turnover margin, and letting Evans drain the clock.
Eastern Michigan actually ranks fourth in the MAC for points allowed, showcasing their ability to stand up and play strong on defense. Joe Sparacio and Chase Kline are two of the leading tacklers in the nation, while Kempton Shine is the shining light of the secondary. They boast playmakers at every level.
Yet, so does Toledo — both on offense and defense. As we explained above, the offensive trio of Finn, Boone, and Newton compares favorably to any in the nation. They’re electric, exciting, and explosive on an offense backed by a defense that averages just 19.3 points allowed per game.
Throwing on a secondary containing Quinyon Mitchell and Maxen Hook is ill-advised, running from Judge Culpepper is nearly impossible, and LB duo Dallas Gant and Daniel Bolden take prisoners on every down. Eagles punter Mitchell Tomasek might ensure Toledo has to work for the win, but there’s an inevitability about their ability to get the job done convincingly.
Prediction: Toledo 34, Eastern Michigan 20