Every matchup between the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the TCU Horned Frogs seems to be a nail-biter, with the all-time series narrowly led by Texas Tech at 33-30-3. The 2024 showdown promises to deliver the same excitement.
Our Texas Tech vs. TCU preview dives deep into the matchup, offering key betting insights and helping you make the smartest wagering decisions.
Texas Tech vs. TCU Betting Preview
All Texas Tech vs. TCU odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, Oct. 25, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
TCU -1 - Spread
TCU -6.5 - Moneyline
TCU -230, Texas Tech +190 - Over/Under
66.5 points - Game Time
3:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, Oct. 26 - Location
Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas - Predicted Weather at Kick
76 degrees, 8 mph winds, mostly sunny - How To Watch
Fox
After opening at TCU -4, bettors played the line up to -7, even further away from the FPM’s outlook of the contest. The Horned Frogs are 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games, making the line even more puzzling.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
However, Spooky Season hasn’t been kind to Texas Tech, as the program is 0-6 ATS in their last six Week 9 contests. As far as the total, trends point toward the under, which has hit in six of the Red Raiders’ last seven on the road and four of TCU’s last five at home.
Texas Tech’s Winning Probability
Texas Tech is in the midst of its best season in the Joey McGuire era, going 5-2 and 3-1 in the Big 12 thus far. However, the final stretch will test the program’s resilience, with sub-54% win probabilities for the rest of the season, including 48.8% against TCU.
- at Iowa State: 24.5%
- vs. Colorado: 53.8%
- at Oklahoma State: 46.6%
- vs. West Virginia: 52.8%
TCU’s Winning Probability
TCU has ground out a 4-3 record this year, and the second half of the schedule is no easier. Beginning with a 51.2% win probability against the Red Raiders, the Horned Frogs own between 49-52% rates to end the season.
- at Baylor: 49.4%
- vs. Oklahoma State: 51.8%
- vs. Arizona: 50.4%
- at Cincinnati: 49.6%
Prediction for Texas Tech vs. TCU
Texas Tech’s five wins are even more impressive when you consider that the offense has been carrying the load. Just last week, Baylor rolled into Lubbock and dismantled the Red Raiders 59-35, causing many to lose faith. Not me.
McGuire’s squad will be eager to rebound from that embarrassment, and who better to take out their frustrations on than an in-state rival? The Horned Frogs are coming off a 13-7 grind-it-out win over a Utah team missing Cam Rising, but their defense still put on a solid performance.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
But Utah, led by true freshman Isaac Wilson, isn’t the same challenge as Texas Tech, led by Behren Morton. Despite some drops, untimely penalties, and sacks, the offense has flourished through both the air and ground. Morton has kept turnovers to a minimum (just three interceptions on 270 attempts), while RB Tahj Brooks has racked up 804 yards and eight touchdowns on 104 carries.
TCU’s Josh Hoover has been solid, but their run game (3.3 yards per carry) and kicking (8-of-13) leave much to be desired. I’m taking the Red Raiders against the spread and straight up, as well as the over in 2024’s Battle for the Saddle Trophy.
Prediction: Texas Tech 38, TCU 35
College Football Network has you covered with the latest from the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, SEC, and every Group of Five conference and FBS Independent program.