The Ohio State Buckeyes defeated the Indiana Hoosiers 38-15 in Week 14, reshaping the Big Ten Standings. With just one game left in the regular season, here’s a breakdown of OSU’s CFP and conference championship chances.
Ohio State’s Big Ten Championship Chances
Ohio State delivered a major blow to Indiana’s Big Ten title hopes on Saturday. Heading into Week 13, the Hoosiers had double-digit odds of claiming the conference crown, but that figure plummeted to just 5.59% following the defeat.
The current odds to make and win the Big Ten Championship Game are:
- Oregon: 50.90%
- Ohio State: 42.10%
- Indiana: 5.59%
- Penn State: 1.41%
How Can Ohio State Make the Big Ten Championship Game?
To make the Big Ten Championship Game, Ohio State needs to do one thing:
- Defeat the Michigan Wolverines in the season finale.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season with CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
The Buckeyes own the tiebreaker over Indiana and the Penn State Nittany Lions by virtue of beating both teams this season.
Thus, as long as they defeat the Wolverines in “The Game,” they’ll meet the Oregon Ducks in the Big Ten title match.
Updated Big Ten Standings
- 1) Oregon Ducks 11-0 (8-0)
- 2) Ohio State Buckeyes 10-1 (7-1)
- 3) Indiana Hoosiers 10-1 (7-1)
- 4) Penn State Nittany Lions 9-1 (6-1)
- 5) Illinois Fighting Illini 8-3 (5-3)
- 6) Iowa Hawkeyes 7-4 (5-3)
- 7) Minnesota Golden Gophers 6-4 (4-3)
- 8) Washington Huskies 6-5 (4-4)
- 9) Michigan Wolverines 5-5 (3-4)
- 10) Wisconsin Badgers 5-5 (3-4)
- 11) USC Trojans 5-5 (3-5)
- 12) UCLA Bruins 4-6 (3-5)
- 13) Rutgers Scarlet Knights 6-5 (3-5)
- 14) Michigan State Spartans 5-6 (3-5)
- 15) Nebraska Cornhuskers 5-5 (2-5)
- 16) Northwestern Wildcats 4-6 (2-5)
- 17) Maryland Terrapins 4-7 (1-7)
- 18) Purdue Boilermakers 1-10 (0-8)
Latest Ohio State Playoff Probability Following Week 13
With the win over Indiana, the Buckeyes’ CFP chances sit at 65.11%. The CFP Committee placed them at No. 2 in their most recent rankings, just one spot behind the Ducks.
If OSU enacts revenge on Oregon in the title match for handing them their lone loss on the season thus far, they would presumably take the top spot in the nation.
Even if they lose, the Buckeyes should be able to retain an at-large bid in the 12-team bracket, especially with how the Committee has viewed them this year.
Buckeyes’ Remaining Schedule
According to CFN’s Football Playoff Meter, the Buckeyes shouldn’t have too much difficulty defeating their final regular-season opponent of the 2024 campaign, even if it’s their bitter rival.
- vs. Michigan: 91.9%
College Football Network has you covered with the latest from the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, SEC, and every Group of Five conference and FBS Independent program.