An unexpected early-season defeat to the Northern Illinois Huskies has cast doubt on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish’s national standing. Yet, they’ve rebounded impressively with four straight wins, re-establishing themselves in the College Football Playoff conversation. Now, they gear up to take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, a team riding a winning streak of their own.
Will the Yellow Jackets continue their hot streak, or will the Fighting Irish strengthen their case as a postseason contender? Dive into our Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech prediction to find out.
Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech Betting Preview
All Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Oct. 19, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Notre Dame -5.5 - Spread
Notre Dame -14 - Moneyline
Notre Dame -600, Georgia Tech +440 - Over/Under
50 points - Game Time
3:30 p.m. ET - Location
Mercedes-Benz Stadium | Atlanta, GA - Predicted Weather at Kick
Indoors - How To Watch
ESPN
Notre Dame opened as a touchdown and change favorite on Sunday, with an 8.5-point advantage toward Marcus Freeman’s team. However, since opening, there has clearly been a flurry of activity around the Fighting Irish, with the spread booming out to 12 points by midweek and landing at -14 on Saturday.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
Getting to 14 points in favor of ND has played into Georgia Tech’s betting trends in the 2024 college football season. The only other time they’ve been a double-digit underdog this season was the opener in Dublin, where they covered the 10.5-point line on their way to a famous victory. They’re 4-2-1 ATS this year, whereas Notre Dame is 3-2-1 with a 2-3 record as a spread favorite.
Notre Dame’s Winning Probability
FPM favors the Fighting Irish, but only slightly. According to the metric, Notre Dame has a 65.1% chance to win the game, translating to an implied spread of about 5.5 points.
This game represents one of Notre Dame’s toughest challenges of the year, and the Fighting Irish have a good chance to win out if they can beat the Yellow Jackets. Here are their winning probabilities for the rest of the season:
- vs. Georgia Tech: 65.1%
- vs. Navy: 87.8%
- vs. Florida State: 89.0%
- vs. Virginia: 84.2%
- vs. Army: 87.2%
- at USC: 60.6%
Georgia Tech’s Winning Probability
Conversely, the Yellow Jackets have a 34.9% chance to win the game, FPM. This game represents Georgia Tech’s third-toughest challenge of the rest of a difficult schedule. Here are their winning probabilities for the rest of the season:
- vs. Notre Dame: 34.9%
- at Virginia Tech: 50.8%
- vs. Miami (FL): 33.6%
- vs. NC State: 75.3%
- at Georgia: 13.2%
Prediction for Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech
While Notre Dame holds the edge overall, this matchup presents some challenges for the Irish. They excel at controlling both lines of scrimmage and wearing down their opponents—a style that Georgia Tech thrives on as well. The Yellow Jackets will be the toughest test in the trenches that Notre Dame has faced this season.
Before this past weekend, I might have leaned toward a potential upset by the Yellow Jackets. While that possibility remains, Notre Dame’s recent success in the passing game with quarterback Riley Leonard gives me pause.
Teams that have managed to beat Georgia Tech have often found success through consistent passing, particularly over the middle.
FREE: Sign up for the College Football Network Newsletter to receive unique stories from the world of college football directly to your inbox!
Leonard’s growth over the past year has been impressive, and Notre Dame’s offensive line is more than capable of providing him protection against a tough Georgia Tech front.
Defensively, Notre Dame’s line is the most formidable Georgia Tech has encountered this season, setting up a critical battle. For me to back Georgia Tech, I need to see more from Haynes King in the passing game.
Both teams favor a physical, run-heavy approach, but the one that finds more consistency through the air will likely come out on top. That seems to favor Notre Dame, though expect a close, low-scoring contest.
Notre Dame should win, but Georgia Tech is poised to cover the spread.
Prediction: Notre Dame 27, Georgia Tech 21
College Football Network has you covered with the latest from the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, SEC, and every Group of Five conference and FBS Independent program.