Power Four vs. Group of Five. Memphis Tigers QB Seth Henigan takes the field for his final collegiate game. The West Virginia Mountaineers face uncertainty as they search for a new head coach. The headlines are plentiful in this Frisco Bowl clash, but only one thing truly matters: the final score.
Who has the edge? Our Memphis vs. West Virginia prediction dives into everything you need to know — from the latest betting odds to what’s on the line for both teams as they square off in the Scooter’s Coffee Frisco Bowl.
Memphis vs. West Virginia Frisco Bowl Betting Preview
All Memphis vs. West Virginia odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Tuesday, Dec. 17, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Memphis -1 - Spread
Memphis -5 - Moneyline
Memphis -218, West Virginia +180 - Over/Under
60.5 points - Game Time
4:00 p.m. ET, Tuesday, Dec. 17 - Location
Toyota Stadium | Frisco, Texas - Predicted Weather at Kick
TBD - How To Watch
ESPN
The Tigers and Mountaineers have put up points this year, resulting in the over hitting in five of their last six games.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
As for picking a side, there are a couple of trends to note:
- Memphis is 4-2 against the spread in its last six contests against Big 12 opponents.
- West Virginia is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games played in December.
Memphis’ Winning Probability
Ryan Silverfield has led Memphis to three bowl games, and the Tigers have won all of them. Can they make it four straight? Of course, it’s been a bit of a disappointing season for the program, even with a 10-2 record.
They were meant to play in the AAC championship, but losses to the Navy Midshipmen and UTSA Roadrunners ruined that opportunity. Still, Memphis will want to end the year on a high note against a Power Four team.
- at West Virginia: 51.8%
West Virginia’s Winning Probability
The Mountaineers fired head coach Neal Brown following a 6-6 campaign. They seemed to be trending in the right direction after going from 5-7 to 9-4 in the last two years.
Yet, West Virginia lost its momentum, resulting in Brown’s ousting following six seasons at the helm. How will the roster respond in the final game of the year?
- vs. Memphis: 48.2%
Prediction for Memphis vs. West Virginia
I’m not betting against Henigan in his final collegiate game. Adding to the story, the Frisco Bowl is just 20-ish miles from his high school — yeah, he’s going out with a bang.
Henigan, who’s thrown for 3,208 yards, 23 TDs, and six INTs this season, is the Tigers’ all-time leading passer (13,972 yards), the winningest QB in program history, and one of just three active QBs with 100+ career TD passes (joining Oregon’s Dillon Gabriel and Washington’s Will Rogers).
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
On the other side, West Virginia has some questions, starting at the top. Offensive coordinator Chad Scott will step in as interim head coach for the bowl game, and there’s uncertainty at quarterback.
Starter Garrett Greene left the regular-season finale against Oklahoma State in the first quarter with a shoulder injury. Even if he plays, how effective will he be? Rushing is his best weapon, and that shoulder could limit him.
Backup Nicco Marchiol has stepped in and looked solid — actually, even better as a passer — but now faces a defense ranked 25th in success rate, 10th in rushing yards allowed (103.9 ypg), and tied for ninth in turnovers forced (24).
Meanwhile, Henigan gets to go up against a West Virginia defense ranked 128th in net points per drive, 127th in dropback success rate, and 104th in EPA per dropback.
Prediction: Memphis 31, West Virginia 26
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