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    Memphis vs. Tulane Prediction: Tigers Talented Enough To Cover?

    The Green Wave are two-touchdown favorites over the Tigers, but should they be? Find out in our Memphis vs. Tulane prediction.

    The Memphis Tigers may own the all-time series lead (24-15-1), but the Tulane Gren Wave have won the two matchups by 10 points each (38-28 in 2022; 31-21 in 2023). Will they extend the streak in the 2024 season finale?

    In our Memphis vs. Tulane prediction, we break down the matchup in detail, offering key betting insights to help you make smarter, more confident picks.

    CFN CFB Playoff Predictor
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    Memphis vs. Tulane Betting Preview

    All Memphis vs. Tulane odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Monday, Nov. 25, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter

    • CFN FPM Spread
      Tulane -6
    • Spread
      Tulane -14
    • Moneyline
      Tulane -550, Memphis +410
    • Over/Under
      55.5 points
    • Game Time
      7:30 p.m. ET, Thursday, Nov. 28
    • Location
      Yulman Stadium | New Orleans
    • Predicted Weather at Kick
      59 degrees, 11 mph winds, partly cloudy
    • How To Watch
      ESPN

    While Tigers games have hit the over in four of the last five, Tulane has long been on the other side of the coin, with the under cashing in 10 of their last 12 at home.

    MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator

    However, if the betting trends point to one thing, it’s the Green Wave against the spread:

    • Tulane is 7-1 ATS in its previous eight contests.
    • Memphis is 1-5 ATS in the past six matchups against Tulane.

    Memphis’ Winning Probability

    With Tulane and the Army Black Knights undefeated in conference play, Memphis won’t gain or lose much from this game. However, they’ll want to hand the Green Wave just their third loss of the season, likely knocking them out of the Top 25 (Tulane is currently No. 20).

    • at Tulane: 34.3%

    Tulane’s Winning Probability

    As mentioned, Tulane doesn’t have much to play for in this one. Still, they’ll want to maintain their unblemished league record while pushing for a higher placement in the final regular season Top 25.

    • vs. Memphis: 65.7%

    Prediction for Memphis vs. Tulane

    Since suffering back-to-back losses to the Kansas State Wildcats and Oklahoma Sooners, the Green Wave have produced eight straight victories, scoring 30+ points in all but one. Meanwhile, the Tigers have scored 30+ in four of their last five — this game will feature plenty of fireworks.

    Don’t let Tulane’s 91st-ranked strength of schedule diminish what they’ve done this season. In fact, their performance looks even more impressive next to Memphis, whose SOS is the third easiest in the nation.

    MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor

    Darian Mensah has run the offense to perfection, taking what the defense gives him, completing well-timed deep shots, and using his legs to escape collapsing pockets. Paired with RB Mekhi Hughes, the duo has led a unit ranked 15th in success rate and 31st in EPA per play.

    Memphis won’t make it easy, especially for the ground game, but they are vulnerable in the secondary. Offensively, Seth Henigan and Co. have proven they can score points. Yet, the run-blocking unit leaves some to be desired, and the pass catchers have struggled to generate separation.

    Take Tulane to win, Memphis to cover, and the over to hit in what should be one of the best AAC clashes of the year.

    Prediction: Tulane 34, Memphis 24

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