As it stands right now, the Indiana Hoosiers are reeling from their loss to the Ohio State Buckeyes in Week 13. But, Hoosier fans, don’t fret for too long because you’re not out of it yet.
Indiana can still make the College Football Playoffs as an at-large team all while their Big Ten Championship Game odds are still intact. They just need a little luck.
Indiana’s Big Ten Championship Chances
While there are still games to go in Week 13, we can take a look at how Indiana’s odds to make the Big Ten were dashed after losing to Ohio State. The Hoosiers now only have a 5.59% chance to win the Big Ten, far less than their double-digit figure entering the week.
The current odds to make and win the Big Ten Championship Game are:
- Oregon: 50.90%
- Ohio State: 42.10%
- Indiana: 5.59%
- Penn State: 1.41%
Here’s how the Hoosiers can do this.
How Can Indiana Make the Big Ten Championship Game?
For Indiana to make the Big Ten Championship Game, they need two things to happen:
- Michigan to beat Ohio State
- Penn State to lose to Minnesota or Maryland
If the season ended after Week 13, Ohio State would own the tiebreaker over Penn State and Indiana by virtue of beating both teams. But if Michigan were to beat Ohio State next week and Penn State dropped either game to Minnesota or Maryland, Indiana would find themselves in the Big Ten Championship Game against Oregon.
That is, of course, assuming Indiana defeats Purdue in Week 14.
Updated Big Ten Standings
1) Indiana Hoosiers 10-0 (7-0)
2) Oregon Ducks 11-0 (8-0)
3) Ohio State Buckeyes 9-1 (6-1)
4) Penn State Nittany Lions 9-1 (6-1)
5) Iowa Hawkeyes 6-4 (4-3)
6) Minnesota Golden Gophers 6-4 (4-3)
7) Illinois Fighting Illini 7-3 (4-3)
8) Washington Huskies 6-5 (4-4)
9) Wisconsin Badgers 5-5 (3-4)
10) Rutgers Scarlet Knights 6-4 (3-4)
11) Michigan Wolverines 5-5 (3-4)
12) USC Trojans 5-5 (3-5)
13) UCLA Bruins 4-6 (3-5)
14) Nebraska Cornhuskers 5-5 (2-5)
15) Michigan State Spartans 4-6 (2-5)
15) Northwestern Wildcats 4-6 (2-5)
17) Maryland Terrapins 4-6 (1-6)
18) Purdue Boilermakers 1-9 (0-7)
Latest Indiana Playoff Probability Following Week 13
After their loss to Ohio State, it’s clear that Indiana will fall from their No. 5 spot in the latest college football playoff rankings. The real question is just how far.
While our CFN Football Playoff Meter can’t quite quantify how the selection committee will rank the teams on Tuesday, we can give a probability of how often Indiana finishes the year and makes the 12-team playoff using our metrics.
Indiana’s number dwindled, but as an 11-1 team, they make the playoffs 89.97% of the time via an at-large bid.
Hoosiers’ Remaining Schedule
According to CFN’s Football Playoff Meter, the Hoosiers shouldn’t have too much difficulty defeating their final regular-season opponent of the 2024 campaign.
- vs. Purdue: 98.4%
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