The Florida State Seminoles might hold the all-time edge over the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, but they’re currently stuck in a three-game losing skid against their storied rivals. As one of this season’s struggling Power Five programs, can they defy the odds and snap the streak in Week 11?
Our Florida State vs. Notre Dame preview breaks down the matchup, offering key betting insights to help you make informed picks.
Florida State vs. Notre Dame Betting Preview
All Florida State vs. Notre Dame odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Nov. 9, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Notre Dame -24 - Spread
Notre Dame -25 - Moneyline
Notre Dame -4000, Florida State +1600 - Over/Under
43.5 points - Game Time
7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, Nov. 9 - Location
Notre Dame Stadium | Notre Dame, Ind. - Predicted Weather at Kick
53 degrees, 10 mph winds, showers - How To Watch
NBC
The betting trends agree with the sentiment that the 1-8 Seminoles are a horrid football team in 2024:
- They are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone under in eight of their last nine.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
Meanwhile, the Fighting Irish have won six straight since inexplicably losing to the Northern Illinois Huskies in Week 2. And just like FSU, the betting trends paint a positive picture:
- They are 5-1 ATS in their previous six contests.
- The total has gone over in 10 of their last 14.
Florida State’s Winning Probability
The Seminoles are playing for pride at this point, but is that enough to limp their way to another win or two down the stretch? Week 10’s matchup is a near-guaranteed loss, and the FPM doesn’t even see Week 11’s matchup with FCS-level Charleston Southern as a sure bet.
- at Notre Dame: 4.4%
- vs. Charleston Southern: 87.2%
- vs. Florida: 44.4%
Notre Dame’s Winning Probability
The Fighting Irish see their win probabilities decrease in each of their final four games, but none dip under 65%. It’s a testament to their roster configuration as well as an indictment of the teams remaining on their schedule.
- vs. Florida State: 95.6%
- vs. Virginia: 88.6%
- vs. Army: 79.6%
- at USC: 67.7%
Prediction for Florida State vs. Notre Dame
Let’s not beat around the bush—Notre Dame is set to steamroll Florida State in Week 10. The only real question is: how bad will it get?
The Seminoles are in freefall, riding a five-game losing streak and sitting at 0-4 on the road. On the flip side, the Fighting Irish are well-rested after a bye and ready for their sixth matchup in an eight-game home stretch.
No need to overanalyze this one. FSU has cracked the 20-point mark just once this season (21 in Week 1 against Georgia Tech), while Notre Dame’s defense has allowed more than 20 points only once (24 in Week 5 against Louisville).
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
Even with star cornerback Benjamin Morrison sidelined, Notre Dame’s defense should dominate Seminole QBs Brock Glenn and Luke Kromenhoek, who have combined for a woeful 42.8% completion rate and just 4.8 yards per attempt.
It’s another week, another loss for FSU—both straight up and ATS. Bet on Notre Dame to win big, cover the spread, and score enough to cruise past the low total.
Prediction: Notre Dame 41, Florida State 10
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