Whether you call it “The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party” or something else entirely, the Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs rivalry game is an unmissable spectacle of chaos every year, no matter how each team is performing.
Our Florida vs. Georgia prediction covers all the essentials—from the latest betting odds to each team’s outlook as they prepare for the final stretch of the 2024 college football season.
Florida vs. Georgia Betting Preview
All Florida vs. Georgia odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Georgia -21 - Spread
Georgia -14.5 - Moneyline
Georgia -675, Florida +490 - Over/Under
52.5 points - Game Time
3:30 p.m. ET - Location
TIAA Bank Stadium | Jacksonville, FL - Predicted Weather at Kick
79 degrees, partly cloudy, 12 mph winds - How To Watch
ABC
The Florida vs. Georgia rivalry game enters its 102nd edition with the Bulldogs holding a distinct upper hand. After winning three consecutive games in Jacksonville, they now hold a comfortable 55-44-2 advantage in the head-to-head record. With Kirby Smart’s team once again challenging atop the conference, Georgia is an understandable favorite in Week 10.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season with CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
Despite some minor movement, Georgia is still more than a two-touchdown favorite. While they carry a 6-1 record into this matchup, they’re only 2-5 covering the spread this year, and our Florida vs. Georgia prediction explains why backing the Gators to cover might be the intelligent play here. Billy Napier’s team has covered the spread in each of their last four games.
Florida’s Winning Probability
According to CFN FPM, Florida might be a decent team but should struggle down the stretch. FPM gives Florida a 11.9% chance of winning on Saturday, which is an implied spread of 21 points. The Gators will be heavy underdogs in four of their remaining five games and will need at least one upset to get to bowl eligibility.
- vs. Georgia: 11.9%
- at Texas: 7.9%
- vs. LSU: 25.1%
- vs. Ole Miss: 28.4%
- at Florida State: 73.0%
Georgia’s Winning Probability
Conversely, Georgia has an 88.1% chance of overcoming the Gators. The Bulldogs will be heavy favorites in most of their remaining games, with two games in which FPM has the Bulldogs as single-digit favorites.
- vs. Florida: 88.1%
- at Ole Miss: 66.4%
- vs. Tennessee: 68.8%
- vs. UMass: 99.9%
- vs. Georgia Tech: 93.4%
Prediction for Florida vs. Georgia
This season, I’m realizing that setting low preseason expectations for a team based on a tough schedule doesn’t mean they’re lacking.
Billy Napier found himself under media scrutiny after a loss to Miami—a team now in the College Football Playoff conversation with only two losses to top-10 teams, Tennessee and Texas A&M.
The Gators now enter a grueling stretch against Georgia, Texas, LSU, and Ole Miss. It’s a formidable lineup, but it doesn’t mean Florida is weak. At their peak, they’ve played as well as any team in the country.
So, I’m hesitant to predict a blowout for Georgia. I think the Gators will keep this one close.
Quarterback DJ Lagway’s high-risk, high-reward approach could be a real wildcard against a Georgia defense that’s occasionally vulnerable to the deep ball.
He averaged over 25 yards per attempt against Kentucky, proving he’s willing to go deep on any down.
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Georgia’s front seven will likely bring some chaos, possibly forcing a turnover or two, but Georgia’s offense—Carson Beck included—has struggled with turnovers as well.
Ultimately, Georgia should find a way to take control late in the game. But with a 17-point spread, I think the Gators can cover. In a game as unpredictable as this one, the over looks promising.
Prediction: Georgia 38, Florida 29
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