College Football Playoff Meter 2024

College Football Playoff Meter 2024

View CFN's Football Playoff Meter, analyzing all 134 teams across the nation and their up-to-the-minute postseason chances. Run 10,000 simulations to view projected win totals, chances to win out, and chances to play and win the National Championship.

Introducing CFN’s Football Playoff Meter, FPM, whose sole goal is to analyze the strength of every team from 1 to 134 in college football. CFN’s FPM gives fans a one-of-a-kind look at the strength of each team in college football and their respective, up-to-the-minute chances to win a varying level of scenarios, from bowl eligibility to winning the National Championship.

2024 College Football Playoff Power Rankings

Use the table below to find where your favorite team ranks among its peers for a variety of scenarios. Scroll to the bottom of the page for a full glossary of what each term means and how we generated these numbers.

The Strength of Schedule numbers below are for each team’s preseason ranking (first = hardest) and their remaining strength of schedule.

TeamConferenceW-LFPMPreseason S.O.S.Remaining S.O.S.Projected W-LWin Out %Win Conf.%Make Playoff%Make CFP NC%Win CFP NC%
AlabamaSEC4-033.563110.5-1.514.60%14.42%68.04%27.20%14.64%
TexasSEC5-033.3212511.0-1.031.28%37.13%90.71%28.89%15.02%
Ohio StateB1G4-033.0231710.5-1.514.08%23.41%68.65%27.71%14.10%
GeorgiaSEC3-132.84399.5-2.50.00%13.12%27.11%28.63%14.57%
OregonB1G4-031.8253410.7-1.321.06%30.84%78.17%13.34%6.90%
TennesseeSEC4-030.0325710.4-1.610.47%10.05%66.44%11.47%5.69%
Penn StateB1G4-029.5214310.5-1.516.38%24.30%69.58%12.67%5.84%
MissouriSEC4-027.8534010.1-1.96.93%7.72%56.81%10.78%5.22%
LSUSEC4-127.515129.0-3.07.74%9.26%16.43%10.70%5.27%
Ole MissSEC4-126.327128.7-3.30.00%4.20%13.98%9.58%4.40%
Miami-FLACC5-026.0496410.6-1.418.89%42.62%72.57%10.51%4.43%
ClemsonACC3-124.819689.4-2.616.62%34.99%26.70%8.27%3.83%
Notre DameInd.4-123.545699.6-2.419.36%036.98%0.02%0.01%
MichiganB1G4-123.33148.1-3.91.07%8.57%9.43%0.01%0.00%
USCB1G3-122.05288.1-3.92.08%7.08%8.98%0.01%0.01%
Iowa StateBig 124-021.844509.5-2.54.21%12.93%27.85%0.04%0.02%
ArizonaBig 123-121.862638.6-3.45.50%19.83%14.06%0.00%0.00%
UtahBig 124-121.361428.5-3.50.00%23.94%12.98%0.01%0.01%
BYUBig 125-021.038459.5-2.54.04%8.41%31.21%0.01%0.00%
Kansas StateBig 124-120.048588.5-3.50.00%22.49%13.02%0.01%0.00%
LouisvilleACC3-120.041167.3-4.70.00%1.83%3.20%0.00%0.00%
OklahomaSEC4-119.8236.7-5.30.00%0.13%0.68%0.00%0.00%
Texas A&MSEC4-119.514277.8-4.20.59%2.81%6.66%0.01%0.00%
IndianaB1G5-018.863359.1-2.90.70%1.18%17.74%0.01%0.00%
UNLVMWC4-018.3758110.1-1.99.75%36.60%47.79%0.02%0.01%
IowaB1G3-118.347547.8-4.20.49%1.19%6.08%0.00%0.00%
KentuckySEC3-218.310496.8-5.20.18%0.36%0.87%0.00%0.00%
Boise StateMWC3-118.079929.4-2.613.32%25.44%18.13%0.01%0.01%
Georgia TechACC2-117.812386.7-5.30.07%3.35%0.80%0.00%0.00%
IllinoisB1G4-117.835417.9-4.10.00%1.00%8.01%0.01%0.00%
Oklahoma StateBig 123-217.855446.9-5.10.00%5.20%1.16%0.00%0.00%
NebraskaB1G4-117.043117.1-4.90.00%0.35%2.23%0.00%0.00%
PittsburghACC4-016.859378.2-3.80.44%1.60%10.02%0.00%0.00%
RutgersB1G4-016.855568.4-3.60.66%1.47%12.38%0.02%0.01%
SMUACC4-116.868537.8-4.21.17%3.02%5.91%0.00%0.00%
James MadisonSun Belt4-016.513412810.6-1.420.75%51.00%70.06%0.00%0.00%
Washington StatePac-124-116.5851059.5-2.50.00%54.00%27.53%0.02%0.00%
Boston CollegeACC4-116.533517.8-4.21.33%2.31%6.88%0.00%0.00%
South CarolinaSEC3-216.316336.2-5.80.00%0.71%0.12%0.00%0.00%
West VirginiaBig 122-216.320315.8-6.20.20%0.71%0.06%0.00%0.00%
ColoradoBig 124-115.536297.2-4.80.35%1.32%2.44%0.00%0.00%
LibertyCUSA4-015.31331349.8-2.20.00%75.09%39.78%0.03%0.01%
UCFBig 123-115.350196.3-5.70.00%0.90%0.16%0.00%0.00%
ArkansasSEC3-215.31165.4-6.60.00%0.06%0.01%0.00%0.00%
WashingtonB1G3-215.33025.3-6.70.00%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Texas TechBig 124-115.055267.0-5.00.18%0.67%1.67%0.00%0.00%
MemphisAAC4-114.8951029.2-2.80.00%31.08%16.88%0.00%0.00%
SyracuseACC3-114.867486.7-5.30.14%3.36%0.62%0.00%0.00%
WisconsinB1G2-214.829235.4-6.60.00%0.07%0.01%0.00%0.00%
TCUBig 123-214.538526.4-5.60.00%1.52%0.23%0.00%0.00%
Virginia TechACC2-314.563555.4-6.60.00%1.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%
KansasBig 121-414.358364.1-7.90.00%0.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Arizona StateBig 123-113.824226.1-5.90.00%0.27%0.04%0.00%0.00%
MinnesotaB1G2-313.834244.8-7.20.00%0.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TulaneAAC3-213.580957.9-4.16.90%18.36%5.07%0.00%0.00%
MarylandB1G3-213.54695.6-6.40.00%0.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%
DukeACC5-013.359458.1-3.90.15%0.53%8.70%0.00%0.00%
VirginiaACC3-113.040185.9-6.10.01%0.39%0.07%0.00%0.00%
FloridaSEC2-213.0114.1-7.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CaliforniaACC3-112.851616.6-5.40.00%1.10%0.63%0.00%0.00%
AuburnSEC2-312.52574.3-7.70.00%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Oregon StatePac-123-112.370717.5-4.50.60%46.00%4.16%0.01%0.00%
BaylorBig 122-312.342474.9-7.10.00%0.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CincinnatiBig 123-211.852305.5-6.50.00%0.20%0.01%0.00%0.00%
NC StateACC3-211.566676.3-5.70.00%1.47%0.17%0.00%0.00%
Fresno StateMWC3-211.388937.5-4.50.00%26.40%2.38%0.00%0.00%
Michigan StateB1G3-211.327105.1-6.90.00%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ArmyAAC4-010.8124989.1-2.91.56%24.20%15.06%0.00%0.00%
North CarolinaACC3-210.865655.9-6.10.00%0.59%0.05%0.00%0.00%
NavyAAC4-010.598828.7-3.30.82%15.02%10.92%0.00%0.00%
StanfordACC2-210.536605.2-6.80.00%0.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Wake ForestACC1-310.353594.2-7.80.00%0.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Texas StateSun Belt2-210.01311307.4-4.60.00%16.03%1.52%0.00%0.00%
PurdueB1G1-310.01283.0-9.00.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Western KentuckyCUSA3-29.8831337.7-4.30.00%11.35%4.78%0.00%0.00%
VanderbiltSEC2-29.8653.9-8.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
LouisianaSun Belt3-19.51201098.1-3.92.27%6.36%4.48%0.00%0.00%
Florida StateACC1-49.517623.6-8.40.00%0.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Bowling GreenMAC1-39.3991226.1-5.90.00%23.44%0.07%0.00%0.00%
San Jose StateMWC3-18.8100726.8-5.20.00%1.14%0.49%0.00%0.00%
South AlabamaSun Belt2-38.5931186.4-5.60.00%13.69%0.11%0.00%0.00%
ToledoMAC3-18.31261067.7-4.30.00%9.39%5.46%0.00%0.00%
UCLAB1G1-38.38213.0-9.00.00%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%
USFAAC2-38.0761246.3-5.70.00%5.69%0.09%0.00%0.00%
Miami-OHMAC1-37.891995.5-6.50.98%11.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Appalachian StateSun Belt2-27.593865.6-6.40.00%3.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Mississippi StateSEC1-47.5942.5-9.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Northern IllinoisMAC2-27.3971136.6-5.40.00%12.54%0.47%0.00%0.00%
HoustonBig 121-47.318202.5-9.50.00%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%
North TexasAAC4-17.0119917.7-4.30.69%1.41%3.69%0.00%0.00%
MarshallSun Belt2-26.8781096.4-5.60.54%5.78%0.12%0.00%0.00%
Eastern MichiganMAC4-16.51271217.9-4.11.60%17.12%7.44%0.00%0.00%
Georgia SouthernSun Belt3-26.389906.4-5.60.00%2.05%0.16%0.00%0.00%
Sam HoustonCUSA4-16.0911177.8-4.21.00%7.19%5.00%0.00%0.00%
Colorado StateMWC2-25.8801146.2-5.80.33%2.65%0.05%0.00%0.00%
OhioMAC3-25.51171186.7-5.30.00%9.26%0.64%0.00%0.00%
NorthwesternB1G2-25.530153.5-8.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Western MichiganMAC1-35.0901265.2-6.80.00%5.85%0.01%0.00%0.00%
Central MichiganMAC3-24.8111846.0-6.00.25%3.27%0.09%0.00%0.00%
Georgia StateSun Belt2-24.5107855.4-6.60.00%0.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Coastal CarolinaSun Belt3-14.3116886.5-5.50.00%0.32%0.12%0.00%0.00%
HawaiiMWC2-24.0123745.0-7.00.01%0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Jacksonville StateCUSA1-33.81051204.9-7.10.16%1.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UTSAAAC2-33.51091085.2-6.80.00%1.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UL-MonroeSun Belt3-13.271755.8-6.20.01%0.42%0.01%0.00%0.00%
UConnInd.3-23.01211046.1-5.90.21%00.07%0.00%0.00%
UABAAC1-33.0110874.1-7.90.00%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CharlotteAAC2-32.8100834.6-7.40.00%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Ball StateMAC1-32.8106974.3-7.70.00%3.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TroySun Belt1-42.51081003.9-8.10.00%0.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%
San Diego StateMWC1-32.5102804.0-8.00.00%0.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TulsaAAC2-32.31291255.1-6.90.00%0.60%0.01%0.00%0.00%
New MexicoMWC2-32.3861034.9-7.10.00%3.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Arkansas StateSun Belt2-22.3951095.4-6.60.00%0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FIUCUSA2-31.81301275.1-6.90.00%0.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%
RiceAAC1-41.8111763.3-8.70.00%0.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Air ForceMWC1-31.5114883.9-8.10.00%4.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
WyomingMWC1-41.5111773.3-8.70.00%0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Southern MissSun Belt1-31.5103793.7-8.30.00%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NevadaMWC2-31.387704.1-8.90.00%0.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Utah StateMWC1-31.082733.5-8.50.00%0.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BuffaloMAC3-20.81251295.9-6.10.00%1.84%0.05%0.00%0.00%
Middle TennesseeCUSA1-40.8771314.1-7.90.00%0.84%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Louisiana TechCUSA1-30.81181234.3-7.80.00%0.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TempleAAC1-40.51151163.7-8.30.00%0.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%
New Mexico StateCUSA1-40.3104963.6-8.40.00%1.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UTEPCUSA0-40.384943.2-8.80.00%1.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UMassInd.1-40.369662.9-9.10.00%00.00%0.00%0.00%
ODUSun Belt1-30.072783.3-8.70.00%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%
AkronMAC1-40.0741123.5-8.50.00%1.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FAUAAC2-30.01321314.9-7.10.00%0.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ECUAAC3-20.01281015.5-6.50.00%0.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Kent StateMAC0-5-0.5731152.6-9.40.00%0.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Kennesaw StateCUSA0-4-1.01211072.8-9.20.00%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%

CFN FPM Glossary

W-L (Win-Loss): The current win-loss record of each team in the current season. It reflects the number of games won and lost up to the current date.

FPM (Football Playoff Meter): A metric that evaluates a team’s chances of making the college football playoffs. This number is the backing behind CFN’s FPM, generated by CFN’s Power Rankings, which are influenced by each team’s successes, current roster makeup, and projection toward future success in a given season.

Preseason S.O.S.: The rank of each team’s strength of schedule from the preseason, first is the hardest schedule; 134th is the easiest.

Remaining S.O.S.: The rank of each team’s remaining games on their schedule in terms of strength of schedule. If a team has played their toughest games to date, their schedule has gotten significantly easier. Again, first is the hardest, 134th is the easiest.

Projected W-L (Projected Win-Loss): The forecasted win-loss record for the team based on their remaining schedule and current performance metrics. It predicts how the team is expected to perform for the rest of the season.

Win Out %: The percentage chance that a team will win all their remaining games in the current season. This is calculated based on the team’s performance metrics and the difficulty of their remaining opponents.

Win Conf. % (Win Conference %): The probability that a team will win their conference championship. This is derived using a proprietary simulation, which considers various factors, including the team’s win-loss probabilities and the performance of other teams in the conference.

Make Playoff %: The likelihood that a team will make the College Football Playoffs. This is calculated using a proprietary simulation that factors in each team’s winning probabilities, schedule strength, and the complexities of Group of Five (G5) teams making the playoffs.

Make NC % (Make National Championship %): The probability that a team will reach the National Championship game. This uses a proprietary simulation to determine the team’s ability to win against other playoff-bound teams, considering the rankings and strengths of all teams in a given playoff field.

Win NC % (Win National Championship %): The percentage chance that a team will win the national championship once they have made it to the national championship game. This is derived using a proprietary simulation, factoring in the team’s strength relative to other playoff and championship-bound teams.