Introducing CFN’s Football Playoff Meter, FPM, whose sole goal is to analyze the strength of every team from 1 to 134 in college football. CFN’s FPM gives fans a one-of-a-kind look at the strength of each team in college football and their respective, up-to-the-minute chances to win a varying level of scenarios, from bowl eligibility to winning the National Championship.
2024 College Football Playoff Meter
Use the table below to find where your favorite team ranks among its peers for a variety of scenarios. Scroll to the bottom of the page for a full glossary of what each term means and how we generated these numbers.
| Team | Conference | W-L | FPM | Rank | Movement | Projected W-L | Win Out % | Win Conf.% | Make Playoff% | Make CFP NC% | Win CFP NC% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | SEC | 3-0 | 33.3 | 2 | 1 | 10.9-1.1 | 29.35% | 42.25% | 92.90% | 28.99% | 14.64% |
| Memphis | AAC | 3-0 | 19.0 | 24 | 2 | 10.6-1.4 | 20.69% | 68.47% | 78.31% | 0.04% | 0.02% |
| Oregon | B1G | 3-0 | 31.3 | 5 | 0 | 10.6-1.4 | 17.90% | 33.49% | 77.79% | 11.85% | 6.25% |
| Ohio State | B1G | 2-0 | 33.5 | 1 | 1 | 10.5-1.5 | 15.83% | 30.27% | 75.93% | 26.73% | 14.58% |
| Liberty | CUSA | 3-0 | 15.0 | 44 | -3 | 10.3-1.7 | 14.57% | 80.44% | 66.65% | 0.02% | 0.00% |
| Ole Miss | SEC | 3-0 | 31.5 | 4 | 0 | 10.3-1.7 | 11.70% | 14.05% | 66.23% | 27.79% | 13.41% |
| Missouri | SEC | 3-0 | 29.0 | 8 | -1 | 10.2-1.8 | 9.83% | 13.00% | 64.16% | 11.74% | 5.29% |
| Miami (FL) | ACC | 3-0 | 25.0 | 12 | 0 | 10.0-2.0 | 9.64% | 52.90% | 56.75% | 8.50% | 3.81% |
| Penn State | B1G | 2-0 | 28.0 | 9 | -1 | 10.0-2.0 | 8.35% | 15.29% | 57.10% | 10.85% | 5.32% |
| Tennessee | SEC | 3-0 | 29.3 | 7 | 1 | 10.0-2.0 | 6.26% | 7.52% | 57.33% | 11.99% | 5.83% |
| Georgia | SEC | 3-0 | 32.8 | 3 | -2 | 9.8-2.2 | 4.73% | 5.91% | 49.15% | 27.11% | 14.28% |
| Washington State | Pac-2 | 3-0 | 16.8 | 29 | 22 | 9.7-2.3 | 5.40% | 59.00% | 45.20% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Alabama | SEC | 3-0 | 31.0 | 6 | 0 | 9.6-2.4 | 4.13% | 5.06% | 38.94% | 12.43% | 6.42% |
| Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-0 | 23.8 | 14 | 2 | 9.4-2.6 | 4.28% | 31.34% | 32.17% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
| USC | B1G | 2-0 | 26.0 | 11 | -1 | 9.3-2.7 | 7.19% | 11.67% | 28.31% | 10.66% | 4.69% |
| Notre Dame | Ind. | 2-1 | 24.0 | 13 | 3 | 9.3-2.7 | 11.67% | 0 | 28.16% | 0.03% | 0.02% |
| UNLV | MWC | 3-0 | 15.5 | 43 | 2 | 9.3-2.7 | 3.25% | 27.27% | 22.10% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Utah | Big 12 | 3-0 | 23.0 | 15 | -1 | 9.1-2.9 | 2.50% | 22.18% | 19.31% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-0 | 22.5 | 17 | 2 | 9.0-3.0 | 2.24% | 11.70% | 19.09% | 0.04% | 0.03% |
| Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-1 | 13.0 | 55 | -7 | 8.9-3.1 | 8.86% | 57.92% | 17.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Boise State | MWC | 1-1 | 17.0 | 28 | 4 | 8.8-3.2 | 6.92% | 41.18% | 13.99% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-0 | 21.3 | 20 | 0 | 8.8-3.2 | 1.67% | 11.33% | 16.38% | 0.02% | 0.00% |
| LSU | SEC | 2-1 | 27.8 | 10 | 0 | 8.8-3.2 | 6.08% | 10.46% | 16.70% | 11.03% | 5.31% |
| Fresno State | MWC | 2-1 | 14.0 | 50 | 2 | 8.1-3.9 | 2.40% | 21.33% | 8.21% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
| Arizona | Big 12 | 2-1 | 21.5 | 19 | -4 | 8.1-3.9 | 2.52% | 17.19% | 10.55% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Northern Illinois | MAC | 2-0 | 10.0 | 72 | 1 | 8.1-3.9 | 0.61% | 23.18% | 9.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Pittsburgh | ACC | 3-0 | 15.8 | 40 | 29 | 8.2-3.8 | 0.47% | 3.44% | 10.55% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Indiana | B1G | 3-1 | 16.3 | 35 | 13 | 8.0-4.0 | 0.00% | 4.64% | 9.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Toledo | MAC | 3-0 | 7.5 | 83 | 1 | 7.9-4.1 | 0.37% | 8.05% | 8.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Louisville | ACC | 2-0 | 20.0 | 21 | -1 | 7.9-4.1 | 0.57% | 6.62% | 8.63% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| North Carolina | ACC | 3-0 | 14.8 | 45 | 0 | 7.8-4.2 | 0.34% | 3.04% | 8.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Clemson | ACC | 1-1 | 19.5 | 22 | 0 | 7.8-4.2 | 2.70% | 9.08% | 8.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 2-0 | 7.3 | 84 | -1 | 7.7-4.3 | 0.96% | 8.84% | 5.90% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Nebraska | B1G | 3-0 | 17.5 | 26 | 6 | 7.5-4.5 | 0.04% | 0.16% | 5.21% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| UCF | Big 12 | 3-0 | 16.8 | 29 | 6 | 7.5-4.5 | 0.13% | 3.12% | 5.66% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Western Kentucky | CUSA | 2-1 | 8.8 | 78 | 2 | 7.5-4.5 | 0.60% | 11.99% | 2.80% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Illinois | B1G | 3-0 | 16.8 | 29 | 6 | 7.4-4.6 | 0.03% | 0.07% | 5.46% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| California | ACC | 3-0 | 13.3 | 54 | 6 | 7.4-4.6 | 0.11% | 1.28% | 4.77% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Army | AAC | 2-0 | 5.8 | 87 | 2 | 7.5-4.5 | 0.16% | 4.84% | 2.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2-0 | 8.3 | 80 | -3 | 7.4-4.6 | 0.33% | 5.32% | 3.66% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Michigan | B1G | 2-1 | 22.0 | 18 | -6 | 7.3-4.7 | 0.29% | 3.73% | 4.28% | 0.04% | 0.04% |
| Syracuse | ACC | 2-0 | 13.8 | 51 | -3 | 7.3-4.7 | 0.10% | 3.54% | 4.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| NC State | ACC | 2-1 | 16.8 | 29 | -4 | 7.3-4.7 | 0.61% | 5.59% | 3.67% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Oklahoma | SEC | 3-0 | 22.8 | 16 | 0 | 7.1-4.9 | 0.02% | 0.10% | 2.53% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
| Eastern Michigan | MAC | 2-1 | 4.5 | 97 | 1 | 7.1-4.9 | 0.50% | 8.56% | 2.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 3-0 | 4.5 | 97 | -2 | 7.2-4.8 | 0.08% | 1.85% | 2.43% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 2-1 | 8.8 | 78 | -2 | 7.1-4.9 | 0.54% | 9.57% | 2.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| USF | AAC | 2-1 | 9.5 | 75 | 2 | 7.1-4.9 | 0.21% | 4.03% | 0.92% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Duke | ACC | 3-0 | 12.8 | 57 | 10 | 7.1-4.9 | 0.03% | 0.26% | 2.46% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Texas A&M | SEC | 2-1 | 19.3 | 23 | 1 | 7.0-5.0 | 0.21% | 1.58% | 2.43% | 0.02% | 0.00% |
| Iowa | B1G | 2-1 | 17.5 | 26 | 4 | 7.0-5.0 | 0.14% | 0.46% | 2.12% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Bowling Green | MAC | 1-1 | 10.0 | 72 | 1 | 7.0-5.0 | 1.92% | 28.02% | 2.20% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Virginia Tech | ACC | 2-1 | 16.3 | 35 | 0 | 7.0-5.0 | 0.29% | 2.13% | 2.28% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Oregon State | Pac-2 | 2-1 | 11.5 | 69 | -14 | 6.9-5.1 | 0.28% | 41.00% | 1.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Tulane | AAC | 1-2 | 11.8 | 68 | -8 | 6.9-5.1 | 1.68% | 17.92% | 0.51% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| San Jose State | MWC | 3-0 | 6.8 | 85 | 21 | 6.8-5.2 | 0.02% | 1.20% | 0.98% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Boston College | ACC | 2-1 | 14.5 | 48 | -7 | 6.7-5.3 | 0.24% | 1.82% | 0.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Arizona State | Big 12 | 3-0 | 14.5 | 48 | 22 | 6.6-5.4 | 0.01% | 0.19% | 0.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-1 | 18.8 | 25 | 1 | 6.7-5.3 | 0.07% | 6.19% | 0.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Ohio | MAC | 2-1 | 5.0 | 94 | -3 | 6.4-5.6 | 0.11% | 6.53% | 0.28% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| North Texas | AAC | 2-1 | 4.0 | 102 | 4 | 6.4-5.6 | 0.05% | 0.31% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| SMU | ACC | 2-1 | 12.5 | 60 | -5 | 6.3-5.7 | 0.11% | 1.51% | 0.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Michigan State | B1G | 3-0 | 12.8 | 57 | 1 | 6.1-5.9 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.17% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| BYU | Big 12 | 3-0 | 12.5 | 60 | 0 | 6.3-5.7 | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Navy | AAC | 2-0 | 4.3 | 101 | 3 | 6.1-5.9 | 0.02% | 0.31% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| TCU | Big 12 | 2-1 | 14.8 | 45 | -1 | 6.2-5.8 | 0.06% | 0.74% | 0.20% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| South Carolina | SEC | 2-1 | 16.3 | 35 | 5 | 6.1-5.9 | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.17% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 2-1 | 5.3 | 91 | 1 | 6.1-5.9 | 0.00% | 3.70% | 0.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-1 | 5.3 | 91 | 7 | 6.2-5.8 | 0.07% | 0.91% | 0.20% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Rutgers | B1G | 2-0 | 12.0 | 66 | -6 | 6.1-5.9 | 0.02% | 0.07% | 0.15% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-1 | 3.8 | 103 | -5 | 5.8-6.2 | 0.01% | 0.93% | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Washington | B1G | 2-1 | 16.5 | 33 | -2 | 5.9-6.1 | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| FIU | CUSA | 1-2 | 3.5 | 107 | -9 | 6.0-6.0 | 0.25% | 1.14% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Wisconsin | B1G | 2-1 | 15.8 | 40 | -14 | 5.9-6.1 | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Marshall | Sun Belt | 1-1 | 5.8 | 87 | -2 | 5.9-6.1 | 0.40% | 6.65% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Colorado | Big 12 | 2-1 | 15.8 | 40 | 1 | 6.1-5.9 | 0.05% | 0.47% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| UTSA | AAC | 1-2 | 4.8 | 96 | -10 | 6.0-6.0 | 0.25% | 1.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Sam Houston | CUSA | 2-1 | 2.3 | 115 | 0 | 5.8-6.2 | 0.03% | 1.31% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Baylor | Big 12 | 2-1 | 12.5 | 60 | -5 | 5.6-6.4 | 0.02% | 0.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 2-1 | 13.8 | 51 | 1 | 5.9-6.1 | 0.02% | 0.16% | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Colorado State | MWC | 1-2 | 5.5 | 89 | -3 | 5.7-6.3 | 0.15% | 3.16% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Buffalo | MAC | 2-1 | 1.3 | 121 | 5 | 5.7-6.3 | 0.03% | 0.74% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Arkansas | SEC | 2-1 | 16.5 | 33 | -1 | 5.4-6.6 | 0.00% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Maryland | B1G | 2-1 | 12.3 | 64 | 3 | 5.7-6.3 | 0.00% | 0.05% | 0.08% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| UL-Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-0 | 3.0 | 111 | 2 | 5.5-6.5 | 0.01% | 0.69% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| West Virginia | Big 12 | 1-2 | 16.3 | 35 | -13 | 5.1-6.9 | 0.06% | 0.41% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Kansas | Big 12 | 1-2 | 16.0 | 39 | -13 | 5.5-6.5 | 0.14% | 0.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Auburn | SEC | 2-1 | 14.8 | 45 | 0 | 5.7-6.3 | 0.00% | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Virginia | ACC | 2-1 | 12.5 | 60 | 10 | 5.6-6.4 | 0.01% | 1.28% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Miami (OH) | MAC | 0-2 | 8.0 | 82 | 0 | 5.3-6.7 | 0.70% | 14.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Western Michigan | MAC | 1-2 | 5.3 | 91 | 1 | 5.6-6.4 | 0.19% | 5.27% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Ball State | MAC | 1-1 | 3.8 | 103 | 1 | 5.4-6.6 | 0.04% | 2.42% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Tulsa | AAC | 1-2 | 3.5 | 107 | 2 | 5.4-6.6 | 0.14% | 0.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| ECU | AAC | 2-1 | 0.0 | 128 | 0 | 5.3-6.7 | 0.01% | 0.28% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Kentucky | SEC | 1-2 | 13.5 | 53 | -1 | 5.1-6.9 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Minnesota | B1G | 2-1 | 13.0 | 55 | 3 | 5.3-6.7 | 0.00% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Florida | SEC | 1-2 | 12.8 | 57 | -22 | 3.5-8.5 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 1-2 | 12.3 | 64 | 8 | 5.2-6.8 | 0.04% | 0.55% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Florida State | ACC | 0-3 | 12.0 | 66 | -31 | 4.0-8.0 | 0.01% | 0.75% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Purdue | B1G | 1-1 | 11.0 | 70 | -4 | 4.1-7.9 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Cincinnati | Big 12 | 2-1 | 10.8 | 71 | 2 | 5.1-6.9 | 0.00% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| UCLA | B1G | 1-1 | 10.0 | 72 | -12 | 3.5-8.5 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Houston | Big 12 | 1-2 | 9.5 | 75 | 2 | 3.6-8.4 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Mississippi State | SEC | 1-2 | 9.5 | 75 | -15 | 3.1-8.9 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-1 | 8.3 | 80 | 0 | 3.8-8.2 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Stanford | ACC | 1-1 | 6.0 | 86 | 0 | 3.6-8.4 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Northwestern | B1G | 2-1 | 5.5 | 89 | 3 | 3.7-8.3 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| South Alabama | Sun Belt | 1-2 | 5.0 | 94 | 4 | 4.9-7.1 | 0.01% | 2.46% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Central Michigan | MAC | 1-2 | 4.5 | 97 | -2 | 5.0-7.0 | 0.06% | 2.23% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Hawaii | MWC | 1-2 | 4.5 | 97 | -7 | 4.9-7.1 | 0.01% | 0.39% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Rice | AAC | 1-2 | 3.8 | 103 | -5 | 4.6-7.4 | 0.01% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Jacksonville State | CUSA | 0-3 | 3.8 | 103 | -8 | 4.5-7.5 | 0.10% | 1.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| UAB | AAC | 1-2 | 3.3 | 109 | 1 | 4.7-7.3 | 0.01% | 0.08% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Troy | Sun Belt | 0-3 | 3.3 | 109 | -3 | 4.4-7.6 | 0.11% | 0.85% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Air Force | MWC | 1-2 | 3.0 | 111 | -1 | 4.9-7.1 | 0.04% | 3.64% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| San Diego State | MWC | 1-2 | 2.8 | 113 | -3 | 4.4-7.6 | 0.00% | 0.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Utah State | MWC | 1-2 | 2.5 | 114 | -1 | 4.3-7.7 | 0.00% | 0.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Charlotte | AAC | 1-2 | 2.3 | 115 | 4 | 4.2-7.8 | 0.00% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| UConn | Ind. | 1-2 | 2.0 | 117 | 6 | 4.9-7.1 | 0.03% | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| New Mexico | MWC | 1-2 | 2.0 | 117 | 0 | 4.5-7.5 | 0.01% | 0.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 1-2 | 1.8 | 119 | -5 | 4.4-7.6 | 0.01% | 0.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Nevada | MWC | 1-3 | 1.8 | 119 | -3 | 4.0-9.0 | 0.00% | 0.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Wyoming | MWC | 0-3 | 1.3 | 121 | -3 | 3.2-8.8 | 0.00% | 0.21% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Louisiana Tech | CUSA | 1-1 | 1.0 | 123 | -1 | 5.2-6.8 | 0.02% | 0.57% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Middle Tennessee | CUSA | 1-3 | 0.8 | 124 | -2 | 4.1-7.9 | 0.00% | 0.85% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| New Mexico State | CUSA | 1-2 | 0.5 | 125 | -1 | 4.5-7.5 | 0.01% | 0.92% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Temple | AAC | 0-3 | 0.3 | 126 | 2 | 3.7-8.3 | 0.02% | 0.47% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| UTEP | CUSA | 0-3 | 0.3 | 126 | 0 | 3.5-8.5 | 0.00% | 1.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| FAU | AAC | 1-2 | 0.0 | 128 | 0 | 5.0-7.0 | 0.05% | 0.82% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Akron | MAC | 1-2 | 0.0 | 128 | -2 | 3.9-8.1 | 0.00% | 0.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Kennesaw State | CUSA | 0-3 | 0.0 | 128 | 0 | 3.9-8.1 | 0.02% | 0.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Kent State | MAC | 0-3 | 0.0 | 128 | 2 | 3.0-9.0 | 0.00% | 0.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| UMass | Ind. | 0-3 | 0.0 | 128 | 2 | 2.8-9.2 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| ODU | Sun Belt | 0-3 | 0.0 | 128 | 0 | 2.6-9.4 | 0.00% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CFN FPM Glossary
W-L (Win-Loss): The current win-loss record of each team in the current season. It reflects the number of games won and lost up to the current date.
FPM (Football Playoff Meter): A metric that evaluates a team’s chances of making the college football playoffs. This number is the backing behind CFN’s FPM, generated by CFN’s Power Rankings, which are influenced by each team’s successes, current roster makeup, and projection toward future success in a given season.
Rank: The position of a team in the Football Playoff Meter (FPM).
Trend: The change in a team’s rank from the previous iteration of the FPM.
Projected W-L (Projected Win-Loss): The forecasted win-loss record for the team based on their remaining schedule and current performance metrics. It predicts how the team is expected to perform for the rest of the season.
Win Out %: The percentage chance that a team will win all their remaining games in the current season. This is calculated based on the team’s performance metrics and the difficulty of their remaining opponents.
Win Conf. % (Win Conference %): The probability that a team will win their conference championship. This is derived using a proprietary simulation, which considers various factors, including the team’s win-loss probabilities and the performance of other teams in the conference.
Make Playoff %: The likelihood that a team will make the College Football Playoffs. This is calculated using a proprietary simulation that factors in each team’s winning probabilities, schedule strength, and the complexities of Group of Five (G5) teams making the playoffs.
Make NC % (Make National Championship %): The probability that a team will reach the National Championship game. This uses a proprietary simulation to determine the team’s ability to win against other playoff-bound teams, considering the rankings and strengths of all teams in a given playoff field.
Win NC % (Win National Championship %): The percentage chance that a team will win the national championship once they have made it to the national championship game. This is derived using a proprietary simulation, factoring in the team’s strength relative to other playoff and championship-bound teams.