College Football Player Props Saturday: Ryan Wingo, Kaleb Johnson Overs Are Obvious No Brainers

    Friday of Week 8 brings three Power Conference clashes, headlining some of the best college football player props available today.

    It’s a stacked Saturday slate in Week 8, which started with the Miami Hurricanes and Louisville Cardinals in an all-ACC clash at noon ET and continues into the 3:30 p.m. ET slate. With so many college football player props available, it might be difficult to keep up with the action.

    Never fear, after going 7-2 on player props last week, we’re back with a player prop for every available game in the two opening Saturday slates. Plus, check back later in the day for the 7:00 p.m. ET and beyond lineups.

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    Saturday College Football Player Props

    Taylen Green Over 35.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

    This is as high as 38.5 in other places, but BetMGM has the line at 35.5. The LSU Tigers’ defense has really struggled against dual-threat quarterbacks, and the Arkansas Razorbacks’ offensive line is coming together nicely, having allowed just one sack to the Tennessee Volunteers’ excellent defensive line.

    I wrote in my game prediction that I expect Arkansas to win here, and Green’s legs could be a huge part of that. He should find room against man coverage and an explosive run or two is all you need to hit the over.

    Ryan Wingo Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

    The Georgia Bulldogs have had trouble with explosive pass plays, so getting a line of 28.5 yards for a guy who has a 25-yard reception in half of his games is nice. Expect the Texas Longhorns to challenge the Georgia secondary early, and Wingo is the guy who can take the top off the defense.

    He’s building a rapport with Quinn Ewers, and what better way to feel good about an improving receiving corps than to target your freshman against one of the top teams in the country?

    Kaleb Johnson Over 136.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

    I’m tempted to take a long shot like a Nick Marsh touchdown here, given that the game is expected to be low-scoring and the odds reflect that, but this feels much smarter.

    Kaleb Johnson has consistently eclipsed the 150-yard mark in games with close lines, failing to do so only against the Ohio State Buckeyes (21-point underdogs) and Illinois State (21-point favorites). In every other game, the Iowa Hawkeyes offense simply rode Johnson, as he’s accounted for over half of the team’s touchdowns this year.

    RJ Harvey Under 78.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

    While RJ Harvey has feasted on bad defenses, he’s been held in check regularly by any run defense with a pulse. With the UCF Knights going away from KJ Jefferson at quarterback, there is a hole to fill, but I don’t think Harvey is going to put together a huge game against this Iowa State Cyclones defense.

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    Add in that the Knights could be in a negative game script and his touches should drop as well, making under 78.5 a smart play.

    Avery Johnson Over 183.5 Passing Yards (-110)

    I also considered over 1.5 passing touchdowns for Avery Johnson here but decided on the more stable yardage prop. The West Virginia Mountaineers defense is awful against the pass, and with Johnson improving each week as a pocket passer, a line below 200 yards here just doesn’t make sense.

    Johnson has gone over 220 yards in back-to-back games, and against a team that excels against the run and struggles to cover receivers, I love this as one of the best college football player props in Week 8.

    Dane Key Anytime Touchdown (+170)

    I really have no idea what to think about Florida vs. Kentucky, and I don’t feel pulled either way on some of these yardage props. Whenever that happens and I’m supposed to pick a player prop, I usually look for a reasonable, yet sizably plus-money touchdown prop.

    Dane Key has been the Kentucky Wildcats’ top receiver this season and he’s the guy Brock Vandagriff looks for when in trouble. I don’t necessarily hate looking at a D.J. Lagway anytime touchdown, but I prefer going with Key, who has scored in back-to-back games.

    Kevin Jennings Anytime Touchdown (+100)

    I couldn’t find an accurate rushing yardage prop for SMU Mustangs quarterback Jennings, so I’ll go with his anytime touchdown instead. The Stanford Cardinal has struggled to slow down mobile quarterbacks, despite playing well against the pass and the run in recent weeks.

    Jennings is a true home run threat at quarterback and I’d expect him to look to use his legs down around the end zone.

    Micah Bernard Over 104.5 yards (-110)

    This is another “if your book offers alternate overs, consider sprinkling a higher number” pick. Cam Rising is out, leaving Isaac Wilson as the Utah Utes quarterback. It’s evident after the staff trotted out a one-legged, one-armed Rising that they don’t trust the freshman.

    This time, I expect the staff to ease him in by simply handing the ball off to Bernard 20-25 times. The TCU Horned Frog defense is awful and getting worse every week. Over 104.5 yards feels like a steal, as long as Kyle Whittingham doesn’t do something insane like throw the ball 75% of the game.

    Trent Walker Anytime Touchdown (+135)

    The UNLV Rebels’ offense has made headlines this season, but the defense has quietly been shredded by opponents’ top receivers, allowing four receivers to go for 10-plus catches and 100-plus yards in the last three weeks.

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    Trent Walker’s yardage prop is 60.5 yards, and that’s just as appealing, but I want the extra juice with a touchdown against a team that has really struggled to cover talented receivers

    Chris Brazzell II Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

    While Chris Brazzell II has been inconsistent this year, the back half of the Alabama Crimson Tide secondary has been more inconsistent. Kalen DeBoer’s team has been good for between two and three defensive breakdowns a game, and here’s to thinking Brazzell takes advantage of one of those.

    At just 34.5 yards, Brazzell might hit the over on just one catch on Saturday.

    Jeremiyah Love 2+ TDs (+230)

    Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech is going to be an old-school football game with plenty of hitting and plenty of rushing. Notre Dame Fighting Irish running back Jeremiyah Love has scored exactly one touchdown in every game this year, but I expect the running back to see an uptick in usage against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.

    He’s becoming the power back for the Fighting Irish and I think this is the game he really sees his red-zone usage go up.

    Jack Tuttle Under 177.5 Passing Yards (-110)

    This is just way too high for a Michigan Wolverines quarterback and simply hasn’t been earned. Jack Tuttle relieved Alex Orji last week against an okay defense and put up a whopping 5.4 yards per attempt.

    Even if we put Tuttle at Illinois’ average yards per attempt allowed (7.3), he’d need 25 attempts to reach his total. That won’t happen, so hammer this before it drops.

    Blake Horvath Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

    Blake Horvath is a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate and while the Charlotte 49ers’ defense has looked decent in recent weeks, they haven’t faced any solid quarterbacks in that time. The pass defense is far superior to the rushing defense, and Horvath may find more early success with his legs than his arm.

    Charlotte is allowing 2.1 open field yards per run, meaning the defense is allowing a lot of chunk plays in the running game. Horvath has nearly 600 yards this year, and I expect that he’ll add a substantial bit to that number Saturday.

    Kevin Concepcion Anytime Touchdown (+200)

    Eventually, the NC State Wolfpack are going to realize that it has one of the best offensive playmakers in the country. Kevin Concepcion had three touchdowns in the opener, but just one since, though he did have a 42-yard reception against Syracuse. Against California, the combination of value and opportunity is there and we can feel good about betting on him to score.

    Kyle Williams Anytime Touchdown (-140)

    The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors’ defense has been fairly decent at taking away a team’s top option, even holding Ashton Jeanty in check last week for the better part of three quarters.

    For the Washington State Cougars, that’s John Mateer’s running ability. I expect WSU to scheme some touches for their best playmaker on the outside, and really like the value here, even at -140, where it should come in.

    Zeon Chriss Over 41.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

    Like a few of the other ones, play this and consider sprinkling in an alternate over. Zeon Chriss ran for 97 yards on just 11 carries last week and while the Kansas Jayhawks’ defense isn’t that bad, it isn’t that good either.

    Each dual-threat quarterback the Jayhawks has faced has gone well over his season average in rushing, with three of the four setting season-high marks. I’m not sure what else to expect out of the Houston Cougars, but Chriss will get his yardage.

    Woody Marks Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

    Woody Marks has hit the 30-yard receiving mark in five straight games, and his background with the Mississippi State Bulldogs’ Air Raid has helped him become a consistent safety blanket for USC TrojansMiller Moss.

    I don’t think this game will be as much of a blowout as the spread suggests, and I expect USC to ride Marks as a rusher and receiver.

    Tetairoa McMillan Under 104.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

    With Travis Hunter expected to play, but likely less than 100%, I expect him to put more focus on the side of the ball where he’s needed most. Against the Arizona Wildcats, that’s defensively. Tetairoa McMillen is Arizona’s offense, but Hunter will likely shadow his fellow future first-rounder, and I think he gets the best of McMillan.

    You could consider a receiving over for one of the other Colorado Buffaloes receivers, as they’ll likely see a slight uptick in target share with Hunter banged up, but guessing which guy gets the extra throws is a tricky endeavor.

    Sawyer Robinson Anytime Touchdown (+210)

    While the Baylor Bears have been a trainwreck this season, Sawyer Robinson has been a pleasant surprise, even against decent defenses. He’s scored in three of his last four games, but his odds of scoring remain long.

    The Texas Tech Red Raiders’ defense has gotten better but still struggles some against the run. I expect that when the Bears get close to the end zone, Robinson will look to run against a pass defense that has been good in tight spaces.

    Connor Weigman Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-110)

    Mississippi State’s passing defense is an absolute disaster, allowing opposing quarterbacks to throw for their season-high yardage in six straight games. Even more encouraging for the Connor Weigman yardage prop is that the Bulldogs’ offense has found new life under quarterback Michael Van Buren, making it so opponents can’t just pack it in on offense after halftime.

    Weigman could throw for 300 yards here, and it wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest. The Aggies are still testing out their newfound downfield passing attack, and this is a great spot for some free practice.

    College Football Network has you covered with the latest from the ACCBig TenBig 12SEC, and every Group of Five conference and FBS Independent program.

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