There are just two weeks left of college football remaining and the lines are getting harder to find value. Can we bounce back from a 2-5 Week 11 and get close to 0.500?
Week 12 College Football Picks and Predictions
Last Week: 2-5-0 (0.286)
This Season: 40-46-0 (0.465)
Overall Record: 121-129-3 (0.484)
For all current betting odds surrounding the college football season, check out our live betting odds and make your plays today!
All lines are via Draft Kings Sportsbook. You can find the best available odds from sportsbooks all over the country below as well.
Louisville -1 (-115) vs. Miami (FL) +1 (-105)
The Louisville Cardinals are a tough loss to Pitt away from being a potential playoff team. With that said, if they get some luck à la 2007 and beat Florida State in the ACC Championship Game, they could still get there.
It’s been a really impressive first season for head coach Jeff Brohm. Nine wins and an impressive group of skill players led by Jamari Thrash and Jahwar Jordan have been encouraging. They both returned from injury against Virginia and should be ready to go against Miami.
The Miami Hurricanes are not having a great year under Mario Cristobal. Quarterback Tyler Van Dyke was benched ahead of the game against Florida State and Emory Williams played well in his place. It’s been a brutal year defined by injuries and underperformance.
Things won’t get much better for the Hurricanes, as the Cardinals are going to win by at least a touchdown.
Bet: Louisville -1 (-115)
Kansas State -9.5 (-110) vs. Kansas +9.5 (-110)
The Wildcats want to be physical and come right at you. Quarterback Will Howard — with the duo of D.J. Giddens and Treshaun Ward — is a dynamic trio that can beat you in multiple ways on the ground.
The Jayhawks are very creative with how they run the football. With quarterback Jason Bean at the helm, offensive coordinator Andy Kotenicki is very creative with space and misdirection to maneuver down the field with dynamic running back Devin Neal and his counterpart Daniel Hishaw Jr.
The key here is going to be the health of Bean. This is a play to be cautious with. If he plays, it’s an easy one for me with Kansas. If he doesn’t, I’m still going to take the Jayhawks but I’m less confident in doing so. Watch this up to kickoff.
Bet: Kansas +9.5 (-110)
Florida +11 (-110) vs. Missouri -11 (-110)
The Florida Gators are in such a weird spot.
They brought in Billy Napier to build up an infrastructure like he worked with at Alabama. Getting coaches and players in positions to succeed. So far, it’s been an uphill battle.
The roster was relatively weak at the beginning of his tenure due to the poor recruiting by Dan Mullen. It’s gotten somewhat better but still lacking at key spots. This past week, the Gators lost three recruits, including a five-star defensive lineman.
The bright spot has been Graham Mertz. The offense has been consistently efficient and putting up points and the efficiency of Mertz has been key. His connection with Ricky Pearsall and true freshman Trey Wilson have been the catalysts to their success.
What hasn’t been successful is the Florida defense. In a brutal 52-35 loss to LSU last weekend, they allowed over 700 yards and Jayden Daniels threw for over 350 and ran for over 220 in a complete embarrassment for the Gators. They are set to face a Missouri Tigers offense that just whipped a solid Tennessee defense by 29.
Offensive coordinator Kirby Moore has this group running on all cylinders with Brady Cook and Luther Burden. They were in the game at the end against Georgia and are currently ranked in the top 10 of the College Football Playoff rankings. With the YAC ability of the Tigers’ receivers, the Gators’ defense is set to be torched on Saturday night.
Feel comfortable taking the Tigers, and do so even if it gets up to -12.5.
Bet: Missouri -11 (-110)
Oregon -23.5 (-112) vs. Arizona State +23.5 (-108)
We know what this Oregon team is. Bo Nix is a certified Heisman Trophy candidate and runs this efficient attack very well. The thing with the offense is that it’s designed to mask his weaknesses which has me questioning how much of his success is truly due to his on-field play.
What you can’t argue is how good the offense has been. With weapons on the outside like Troy Franklin and Tez Johnson with Bucky Irvin in the backfield, the Ducks have a highly potent attack.
The intrigue here is with Arizona State. They have been decimated by injuries this season but pulled out a surprising 17-7 win against UCLA this past week. What is for sure is Kenny Dillingham has this program trending in the right direction. They chose the path of playing young guys early to set up their development curve to be a little bit quicker.
That won’t matter here. The Sun Devils’ offensive like is brutally injured right now and Jordan Burch is going to eat all night. The Ducks should stay alive for a playoff spot.
Bet: Oregon -23.5 (-112)
Texas State -3.5 (-110) @ Arkansas State
Iowa State +7.5 (-115) vs. Texas
UNLV +3 (-110) @ Air Force