Look away, Wyoming Cowboys fans — the Boise State Broncos are rolling into town. Ranked No. 12 in the country, the Broncos have dominated this rivalry, winning seven straight and holding a commanding 17-1 all-time record against Wyoming.
Our Boise State vs. Wyoming preview dives into this intriguing matchup, offering key betting insights to help you make informed picks.
Boise State vs. Wyoming Betting Preview
All Boise State vs. Wyoming odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Nov. 23, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Boise State -22 - Spread
Boise State -22.5 - Moneyline
Boise State -2100, Wyoming +1100 - Over/Under
54 points - Game Time
7:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, Nov. 23 - Location
War Memorial Stadium | Laramie, Wyo. - Predicted Weather at Kick
48 degrees, 16 mph winds, mostly cloudy - How To Watch
CBSSN
In terms of the spread, both of these teams have performed well in recent outings:
- Boise State is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven games.
- Wyoming is 4-2 ATS in its last six.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
As for the total, Broncos games have gone over in 10 of the previous 13. So, that’s the play, right? Not so fast, as the last five Wyoming-Boise State bouts went under.
Boise State’s Winning Probability
The Broncos are primed for their first-ever College Football Playoff berth this season, but they can’t stumble in the final two games of the season. Of course, the FPM doesn’t expect them to, giving Boise over 90% win probabilities against Wyoming and the Oregon State Beavers.
- at Wyoming: 94.4%
- vs. Oregon State: 91.3%
Wyoming’s Winning Probability
At 2-8, the Cowboys aren’t going anywhere fast. They’ll want to win at least one more game for pride. Unfortunately, they drew Boise State and the Washington State Cougars for their final two games — a 2-10 record is the likely result.
- vs. Boise State: 5.6%
- at Washington State: 5.6%
Prediction for Boise State vs. Wyoming
The Broncos have had a strong season, but their defense has given up more than 20 points in all but two games (14 against Portland State and seven against Hawaii). Fortunately, Wyoming provides an opportunity to add a third.
The Cowboys have managed 20+ points in only four games this year and will start a redshirt freshman with minimal experience at quarterback. This game has all the makings of a blowout.
Boise State hasn’t exactly been dominant the last two weeks. They barely escaped the Nevada Wolf Pack (28-21) and needed nearly half the game to settle in against the San Jose State Spartans (42-21). Expect Ashton Jeanty and the Broncos to come out firing on all cylinders this week.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
This one doesn’t require overthinking. Wyoming surrenders 30.9 points per game (108th in the nation), while Boise State puts up 43.8 points per game (third). The Cowboys’ strongest area, their run defense, ranks just 108th in EPA per rush and struggles on early downs. Their offense doesn’t fare much better, and they lack the firepower to exploit Boise’s biggest weakness—tackling.
Jeanty should pad his Heisman case with another heavy workload, but QB Maddux Madsen might also shine. Wyoming’s defense ranks 121st in EPA per dropback and 122nd in defensive dropback success rate, opening the door for a big day through the air.
Arizona State (48), North Texas (44), and New Mexico (49) have all dropped 40+ points on Jay Sawvel’s defense—Boise State could easily push 50.
Prediction: Boise State 48, Wyoming 13
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