The Arizona State Sun Devils hold a 5-1 all-time advantage over the Kansas State Wildcats, but it was the Wildcats who claimed victory in their last meeting back in 2002, edging out a 37-34 win. Now, over 20 years later, the two teams clash again in Week 12—can Kansas State recreate that magic?
Our Arizona State vs. Kansas State preview dives into this compelling matchup, offering key betting insights to guide your picks.
Arizona State vs. Kansas State Betting Preview
All Arizona State vs. Kansas State odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Nov. 16, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Kansas State -6 - Spread
Kansas State -7.5 - Moneyline
Kansas State -258, Arizona State +210 - Over/Under
51.5 points - Game Time
7:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, Nov. 16 - Location
Bill Snyder Family Stadium | Manhattan, Kan. - Predicted Weather at Kick
54 degrees, 8 mph winds, mostly cloudy - How To Watch
ESPN
The Wildcats have been on a roller coaster against the spread, going 4-8 in their last 12 games. Meanwhile, Arizona State has consistently cashed in recent games, going 4-1 ATS.
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ASU has been an over merchant in November under head coach Kenny Dillingham, hitting the mark in six of its last seven contests. To add to the allure, the total has gone over in four of K-State’s previous five bouts.
Arizona State’s Winning Probability
Both of these teams are 7-2 with a real shot at the conference title, but Arizona State’s path is far more difficult. Not only do they have to defeat the Wildcats in Week 12, but they’ll need to knock off the undefeated BYU Cougars the following week.
- at Kansas State: 33.6%
- vs. BYU: 34.3%
- at Arizona: 54.3%
Kansas State’s Winning Probability
The Wildcats are favored to win each of their final three games, although they’ll need to bring their A game in each, as the Sun Devils, Cincinnati Bearcats, and Iowa State Cyclones could easily hand them an L if they aren’t careful.
- vs. Arizona State: 66.4%
- vs. Cincinnati: 79.9%
- at Iowa State: 50.4%
Prediction for Arizona State vs. Kansas State
Arizona State’s offense revolves around Cam Skattebo and the ground game, but QB Sam Leavitt shouldn’t be overlooked. The experienced Michigan State transfer has thrived in Dillingham’s system, showing accuracy on deep passes and protecting the football with just four interceptions this season.
Even with Skattebo sidelined last week against UCF due to an undisclosed injury—he’s questionable but trending toward a return—Leavitt stepped up. He delivered three touchdowns without a turnover, keeping the offense on track.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
On the other side, Kansas State’s Avery Johnson has the athleticism and arm talent to make big plays, but he’s struggled when pressured. Fortunately for him, Arizona State hasn’t been a dominant pass-rushing team, averaging just two sacks per game.
If the Sun Devils can find ways to pressure Johnson, their secondary—already with nine interceptions this season—could take advantage. Offensively, Arizona State’s ability to control the tempo (39.2% rush rate, 15th highest; 47.9% rush success rate, 13th) will add even more weight on Johnson’s shoulders to deliver.
If Skattebo returns at full strength, back Arizona State to win outright and cover the spread. If he’s limited or out, ASU still holds the edge, but expect a closer game, likely decided by a touchdown.
Prediction: Arizona State 29, Kansas State 26
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